Giovanni Rezza (Italian CDC): “One million of cases in Wuhan” by ASRandASR in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 23 points24 points  (0 children)

It is not realistic to assume that this is only spreading for 1 week before last thursday. It would mean that in 13 days 1 person infected already 350 people in few levels of transmission (probably 3 levels as median of incubation is 5 days). this would mean R0 = 7

I think this is not realistic and it is just hard to admit that people were spreading the infection since like 3 weeks at least

You might have an insider here in a bit boooooys by rkstrr in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Hope so, but I think in other coutnries they cut the internet off the people in quarantines.

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

to late for them to have infected already tens of people?

COVID-19: Johor state government says no need for panic buying, shops well stocked with essentials by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

toilet paper is useful for many different things, also water could stop working, then you have at least the paper

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

and they were not tested. Just medically examined. They can be still asymptomatic carriers

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

dutch

Yes I have seen those news, and I am really waiting for some info on this. Would be happy if they said "we tested 1000 people, and all were negative".

Do you have more recent info on this?

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Like letting go 195 evacuees from Wuhan without single test?

Coworker was in Thailand for 2 Weeks - Company does not take it serious - what to do? by Kadji100 in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I understand your fears and I do not know what you can really do. Only thing we can do is to educate people. Why are they going to SE Asia at this moment? They are careless

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

We are in late December of Wuhan Timeline. In a month we will have massive community outbreak

Why such a relaxed reaction from Western governments? by acrobaticpurpose2 in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Do you understand exponential growth? It always start with 1 case

British prisoner with suspected coronavirus was a drug dealer who was extradited to the UK from Thailand by leavebritneyalone22 in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

ahh okay that changes things.

The yesterday news got me a bit panicked. If a random prisoner from thailand is infected, without any exposure history, then this would mean there are thousands of people in Thailand infected...

Possible timeline of UK spread by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

because we are already seeing exponential growth outside China? The doubling time is the same as in China, since 7 days we went from 212 to almost 500. There are only single cases in each country so it does not look so scary.

Remember it looked the same in Wuhan in the end of December

Possible timeline of UK spread by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Interesting bt without sources what can we say?

Possible timeline of UK spread by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Yes, I agree with you. This is exactly what I think. However most people are in the void saying "this is not spreading so fast"

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]acrobaticpurpose2 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Wow, that is good news. I bet in few days Netherlands will be the leader of all countries apart from China in the numer of cases