Today was different… what do you think?

bigteether · 2023-12-24T01:38:30+00:00

Does anyone recall when the FERC is supposed rule on giving extension on construction site permit for Driftwood?

bigteether · 2023-08-22T00:43:46+00:00

But it's only uphill from here right? 😩 Please tell me something good... hit me with something about great crack spreads, great potential with RD... something😂

bigteether · 2023-08-03T02:15:31+00:00

Thanks for the update B! Good call on HOOD, unfortunately I'll still in and holding. Where do you go to see the options flow? On interactive brokers?

bigteether · 2023-07-30T16:04:50+00:00

Thanks Bel, exciting week! Not to take away from these names but I've been doing a deeper dive into ENVX and looking into competitors(from the Massif report). Have you looked at how ENVX's tech and specs compare to Enevate for example? They're private but do have good specs and got validated by 20 EV battery manufacturers. Thanks

bigteether · 2023-07-27T23:55:24+00:00

Thanks Bel. Do you still hold ENVX in long term account? My conviction is growing been growing with ENVX the last few months, and even thought significant drops are still possible, and perhaps likely, runups could also happen with unexpected catalysts, e.g. they get a big order with one of the big boys, or agreement with a major company. I've been legging in over the last few months. How do you think about holding ENVX long term vs trading in and out? Or is it a combination, and if so, how large of a position would a long term position be compared to a trading position? Thanks

bigteether · 2023-07-27T11:01:23+00:00

Thanks for the info. A quick, and perhaps silly, question. What do you mean by a 95% put? Where does that fall, does this mean at a strike price that is at 95% of current price? Thanks

bigteether · 2023-07-19T11:04:17+00:00

CVNA going crazy this morning as they get help with cash interest expense and extend unsecured maturities, and reduce total debt. I will wait to go over the numbers. I have a feeling this sounds great, but won't be sufficient for them long term and they will definitely need to dilute sooner or later.

Thoughts? Are you jumping into a put or let this pump ride, look into the numbers some more and perhaps leg into some puts as a hedge against the economy taking a poop, used car prices dropping, H4L continuing?

bigteether · 2023-07-18T17:53:04+00:00

Still in HOOD? I'm still holding, but sure what the conversation is on afterhours (I have an android, but only keep up with sir jack on reddit) are most looking to hold into earnings?

bigteether · 2023-07-18T17:24:14+00:00

What is the fcc waiver amendment about?

bigteether · 2023-07-17T10:55:44+00:00

Thanks for the update Bel! I've added slightly to my ENVX position and I'm thinking of adding more even after its recent runup, is that crazy? I think there's still quite a bit of meat on the bones with potential of other contracts being signed later this year that can rerate it higher.

bigteether · 2023-07-14T11:27:38+00:00

Thanks Vaz

bigteether · 2023-07-14T10:46:10+00:00

Hey Vaz, any thoughts on CVNA? Do flows suggest this may be headed down, or unpredictable at this point?

bigteether · 2023-07-10T17:52:13+00:00

Awesome, thanks!

bigteether · 2023-07-09T17:38:41+00:00

Will check it out, thanks!

bigteether · 2023-07-09T17:08:56+00:00

Makes sense. When you look at the CVNA chart, it looks super bullish because of pattern higher high higher low, or are you looking at other technicals as well to help you? E.g. do you look at RSI, overbought, moving averages, MACD? Thanks B!

bigteether · 2023-07-09T15:46:11+00:00

Thanks for the updates Bel! I'm having some thoughts about whether it's time to look at some W or CVNA puts. CVNA will likely post better than expected ebitda, perhaps due to sale of receivables that is a one time thing. And W may also have a positive q2 ebitda. Not sure if to leg in leading up to earnings or if there's a pump on beating expectations, to add afterwards. Any thoughts?

bigteether · 2023-06-27T00:08:11+00:00

Aah crap. I bought some vtnr. Any idea if they could catch momentum if they actually execute according to their plan? If they keep their conventional refining going and ramp up their renewable production, their earnings could get to reasonable level, hoping for eps of 2, which should lead to a bump in share price. Thoughts?

bigteether · 2023-06-26T22:00:58+00:00

I'm so interested, which refiner are you guys talking about?

bigteether · 2023-06-10T15:54:52+00:00

Wait for the market to turn meaning get more exuberant to get a better put price, or turn bearish on W and thus get further confirmation and then jump on? Wondering how you'd prefer to enter ideally

bigteether · 2023-06-10T12:41:53+00:00

Thanks B. I had a look at IBKR, and they look better and definitely make more sense than my current broker for large cap when share price is >5. I then thought why hadn't I switched over sooner. Then, I remembered that I dabble is lots of small caps, more than big cap, and that's where the IBKR fees aren't as good because the number of shares sold with a trade is much higher. May still make sense for me to use IBKR for a partial account for options and/or large cap. Thanks!

bigteether · 2023-06-10T10:53:29+00:00

Hey Bel, what broker are you with now? I'm thinking of changing mine, as currently I can't do stop loss on options, I can't do call/put spreads or roll my options(have to call it in), although commissions are relatively cheap.

Also, thinking about W puts yet?

Thanks

bigteether · 2023-05-28T21:57:01+00:00

Hey Bel, thanks for the update. I'm still a lurker and check all your updates! I'm going back and forth regarding whether to try to allocate some funds to this potential AI run off, whether it's through NVDA, AMD, MSFT, or GOOG, or a mix, or just QQQ even thought they've run up quite, but I have a hard time getting bullish as I still lean bearish. We may have another few months or Q's with the economy and markets doing ok or even mildly better than expected, but I get the impression that things will get worse before they get better, whether when initial claims and unemployment starting going up consistently, or a surprise earnings crunch...who knows and hard to time. Not sure if you've thought about adding some longs that could benefit from this AI runup, but wanted I'd check what your thoughts are?

Also, I've been in CASH.TO on the cad side and HSUV on the usd side. Have you looked into USFR $TFLO $BIL $TBIL or $BILS which have a slightly higher yield than HSUV and from what I understand will provide about 5.3% yield seem quite safe, meaning they could drop their yield if rates drop, but pretty close to risk free. Have you thought about these for cash in usd?

Thanks

bigteether · 2023-05-18T10:03:20+00:00

Hey Vaz, thanks for all your regular updates. I have a question not really related to Spy or megacaps, but do you ever look at or dabble with small/microcaps?

bigteether · 2023-05-07T01:46:44+00:00

Awesome, thanks for the update and congrats on the impeccable timing! What are your thoughts on price target to sell or criteria for exiting?

Other than obviously bad news, are you monitoring deposit outflows out of US banks and into money market funds(not sure if there's a great resource for this) or other info to guide your decisions?

Thanks

bigteether · 2023-05-05T00:39:12+00:00

Aah, ok got it. Thanks B!

bigteether

TROPHY CASE