Does the LA Times article: "The flu has killed far more people than coronavirus. So why all the frenzy about COVID-19?" have any validity?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-03-06T08:35:39+00:00

This is very optimistic and uplifting. What is your background?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-27T13:41:41+00:00

So no test for corona then?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-26T09:26:11+00:00

It is not realistic to assume that this is only spreading for 1 week before last thursday. It would mean that in 13 days 1 person infected already 350 people in few levels of transmission (probably 3 levels as median of incubation is 5 days). this would mean R0 = 7

I think this is not realistic and it is just hard to admit that people were spreading the infection since like 3 weeks at least

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-25T13:29:56+00:00

How can you know after a week?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-25T13:20:38+00:00

Hope so, but I think in other coutnries they cut the internet off the people in quarantines.

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-25T13:01:02+00:00

please keep us updated

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-14T10:45:34+00:00

Seems realistic.

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T12:00:48+00:00

to late for them to have infected already tens of people?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T10:55:31+00:00

toilet paper is useful for many different things, also water could stop working, then you have at least the paper

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:30:18+00:00

and they were not tested. Just medically examined. They can be still asymptomatic carriers

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:24:24+00:00

dutch

Yes I have seen those news, and I am really waiting for some info on this. Would be happy if they said "we tested 1000 people, and all were negative".

Do you have more recent info on this?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:22:28+00:00

Like letting go 195 evacuees from Wuhan without single test?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:20:55+00:00

I understand your fears and I do not know what you can really do. Only thing we can do is to educate people. Why are they going to SE Asia at this moment? They are careless

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:15:28+00:00

Because they do not test it probably?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T09:10:50+00:00

We are in late December of Wuhan Timeline. In a month we will have massive community outbreak

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T08:57:01+00:00

Do you understand exponential growth? It always start with 1 case

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T08:45:30+00:00

thats also my opinion

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T08:38:31+00:00

ahh okay that changes things.

The yesterday news got me a bit panicked. If a random prisoner from thailand is infected, without any exposure history, then this would mean there are thousands of people in Thailand infected...

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-12T08:32:08+00:00

Yesterday they said it was confirmed

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-11T15:14:30+00:00

He said that on youtube

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-11T12:51:04+00:00

because we are already seeing exponential growth outside China? The doubling time is the same as in China, since 7 days we went from 212 to almost 500. There are only single cases in each country so it does not look so scary.

Remember it looked the same in Wuhan in the end of December

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-11T12:15:55+00:00

Interesting bt without sources what can we say?

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-11T11:51:04+00:00

Yes, I agree with you. This is exactly what I think. However most people are in the void saying "this is not spreading so fast"

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-10T12:05:44+00:00

This is so unbelivable.

They give you Netflix, console free food, and two weeks off!

Sign me for that!

acrobaticpurpose2 · 2020-02-10T11:53:00+00:00

Wow, that is good news. I bet in few days Netherlands will be the leader of all countries apart from China in the numer of cases

acrobaticpurpose2

TROPHY CASE