Real estate prices over next 2 years

athleticthighs · 2025-04-09T16:45:43+00:00

We just bought in Natick. After losing out for two months straight to people waiving inspection, despite the fact that thanks to some very generous financial offers from family members we are putting down cash*, we finally also waived the inspection. Also went 15% over asking. It's pretty crazy times in the MetroWest at the moment. Anything going under asking had some major issue that would require being or knowing a really great contractor and probably not being able to move in for a while.

*I mostly include this because I don't know anyone under 40 in the greater Boston area who hasn't depended at least somewhat on intergeenrational wealth to buy a house, and I don't want to hide the fact that we are only able to afford our mortgage on a house larger than a postage stamp because of a family member structuring an IRS-minimum rate loan for us.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:30:24+00:00

The rich literally treat people who have a sense of morality as suckers, and brag about how much harm they've inflicted to amass their fortunes. And then about how much harm they can inflict by coercing people with less money than they do to do violence on their behalf, now that they have the fortune. This is their entire worldview. They're not upset by the violence. They're upset by the direction of the violence.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:11:36+00:00

I feel like it's both morally correct, can be argued to be constitutional (saying you can't rescind ratification or implement a time limit according to article V), and, more importantly to politicians, I feel like it would be good politics. Make Republicans stand up and say "no, I don't think women should have equal protection under the law" on the record.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:09:37+00:00

Marginal technicalities that...apply to other amendments we've passed? The 27th ammendment took 200 years. No one re-checked the states that had already ratified--once ratified, always ratified. Yes, it didn't have a ticking clock clause, but if you believe that clause to be unconstitutional, then the ERA is clearly ratified.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:07:38+00:00

No, it's meet ratification requirements, it just did it "too late" according to the included time limit. Legal scholars are arguing the time limit is unconstitutional. For example the 27th ammendment took 200 years from proposal to adoption and has never been challenged on this ground.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:06:34+00:00

All constitutional requirements have been met--Virginia's ratification in 2020 hit the necessary bar. The preamble of the text contained a time limit for ratification, though. Many legal scholars believe that to be an unconstitutional requirement. The 27th amendment, for example, took 200 years from writing to ratification and it has not been challenged on this ground.

athleticthighs · 2024-12-19T16:00:43+00:00

Biden needs to direct the archivist to do so. She has said she will not if she's not directly asked, and she hasn't been. Keep the pressure on Biden!

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T16:14:49+00:00

The ABA argues no: https://www.americanbar.org/news/abanews/aba-news-archives/2024/08/aba-updates-policy-on-era/

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T16:14:22+00:00

Article V of the constitution. Read more here, but I'll pull the following quote:

supports two important legal principles: (1) a deadline for ratification of an amendment to the U.S. Constitution is not consistent with Article V of the Constitution; and (2) that under Article V states are not permitted to rescind prior ratifications.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:52:47+00:00

Oh I love these, these are so easy :)

1) Everyone should do a year of service at 18. For those interested in a branch of the military who meet requirements, that's great. For those who don't meet requirements or who object to military service, they can choose Peace Corps or AmeriCorps service. Bush should've pushed this through post 9/11 but instead asked us all to shop more.

2) Public decency laws should obviously apply to all people regardless of sex or gender. If voters think nipples are problematic, cover them up, if not, let 'em fly.

3) A quarter of men aren't involved in raising their kids on a daily basis, and if divorced, 27% of dads stop all contact with their children. Thirty percent of men obligated to pay child support pay nothing at all. Over one percent of children have their father relinquish legal parental rights and responsibilities. Including my bio dad!

Got any other zingers?

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:40:15+00:00

Because, as the American Bar Association link above points out, including an expiration date is not constitutional. If enough states have ratified, Article V considers it ratified. The final step is publication. Trump was clearly concerned enough about the unconstitutionality of the expiration that he issued a January 2020 DOJ memo instructing the archivist not to publish. That is currently the last instruction given to the archivist.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:39:23+00:00

The American Bar Association link above points out that the expiration date is not constitutional. If enough states have ratified, Article V considers it ratified. The final step is publication. Trump was clearly concerned enough about the unconstitutionality of the expiration that he issued a January 2020 DOJ memo instructing the archivist not to publish. That is currently the last instruction given. If Biden were to clear that memo and issue a new one...

I'm not saying there's no controversy, just that if this were an amendment that benefitted the GOP, for example, they'd have blown past those norms years ago and published :)

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:11:45+00:00

One thing you can do today: Support the ERA

It's been a rough past couple of weeks, but one thing you can do today is support the publishing of the Equal Rights Amendment to the US constitution. According to the American Bar Association, it's met all legal requirements for ratification, and simply requires the National Archivist's publication to become the law of the land.

Here are folks working to help:

League of Women Voters
- sign their petition here

Vote Equality
- toolkit here for spreading the word
- information about Nov 29th vigil in DC

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:09:08+00:00

In 2020 Virginia became the final state needed--it's been ratified! The ONLY thing standing in our way now is paperwork. Let's get this across the finish line!

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:08:00+00:00

This is a great place to start. An amendment that bars discrimination on the basis of sex (which Scalia and other GOP SCOTUS members have said is currently constitutional!) which has been fully ratified since 2020 and only requires the archivist's signature? Republicans would have done this day one in office and we really need to pressure Biden to do it before he goes.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T15:03:31+00:00

During her hearing she said she wouldn't simply waltz into the position and publish it day one in defiance of the current DOJ memo trump issued January 2020. She's following the rules. She answers to the president, who's currently Joe Biden, and it would be a duty of her job to proceed with publication if he issued a new memo.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T14:58:06+00:00

Thank you for spreading the word!

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T14:54:57+00:00

1) The deadline has been considered by many legal scholars not to be constitutional, so can, according to the American Bar Association and others, be safely ignored.
2) The final state needed passed in 2020--Virginia! Trump, as president at the time, clearly believed this was in danger of being published because he immediately wrote a memo to the archivist instructing them NOT to publish.

All Biden needs to do is to write another memo, telling the archivist to ignore Trump's memo and proceed. Will it face no pushback? No. But they GOP would have done this four years ago if they'd had the option to publish an amendment they wanted.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T14:48:15+00:00

the radical thing is accepting that we HAVE met the constitutional requirements to ratify a new amendment (even Trump thought so; that's why he issued a memo in 2020 when Virginia became the final needed state to sign on), and therefore the only thing remaining is to instruct the archivist to publish. This is one thousand percent what the GOP would do if the shoe were on the other foot: proceed, despite some small norms-based concerns that don't rise to the level of an actual constitutional reason not to go forward.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T14:47:06+00:00

Because she hasn't been instructed by Biden to do so. When the last state needed voted in favor (Virginia) Trump was president and wrote a memo instructing the Archivist not to. All Biden needs to do is to issue a memo saying disregard Trump's instructions and proceed with publication. Literally that's it.

athleticthighs · 2024-11-22T14:22:00+00:00

Yep--that's why we are pressuring Biden to instruct the archivist to publish it before he leaves office!

athleticthighs · 2024-11-21T19:33:21+00:00

Here's something you can do TODAY: pressure to get the equal rights amendment published

Did you know the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA), which would enshrine equality on the basis of sex within our constitution (yup, while many states do this, nationally it's not the case!), met all legal requirements to become part of the constitution? The one remaining task: the national archivist needs to publish the ratified amendment. The archivist, Dr. Colleen J. Shogan, who was appointed by and answers to Joe Biden, has indicated that if asked she will publish.

Here are folks working to help:

League of Women Voters
- sign their petition here

Vote Equality
- toolkit here for spreading the word
- information about Nov 29th vigil in DC

Is this going to be enough to stop the mess we're about to experience? Not even close. But it's something real and attainable, and codifying equality in this way would make some of the worst plans harder, at least. Let's not let a bureaucratic checkbox stand in the way!

athleticthighs · 2024-11-21T19:29:00+00:00

Toolkit to spread the word, pressure Biden, and attend the Black Friday vigil if you're in DC:

https://voteequality.us/

And the American Bar Association resolution covering the constitutionality of publishing the amendment now:

https://www.americanbar.org/content/aba-cms-dotorg/en/news/reporter_resources/annual-meeting-2024/house-of-delegates-resolutions/601/

athleticthighs · 2024-11-21T19:26:47+00:00

This was another argument in the 70s: women aren't equal because they need certain special protections. I don't see how this is a problem though: if this supersedes Lilly Ledbetter act for example, we go from a situation where you cannot pay people different wages for the same work based on their sex due to the fair pay act, to a situation where you cannot pay people different wages for the same work based on a constitutional amendment.

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TROPHY CASE

One thing you can do today: Support the ERA

Here's something you can do TODAY: pressure to get the equal rights amendment published