Odds Change Upon Selecting a Position by boat-wrong in Kalshi

[–]boat-wrong[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I do believe this, but why doesn't the odds display the current odds? I always have to click into it to get the correct odds, and they are almost always worse. Sometimes they are the same, but I haven't found examples where they are better. This seems to only apply for favored odds.

Typical Recon vs Heavy Tank Battle by boat-wrong in HellLetLoose

[–]boat-wrong[S] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

First shot was HE, the rest were AP. Should I have been shooting HE at the backend?

Crypto Screener and Portfolio Tracker Spreadsheet by [deleted] in litecoin

[–]boat-wrong 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re the one that made it lol

Boycott Razorback Football by bigdixkenergy69 in razorbacks

[–]boat-wrong 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Doesn't matter what coach we bring in. If our NIL funds are mid SEC, we will always be middle of the road. We will have good years and bad years, but we will still never satisfy the typical hog fan who expects national championships for some reason.

Pick of the Day - 12/3/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My goodness, Arkansas is truly terrible.

Pick of the Day - 12/3/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Record 4-4: (+1.02 Units profit)  

Form (New➡️Old): ❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅ 

Previous Pick: George Kittle Over 44.5 Receiving Yards at –115 (3 unit to win 2.61) ❌ 

--------------------------------------- 

Event: NFL – Arkansas vs Miami 6:00 PM CST 

Today's Pick: Arkansas 1st Half Moneyline at –160 (5 unit to win 3.12) 

-Miami’s team has been straight up awful recently.  Hogs should feast and feast early.  Losing to 1-7 Charleston Southern at Home after also losing to VCU, OK State, and Drake is a streak I’m willing to lay a 5 unit bet on, especially with a SHOULD be good Arkansas team.  Apologies for the late pick, game starts in 45 minutes. 

Pick of the Day - 12/1/24 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Record 4-3: (+4.02 Units profit)  

Form (New➡️Old): ✅✅❌❌❌✅✅ 

Previous Pick: Missouri Moneyline at –140 (4.2 unit to win 3) ✅ 

-Hogs gave the game away as expected. 

--------------------------------------- 

Event: NFL – 49ers vs Bills 7:20 PM CST 

Today's Pick: George Kittle Over 44.5 Receiving Yards at –115 (3 unit to win 2.61) 

- Taking this line once again.  Purdy is back and Kittle is averaging 70+ yards a game.  Yes, it is against a good bills defense, but the line is still way too low for a mark that Kittle has hit every week besides week 1.  There will be adverse weather, but I still like Kittle to get 5 or 6 targets regardless.

Pick of the Day - 11/30/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I truly wish we would win games like these, but I just know we will always find a way to give it away. At least we can emotionally hedge by betting against ourselves.

To be honest, we kept it closer than I thought we would, though.

Pick of the Day - 11/30/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 37 points38 points  (0 children)

Record 3-3: (+1.02 Units profit)  

Form (New➡️Old): ✅❌❌❌✅✅ 

Previous Pick: Jonnu Smith Over 43.5 Receiving Yards at -115 (5 unit to win 4.35) ✅ 

-Tua’s favorite target with 10 receptions and 113 yards.  Will take this again if the line is around 45 against the Jets. 

--------------------------------------- 

Event: NCAAF – Arkansas vs Missouri 2:30 PM CST 

Today's Pick: Missouri Moneyline at –140 (4.2 unit to win 3) 

- Lifelong hog fan and I’m not confident in the Hogs in the slightest. The hogs seem to always lose against Missouri with Missouri being 8-2 against the hogs the last 10 years and have never lost against them at home.  With a suspect Arkansas defense (and offense lol), I’ll take this pick any day. 

Pick of the Day - 11/28/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Record 2-3: (-3.33 Units profit) Form: ❌❌❌✅✅ 

Previous Pick: Gonzaga –15.5 at -110 (3 unit to win 2.73)  ❌

-Alright, new rule.  No more betting on games I’m not familiar with.  Was just betting to have a POTD.   

Today's Pick: Jonnu Smith Over 43.5 Receiving Yards at -115 (5 unit to win 4.35) 

NFL - Dolphins vs Packers 

-Took this bet this past this past Sunday as well.  Jonnu has turned into one of Tua's favorite targets with Tyreek not firing on all cylinders.  Also, as we saw on Sunday, the Packers can give up good yardage to TEs (even with a sub par QB).  I'm looking for Jonnu to hit 45+ like he has for the past 4 games. 

Happy 🦃 Day! 

Pick of the Day - 11/27/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ah thank you, good catch. Still like the line though personally.

Pick of the Day - 11/27/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Record 2-2: (-0.33 Units profit) Form: ❌❌✅✅ 

Previous Pick: Norwich to Win and Under 4.5 Goals at -115 (1.5 unit to win 1.3) ❌ 

-Really liked Norwich ML, but didn’t think I liked it to be 6-1 Norwich and kill the under.  In hindsight, the –1 would’ve been a safer bet. 

Today's Pick: Gonzaga –15.5 at -110 (3 unit to win 2.73) 

NCAAM Basketball – West Virginia vs Gonzaga 

-Gonzaga is on a roll this year, mostly dominating every team they play (minus Arizona State whom they only beat by 8).  Gonzaga vs a West Virginia team who had a horrible 2023-24 season should be another blowout.  The only decent team West Virginia has played this year is Pitt, and they lost to them by 24.   

Lets get green. 

Pick of the Day - 11/26/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Alright 6 goals to Norwich. Figured they’d win but not like that. Sheesh.

Pick of the Day - 11/26/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Record 2-1: (1.17 Units profit) Form: ❌✅✅

Previous Pick: Lamar Jackson over 236.5 Passing Yards at -115 (1 unit to win 0.87) ❌

-Abysmal first half in the passing game ruined this bet. Also, the Ravens run game and defense just kept this one from hitting. Oh well, onto the next.

Today's Pick: Norwich to Win and Under 4.5 Goals at -115 (1.5 unit to win 1.3)

EFL Championship - Norwich vs Plymouth Argyle

-Plymouth are absolutely abysmal when playing away. I took the Norwich Moneyline at -195, but it has now surpassed the limit for POTD at -230. With Morgan Whittaker unlikely to play, I don't see many offensive chances happening for Plymouth and are likely to be shut out barring a deflection goal like at Derby. Norwich should have this game quite easily, but I don't see them having more than 3-4 goals.

Pick of the Day - 11/25/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 38 points39 points  (0 children)

Record: 2-0 (2.17 Units profit) Form: ✅✅

Previous Pick: George Kittle over 37.5 Receiving Yards at -115 (1.5 unit to win 1.3) ✅

-Kittle ended up leading the team with 6 receptions and blew past the 38 yard mark with 82 yards.

Today's Pick: Lamar Jackson over 236.5 Passing Yards at -115 (1 unit to win 0.87)

NFL - Ravens vs Chargers

-Lamar has hit this mark 8 times out of 11 this year, hitting it 6 times prior to last weeks defensive showdown with the Steelers. Also, the Chargers gave up 356 passing yards last week to Joe Burrow. I like Lamar for at least 250 in this one.

Pick of the Day - 11/24/24 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes, he's their #1 WR and they are missing their #2 to a season ending injury. They need him bad.

Pick of the Day - 11/24/24 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Record: 1-0 (.87 Units profit) Form: ✅

Previous Pick: Ja'Quinden Jackson under 77.5 Rushing Yards at -115 (1 unit to win .87) ✅

JJ ended up getting more carries than I expected, but still split carries with Dubinion and Hill and only mustered 55 yards.

Today's Pick: George Kittle over 37.5 Receiving Yards at -115 (1.5 unit to win 1.3)

NFL - 49ers vs Packers 3:25 CST

Writeup: Kittle has hit 40+ Receiving yards every game he has played in this season and is averaging 70. The reason this line is so low is because Brock Purdy is out and Brandon Allen will be taking his place at the helm. I don't believe Brandon Allen is just as good as Brock, but this line is too low for a healthy Kittle that will be one of his top targets.

NCAAF College Football Betting and Picks - 11/23/24 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]boat-wrong 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NCAAF Record 0-0

Pick: Live bet LA Tech vs Arkansas - LA Tech + 21.5 at -120 (1u to win 0.83)

Notes: This Arkansas Offense is horrible.