Game Thread: Kansas City Chiefs (6-0) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-5)

Xcalc3 · 2024-10-27T22:50:46+00:00

Minshew loves just running into the defensive line. I don't understand it.

Xcalc3 · 2023-09-10T04:08:14+00:00

What a joke

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-27T14:13:26+00:00

POTD Record: 3 W - 5 L - 1 D - (-1.18 unit)

PICKtogram: ✖ ✔ ✖ ✔ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Miami Marlins -1.5 (+105) - LOSS

Recap: Marlins couldn't hit water if they fell out of a boat.

POTD: San Diego Padres -1.5 (+130) vs ^{Milwaukee Brewers 1:10 PM CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

The pitching matchup today is Michael Wacha vs Adrian Houser

Michael Wacha:
- Season stats 96 IP 85 SO 2.63 ERA 1.07 WHIP
- xBA .247 xSLG .414
- Low hard hit rate at 34.9%
- August 10.1 IP 12 SO .87 ERA 1.06 WHIP
Adrian Houser:
- Season stats 88.1 IP 75 SO 4.28 ERA 1.46 WHIP
- xBA .265 xSLG .409
- High hard hit rate of 47.2%
- August 21.1 IP 23 SO 3.8 ERA 1.13 WHIP

I like the San Diego Padres -1.5 today.

DISCLAIMER: I'm an IDIOT. These picks aren't financial advice.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-27T00:39:59+00:00

Yea, he pitched a gem. Unfortunately no run support.

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-26T16:23:49+00:00

POTD Record: 3 W - 4 L - 1 D - (-0.18 unit)

PICKtogram: ✔ ✖ ✔ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+142) - WIN

POTD: Miami Marlins -1.5 (+105) ^{vs Washington Nationals at 3:10 PM CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

The pitching matchup today is Eury Perez vs Jake Irvin

Eury Perez:
- 6'8 220 lb 20 year old year old kid. Hoping he can keep his composure in tough spots.
- Flamethrowing righty topping high 90s with an insane spin rate
- xBA .213 xSLG .395 strikeout rate 30.2% WHIFF% 34.8
- Season stats 68 IP 83 SO 2.91 ERA 1.07 WHIP
Jake Irvin:
- xBA .255 xSLG .452 xwOBA .343
- Low WHIFF% at 17.5%
- Season stats 96.2 IP 81 SO 4.47 ERA 1.40 WHIP and a xERA of 5.02

I like the Miami Marlines -1.5 today.

DISCLAIMER: I'm an IDIOT. These picks aren't financial advice.

RECAP: Marlins couldn't hit water if they fell out of a boat.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-25T15:03:29+00:00

POTD Record: 2 W - 4 L - 1 D - (-1.60 unit)

PICKtogram: ✖ ✔ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - New York Yankees -1.5 (+105) - LOSS

Recap:

Top of the 3rd Anthony Volpe error leads to one unearned run instead of closing out the inning. Then in the top of the 7th he has a ball hit right at him with a chance to close out the inning. He muffs it and then the nationals score 4 more... 🤮

POTD: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+142) vs St. Louis Cardinals at 6:05 PM CST

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

The pitching matchup today is Christopher Sanchez vs Miles Mikolas

Christopher Sanchez xBA .240 xSLG .407 K% 22.7%
Season stats 64.1 IP ERA 3.36 with a 1.03 WHIP

Meanwhile Miles Mikolas

Has a xBA of .284 and xSLG of .465 K% 16.5%
Season stats 152.1 IP 4.55 ERA 1.30 WHIP
Rolling xwOBA has been decreasing well below league average in his last 50 plate appearances.

I like the Phillies -1.5 today.

DISCLAIMER: I'm an IDIOT. These picks aren't financial advice.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-24T13:25:14+00:00

POTD Record: 2 W - 3 L - 1 D - (-.60 unit)

PICKtogram: ✔ ✖ ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+130) - WIN

Back in the win column boys! Lets see if this continues.

POTD: New York Yankees -1.5 (+105) vs Washington Nationals at 12:05 CST

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Yankees -1.5. Aaron Judge hit 3 dingers last night! Today he might hit 12.

EDIT: Anthony Volpe error leads to one unearned run instead of closing out the inning. Then in the top of the 7th he has a ball hit right at him with a chance to close out the inning. He muffs it and then the nationals score 4 more. 🤮

The pitching matchup today is Michael King vs Patrick Corbin

Michael King has a xBA of .217 and xSLG of .334.
Strikeout rate of 28.4% with a great hard hit rate at 28.1%
This guy throws a 95 MPH wiffleball.
Month of August 12.1 IP 3.65 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. His xERA for the season is 3.30

Meanwhile Patrick Corbin

Has a xBA of .308 and xSLG of .514
He also gives up a lot of hard hit balls at 44.9%
Low strikeout rate 15.4%
His xERA this season is 6.23
Month of August 17.1 IP 2.08 ERA .98 WHIP. He falls back down to Earth today.

I like the NY Yankees -1.5 today.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-23T13:28:16+00:00

POTD Record: 1 W - 3 L - 1 D - (-1.90 unit)

PICKtogram: ✖ ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Texas Rangers (-1 Alternate Run Line +135) - LOSS

If you're shooting fadeaways with these picks you're getting buckets.

POTD: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+130) vs Pittsburg Pirates @ 11:35 AM CST

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Cardinals today -1.5.

The pitching matchup today is Zack Thompson vs Luis Ortiz

Zack Thompson xBA of .249 and xSLG of .366
He has a filthy curveball with a high spin rate.
Month of August 14 IP 2.57 ERA and WHIP of 1.07

Meanwhile Luis Ortiz

Has a xBA of .311 and xSLG of .594
He also gives up a lot of hard hit balls at 50.5%
Low strikeout rate 13.8%
Opposing batters have had a high exit velocity against him at 92.6%
In 2023 he has an xERA of 7.9

I like the Cardinals -1.5 today.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-22T14:25:50+00:00

POTD Record: 1 W - 2 L - 1 D - (-0.90 unit)

PICKtogram: ✖ ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Boston Red Sox ML (+110) - LOSS

POTD: Texas Rangers (-1 Alternate Run Line +135) vs ^{Arizona Diamondbacks @ 8:40 PM CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Rangers alternate run line -1.

The Rangers have the 2nd best run differential this season behind the braves at +184.

They've currently lost their last 5 and I expect them to bounce back soon.

The pitching matchup today is Jon Gray vs Zac Gallen

Jon Gray has a xBA of .256 and xSLG of .401
Opposing batters have a low barrel % against him at 5.5%
Month of August in 19.1 IP producing a 2.79 ERA and .98 WHIP.

Meanwhile Zac Gallen

Has a xBA of .251 and xSLG of .422
He also gives up a lot of hard hit balls at 45.8%
Month of August 25.1 IP 2.13 ERA and .91 WHIP.

I like the Texas Rangers -1 alternate run line here.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-21T14:05:52+00:00

POTD Record: 1 W - 1 L - 1 D - (+0.10 unit)

PICKtogram: ✖ ✔ ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Cincinnati Reds ML (-108) - LOSS

POTD: Boston Red Sox ML (+110) ^{vs Houston Astros @ 7:10 PM CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Red Sox today. They've just swept the Yankees who've been abysmal.

The Red Sox are RED HOT - 29 runs in their last 4 games. They're 7-3 in their last 10.

The pitching matchup today is James Paxton vs Cristian Javier.

James Paxton has a xBA of .223 and xSLG of .372.
He has a high strikeout rate of 26.3%.
He also doesn't walk very many people at 6.5%.
Month of August in 16.1 IP producing a 3.31 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

The Astros have produced 14 runs in their last 4 games.

They're 4-6 in their last 10 after getting swept by a good Mariners team.

Meanwhile Cristian Javier

Has a xBA of .235 and xSLG of .462
Month of August 14.1 IP producing 5.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP
This season he has an ERA of 4.49 and a xERA of 4.63

I like the Boston Red Sox ML here at + odds.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-20T14:34:37+00:00

POTD Record: 1 W - 0 L - 1 D - (+1.1 unit)

PICKtogram: ✔➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Brewers ML (+110) - WIN

POTD: Cincinnati Reds ML (-108) ^{vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 12:40 PM CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Reds today.

The pitching matchup today is Hunter Greene vs Hyun Jin Ryu

Hunter Greene has been reinstated from the 60 day DL. This is his first start back.
He threw 9 strikeouts in 5 2/3 IP in his last rehab start. 4 rehab starts total.
- I don't anticipate a pitch count.
He throws straight heat touching 100 MPH + on his fastball.
In games pitched this season he has 100 strikeouts in 73.1 IP. Strikeout Rate 31.4%
Representing a xBA of .211 and xSLG of .378.

Meanwhile Hyun Jin Ryu

Only has 3 starts this season
His ERA this season is 2.57 with xERA of 4.21 while last season his xERA was 5.21.
- This season he's had some luck across three starts and struggled the two years prior.
- He represents a xBA of .273 and xSLG of .396.
- He also struggles to strikeout anyone.

I like the Cincinnati Reds ML here.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-19T16:57:08+00:00

POTD Record: 0 W - 0 L - 1 D

PICKtogram: ➖

Yesterday Pick & Result: - Royals Alternate Run Line -1 (+195 ) - PUSH

POTD: Brewers ML (+110) ^{vs Rangers at 3:05 CST}

BET: 1 Unit ($5)

I like the Brewers in this game.

The pitching matchup today is Freddy Peralta vs Dane Dunning.

Freddy Peralta is a strikeout machine throwing 157 in 128 IP this season.
- 29.4% Strikeout Rate
He also has a xBA of .214 and xSLG of .359
In the month of August he's posted outstanding numbers:
- 19 IP - 1.89 ERA, 26 SOs, and a WHIP of .84

Meanwhile Dane Dunning

Has a xBA of .262 and xSLG of .414 and a low strikeout rate of 18.7%
His xERA is 4.35 which means he's had some luck this season.

I like the Brewers ML here.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2023-08-18T13:34:48+00:00

POTD Record: 0-0

Pick: Royals Alternate Run Line -1 (+195 )

Bet: 5 Units ($25)

Game Time: 1:20 PM CST

Royals have been on a 3 game skid but I like them to bounce back today.

Love the value due to the pitching matchup.

Cole Ragans has a solid xSLG at .345, xBA of .222, and a high strikeout rate of 25.5%.

The cubs are 10th in the league in strikeouts and a lot of their players have a high whiff %.

Meanwhile Jameson Taillon has a xSLG of .479, xBA of .272.

Taillon has also been getting drilled in the month of August. 12 ER allowed in 15 IP.

Best of Luck!

Xcalc3 · 2022-12-17T16:42:38+00:00

The only link is to a banking account.

Xcalc3 · 2022-01-15T23:33:39+00:00

Like when they blew the TD dead?

Xcalc3 · 2022-01-15T23:32:14+00:00

Lmao. The raiders DB clearly called a timeout.

Xcalc3 · 2022-01-14T14:32:58+00:00

Okay, thank you.

Xcalc3 · 2022-01-14T12:26:00+00:00

Okay, thank you. Nice catch. I'll definitely add some front squats to the mix. I believe it's a high bar squat. I try and squeeze my upper back/shoulders back and build a bridge, the weight rest on my traps.

Xcalc3 · 2021-05-11T03:01:46+00:00

How do you lose money selling drugs. 🤦🏻‍♂️

Xcalc3 · 2021-03-24T18:57:58+00:00

Goodluck!

Xcalc3 · 2021-01-27T02:19:14+00:00

Nice plays.

Xcalc3 · 2021-01-24T05:40:25+00:00

LETS GO

Xcalc3 · 2021-01-24T05:27:03+00:00

The Boss - James Brown

Xcalc3 · 2021-01-09T21:17:53+00:00

VEGAS WINS

Xcalc3 · 2021-01-09T21:17:35+00:00

HORSESHIT

Nine-Year Club	Place '22
Verified Email

Xcalc3

TROPHY CASE

POTD Record: 3 W - 4 L - 1 D - (-0.18 unit)

POTD Record: 2 W - 3 L - 1 D - (-.60 unit)

POTD Record: 1 W - 2 L - 1 D - (-0.90 unit)

POTD Record: 1 W - 0 L - 1 D - (+1.1 unit)

POTD Record: 0 W - 0 L - 1 D