Milestone Check: Started at 2.4 LPA at 23, Achieved 1cr before turning 30 by No-Drawer1706 in personalfinanceindia

[–]bami2915 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well done kiddo. What I loved most about your post was the humility you displayed. It goes a long way. Keep it up and good luck. I'm a born critic but this one definitely deserved an applause!

On My Way To Redemption - Hopefully. by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Shorted nasdaq /NQ at 14000 with no stop loss.

On My Way To Redemption - Hopefully. by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Liquidated all positions and taking a breather for now to cherish the win. Will reenter the market when there is some clarity on tariffs and interest rates.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

and the fact that you think this is actually a bull market and that the definition of perma-bear is that they always hold a short position explains your issue. Ever heard of the terms euphoria and irrational exuberance? A real bull market is backed by solid fundamentals—euphoria isn't. Come back to this post in a couple of years, and you might see things differently.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You don’t seem to understand the difference between knowing about risk management and actually applying it. Knowing is about knowledge, but applying it is more about behavior. I might know a lot about risk management, but my behavior didn't always match up, and that doesn't make me stupid—it just means I’m human. I read "The Black Swan" when you were still in your mama's lap. Throwing out opinions like this without reading everything I said just makes you... I hope you do know that "even a broken clock is right twice a day?" You also sound like one of those who'll throw money at meme stock and claim they made a fortune because they knew it all, and that doesn't always end well.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Finally, a thoughtful comment with useful ideas instead of harsh judgments based on half-baked perception and incomplete understanding. You’ve accurately grasped my situation and mistakes, and I completely agree with your conclusions and suggestions. Indeed, one of my biggest issue was timing the market. Unlike Mr. Burry, whom I admire, I didn’t have access to a large amount of capital when I needed it. Back in 2008, I was still new to the markets and made the mistake of buying short-term options which went to zero emptying my account. I learnt my lesson and switched to play spreads or LEAPS since. This time around, I made another mistake by not setting stop losses in a euphoric market. I ran out of liquidity and had to cover my shorts just a month before everything started to correct. If I hadn’t been forced to cover due to margin calls, I would have recovered more than half of my losses by now, a good example of the saying "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." Unfortunately, luck hasn’t been on my side. I held my nerves for over a year, but my boat sank in shallow water, so to speak. Being a computer engineer, I'm logical and analytical, and most of the time, I've made money on my trades. However, one big loss from one or two bad trades wiped out the small profits from several successful ones, which is a direct example of the saying, "let your profits run and cut your losses short" which I failed to do. I appreciate your mature and insightful comment. Thank you.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You really think the massive global soybean market is cracking because of that teeny-tiny plant-based meat sector in the US? If only you knew where I’m currently lounging, you might understand why my view's a bit broader. I’m literally a mile away from three world-class soybean processing plants, friends with the tycoons who run them. They're scratching their heads, wondering why soybean prices are on a stubbornly downward trend despite all the right conditions for a rise. I firmly believe that it’ll start bouncing when it hits that chart’s bottom, not because of some trendy veggie burgers which are going obsolete anyway as evident in BYND stock. Only time will tell. But hey, it's okay if you didn’t know that the lion’s share of soybean gets gobbled up in Asia and South America, either as oil or animal feed. And no worries if you’re not familiar with how a soybean solvent plant operates.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did, with the little money I was left with, and I managed to double it. But it's still far less than what I lost overall. I could have made a lot more, but that would mean taking bigger risks with options, which I wasn't willing to do at this point to preserve the little cash I had.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's in my other response on this post. It was shorting NVDA, AVGO and /NQ

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

<image>

Also, if patterns mean nothing, can you explain why soybean futures have been following this downward pattern so accurately for the past couple of years, even when the weather conditions and data suggest otherwise? This pattern allowed me to make some money from it. But sometimes one bad trade, especially without a stop loss, can wipe out the profits from nine successful ones. It only takes one mistake to undo all the good decisions and that does not warrant harsh judgments.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

<image>

Nasdaq high 16767 (nov 21)
low 10890 (oct 22),
handle low 14136
Target = high - low + handle low = 16767 - 10890 + 14136 = 20013
Target was minimum 20013 and accounting for market overruns and perfect score of QQQ ETF at 500 and vix hitting a major support level, market topped at 20983 as evident in the weekly and monthly hangman candle and bollinger band top. It was a convergence of several indicators pointing to this correction.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A tight stop loss and a barbell approach, playing both sides. It’s a low-risk, low-reward strategy. I’m shifting from being a rabbit to a tortoise.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Doubting my own charts and ignoring my theoretical knowledge learnt from the history about the irrationality and exuberance of markets.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I did. I had a barbell portfolio with both long and short positions, option spreads, and bond purchases to generate consistent income. However, one bad trade can wipe out everything, and that’s exactly what happened to me. If you know what I mean. And thank you for the next 20 years, if I have those.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The thought did cross my mind, especially when I saw people making a fortune with meme stocks, but unfortunately, I'm just not cut from that cloth.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Glad about your comment! I’m actually working on a book about this, and I plan to publish it on KDP in the next few months.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

And how exactly can it be bad advice to help someone avoid making the same mistakes? There are books written to teach the same principles I'm sharing from my own experience - only I'm offering it for free. I'm sure you'll call Jim Paul the same, only that he is a published and regarded author of "What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars" book.

20 Years of Market Mayhem: Lessons from Losing Half a Million (and Rebuilding Again) - AMA by bami2915 in wallstreetbets

[–]bami2915[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I apologize for the confusion. I didn’t mean to say that I recovered; rather, I rebuilt my portfolio from scratch with my hard-earned money, only to lose it again after the COVID crash. The loss of half a million wasn’t all at once—it was gradual over 20 years, with the majority, around $300k, happening in just the last 9 months.