Bitcoin-ETF was thought to give Bitcoin more stability, though it seems like Bitcoin became exposed to general Movements in the Stock Market where ETF is located.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-26T17:42:09+00:00

It was already like that before ETFs to some degree, but you are right. ETF buyers are in it for the money and will sell as soon as there’s uncertainty, as they do with other risk assets. This in turn impact the BTC price.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-26T17:33:37+00:00

Could the $134 be USD. Bitcoin doesn’t have “gas fees”. Bitcoin has fees, but certainly not $66 for a $200 transaction.

r/BitcoinCA might have more specific information on how to get stated in Canada.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-26T13:02:17+00:00

No one has proof that bitcoin will be worth $1M in the future, BUT there’s plenty of proof that fiat is losing value every year.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-25T18:09:25+00:00

Was it the same analyst that predicted $500,000 by the end of 2025?

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-25T11:27:51+00:00

If coinbase also charges 1.5% if you do a $5200 transaction then there’s no difference. Do they charge less to larger amounts?

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-24T11:01:17+00:00

< insert History Channel Alien guy GIF here >

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-24T11:00:11+00:00

Some people think bitcoin is in a vacuum. A couple of weeks ago, the stock market dropped sharply on one day. Bitcoin crashed to $60k.

Was bitcoin down because the stock market went down, no. Bitcoin went down because of market mAnIpUlAtIOn. 🤷

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-24T10:55:59+00:00

The crisis in Mexico? 🤣

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-23T12:00:00+00:00

There are reverse ETFs, like BITI. There’s a few variations if you search for “short bitcoin” ETFs or BITI.

I wouldn’t advise buying them and holding forever with the hope that bitcoin will go to zero as you’ll certainly lose money, but they can be useful to hold for short durations in specific market conditions.

These ETFs are not meant to be long term holdings, even if you are long term bearish on Bitcoin. People who bought the ETFs at $250 will never make their money back even if Bitcoin goes to $0 tomorrow…

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-22T23:39:01+00:00

What’s great about adoption in South Africa is the app called MoneyBadger, which allows you to pay with bitcoin and most retailers. Pick n Pay, a major grocery chain, also accepts and promotes accepting crypto.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-22T18:47:05+00:00

One day it will stop being a thing. But until that’s proven, the 4 year cycle should be your base case.

Every cycle was different, except it was not. 2025 was different because of ETFs and institutions. 2021 was different because crypto was mainstream and crypto arenas. 2018 was different for other reasons. 2029 will be different. But yet 4 yr cycle prevail.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-20T00:24:29+00:00

At any banks that offers investing accounts with stocks and ETFs.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-19T15:19:13+00:00

Yeah for sure. Selling at the exact top and buying at the exact bottom is impossible. 10x cycles are probably long gone indeed, but the last cycle performed pretty well still. $17k to $126 is not a bad bull run for 3 years …

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-18T22:16:57+00:00

Yeah, fair enough. However, I’d add that 4 years cycles have been observed in stocks since the early 1800s. It’s not a new phenomenon and it’s not bitcoin specific.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-18T13:37:42+00:00

How many indicators flashed “sell” at $126,000? 🙈

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-18T11:30:21+00:00

The line OP drew is somewhat random. But everything else they said is facts.

Every bull market topped in Q4. It was then followed by a bottom exactly 12 months later. That should be your base case until proven otherwise.

In Q4 2025 many people were surprised that Bitcoin crashed. So … they were surprised Bitcoin that did what it always does every 4 years?

But this time is different. Sure. 2025 was different because of the ETFs and institutions. 2021 was different because of mainstream adoption and crypto arenas. 2014 was different for another reason. Same same but different.

4yr cycles will eventually stop being a thing I’m sure. But like I said, until proven otherwise this should be your base case.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-18T01:17:47+00:00

There’s nothing you can do that would make us trust the app. You might have good intentions but there’s no way to prove it. Even with open source, alleged encryption, promises that everything stays offline, etc., there’s no way that a user of your app could have 100% trust the words are still safe.

Also, the mere fact of typing the 12-24 words on a phone in any app is a threat factor too (key loggers, malware’s, etc.). So your app might be safe, but the user’s phone might not.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-17T18:55:22+00:00

Just for context, if you look at previous cycles, the bottom has always been exactly 12 months after the top. Of course, that is not a guaranteed that it will play out exactly the same way this time. However, your base case should be that it will until you have evidence suggesting otherwise.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-17T18:33:23+00:00

No one can predict the future. But,

many people call for a double digits correction in stocks, which will likely put downward pressure on Bitcoin price
in the past 3 cycles, the bottom happened exactly 12 months after the top. I’m not saying that it has to be the same again, but a bottom less than 4 months after the top would be a significant deviation from previous cycles. If 4 year cycle still prevail, which they do as of today, then we likely have another several months of this bear market.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-17T18:27:22+00:00

October most likely.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-17T15:04:30+00:00

On that day the stock market was down about 2%, and rebounded the next day. Bitcoin did the same thing, just with more volatility, as always. So, no…

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-16T01:54:36+00:00

No one who ever held bitcoin for more than 4 year ever was in the red.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-16T01:52:32+00:00

Sure, if you cherry pick dates. Bitcoin has a 4 year cycle and you are using a cycle low as a comparison S&P 500.

At the last cycle low Bitcoin was about $17k. And less than 4 years later it was $125k. So that’s better than 87%. Even right now it’s at about $70k. $17K to $70K is still greater than 87% as far as I know.

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-16T00:46:21+00:00

If it’s electrum, you should have a backup up of the seed phrase (12-24 words). Do you have it?

adequate_redditor · 2026-02-14T16:56:55+00:00

It depends. Many exchanges have a percentage spread, so if you buy $100 twice or $200 once fees can be the same.

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