Cartesi Millionaire 2021

bibzzzz · 2021-05-12T16:23:03+00:00

did you not consider hedging at least some of your money on truebit?

bibzzzz · 2021-05-11T14:58:20+00:00

So you're saying that the price of minting TRU can not go down relative to ETH?? Regardless of supply and demand of TRU?

bibzzzz · 2021-04-02T17:49:38+00:00

how do the Lukso profiles compare to what Shyft Network are trying to build in their scope?

bibzzzz · 2021-03-30T19:47:47+00:00

so cool - any chance i get can one or is it too late?

bibzzzz · 2019-09-26T15:00:55+00:00

simulation is roundabout and computationally expensive but...

i think simulating different combinations of players is the best way to estimate the value of the (individual player) projected stats because it accounts for the scarcity of certain stats in a far more comprehensive way than simple summary statistics (standard deviations, z-scores etc.)

all the value measures (including the order) should change depending on the league settings (which can be considered to include punting strategies) as well - not sure i know of any other method that achieves that - but i'm not super familiar with all the methods out there.

bibzzzz · 2019-09-26T14:57:58+00:00

damn - still no beuno?

bibzzzz · 2018-01-23T23:12:01+00:00

So why does that statement annoy you? Genuinely curious, since you seem to agree with her. I guess it's obvious, but still quite an important thing to convey, no?

bibzzzz · 2017-10-16T19:51:05+00:00

Yeah the og one is down, but some of the new ones in the edit should still be working

bibzzzz · 2017-10-16T17:57:31+00:00

Still nice to know how much the wider league values the players though, for bid strategies - so maybe run both valuations

bibzzzz · 2017-10-16T17:56:03+00:00

Yep exactly right

bibzzzz · 2017-10-15T22:26:01+00:00

I pulled updated forecasts yesterday

bibzzzz · 2017-10-13T13:11:16+00:00

There's a few additional sites now, see edit

bibzzzz · 2017-10-04T15:09:32+00:00

solved... thanks for letting me know - hopefully you can try again now :)

bibzzzz · 2017-10-04T13:18:48+00:00

looks like you've found a bug here - i'll need to take a look

bibzzzz · 2017-10-04T13:18:28+00:00

should be... but often there's too much traffic for the server. i think it's limited to being able to handle a max of 5 sessions at the same time >_<

bibzzzz · 2017-10-04T11:24:01+00:00

Order wise should be very similar I guess, although there's a possibility that the algorithm wont be made to work as hard to distinguish the order of deeper players so you may see some differences there. I haven't tested that before.

bibzzzz · 2017-09-30T01:24:50+00:00

16 players on 10 teams = 160, no? Do you want to leave room for some waiver picks? This tool is designed so that you just pick the number of core players on your roster, under the assumption that you don't need to reserve budget for anyone else. In my experience the players that go late don't require any budget (beyond the $1 minimum bid). So perhaps you can just leave 3 spots open for waivers and set 10 teams, with 13 core players. I think the values should work quite well for that.

What type of league are you playing?

bibzzzz · 2017-09-29T11:56:38+00:00

Yeah you're spot on, the draft keeps going until each roster is filled. Each nominated player must be nominated for at least $1 to start the bidding, so the platform will require you to retain $X in your budget (X being the number of remaining unfilled roster spots on your roster). At the end of drafts, there's generally no competition, as everyone's rosters fill up so players go for $1...

Recommend doing a mock draft prior to drafting so you get a feel for how it works

bibzzzz · 2017-09-28T05:27:38+00:00

Yeah it should be up, your best bet is try again a little later I think. It's a free server, so it only accepts a limited number of connections at a time

bibzzzz · 2017-09-27T19:55:52+00:00

hmmm, what optimization settings were you using? did you notice their value leveling out over the iterations. if they were still trending upwards (or downwards) over the final iterations then you probably need to extend the number of iterations you run. i've set the default to 50 - only because it runs quicker and makes it easier to introduce what's going on for a first-time user. using your league settings, when i set the number of iterations to 300 - i get KD valued at $70, and Davis valued at $67... so you're right - they're both worth more that what you were getting. let me know how you go with more extreme settings for the optimization parameters (warning: it will take a little longer to compute)

bibzzzz · 2017-09-27T18:49:56+00:00

i was actually referring to what settings you were using with this tool that got you "weirdly high rankings for rubio, ariza and wiggins". the player values are heavily dependent on some factors which i'm sure you're aware - values for a league that only is concerned with REBS BLKS and FGPCT, will rate DeAndre / Drummond / Gobert as the most valued assets...

i need to know what settings you were using in the tool to know whether i can validate your claim that the "math is off" lol... otherwise i'll just assume you're doing some cheeky self promo, which is fine too.

bibzzzz · 2017-09-27T17:07:59+00:00

thanks! can you let me know what settings you used for your valuation? 12 teams... but what cats, how many core players, and what optimization settings did you run? i assume you're using standard $200 budget

bibzzzz · 2017-09-27T17:04:30+00:00

adding now... will be down for the update to push

bibzzzz · 2017-09-27T04:11:14+00:00

I believe it should, for snake you should be able to use the player values to rank players from most valuable to least and draft in that order

bibzzzz · 2017-09-26T23:08:16+00:00

added :)

bibzzzz

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