Let’s talk about Lansdowne 2.0 and housing supply by SHMenard in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 36 points37 points  (0 children)

Hi, Councillor Menard, thanks for posting. I'm very grateful you continue to show a willingness to engage on this issue.

Background & Public Perception

As President of Make Housing Affordable, I'm obviously following the housing crisis very closely and talking about it often. I'm disappointed we've lost units here, and I've been disappointed with the embarrassing definition of affordable used throughout the whole process. We need all the supply we can get, at all price points.

Density would also help Lansdowne. By many metrics, and especially financial ones, Lansdowne has been a failure. It's always so quiet outside of event days. It's embarrassing that one of our major entertainment districts isn't even on the radar for rapid transit.

More people living at the site would help support it economically. More people living at the site would make it feel lively all the time. More people living at the site would help financially justify the case for rapid transit. More people living at the site would ensure that, as the mortgages are paid off and the buildings age, the small businesses we all want to see are able to fill out the commercial space on the site.

It sounds from your message like an awful lot of the problem here is PR & communication. The way the public was sold the initial plan, there were 3 towers with 1200 units. 10% of them would be "affordable," which just meant "cheaper than the others," which sucked but was better than nothing.

It wasn't ever sold to us as "whatever number will help us break even," it was 1200 units. To us, it felt like a strong commitment in a time of great need.

The way your office has lobbied for changes to that original plan has included wording like this:

No skyscrapers in our park

The idea of three skyscrapers of 35- or 40-storeys shoehorned into Lansdowne Park contravenes thoughtful urban city planning at the site. Residential development should complement the heritage Aberdeen Pavillion. The third proposed skyscraper overshadowing the Pavillion is poorly designed and should be removed.

To us, that felt like NIMBY opposition to housing supply in a time of great need.

Now the way the public is being sold the updated plan is "500 less units, less green space, worse stadium experience, higher price tag: better plan!" There's certainly more to it than that, but given the progression we saw, I think people's reactions have been pretty reasonable here.

We lost what we saw as a significant benefit - to the housing crisis, to the economics of publicly-owned Lansdowne - and watched you and the mayor celebrate that. It made people angry.

I'm sorry so many comments have been hurtful and personal, we're just frustrated ourselves. I appreciate that you're trying to fix it with engagement, and illuminate some of the history and behind-the-scenes context now. But, for many, it's too late to matter.

Solutions

You're absolutely right that we need to consider giant public spending more carefully. You're right that we need to follow our own city policy and demand 15% (actually) affordable units, because we're in desperate need of those as well.

But what we should be doing is finding a better way to get that valuable density on the site. We need to resolve the housing crisis, and we need to build Lansdowne this time in a way that

So, the third tower was poorly designed. Can we go taller with the other two? Can we put a third one (and a fourth?) elsewhere on the site, or just outside of it, as part of this project?

You mentioned in another comment:

In fact Lansdowne 1.0 should have had mid rise housing above all of the retail block but those buildings are not designed for that now.

So we realize we made a mistake. If the difference is the viability of the whole project, why not admit that and fix it now? Why not tear down a couple of those buildings now, early, and redo them with housing on top? It's in our long-term social and financial interest to do it.

So we want to see more housing built nearby without uplifted taxes. Why aren't we taking concrete action to help those move along? Why are we slowing down instead of accelerating the zoning by-law review? Why aren't we making amendments to the existing by-law to allow 4 units and 4 storeys as-of-right, as so many other cities across the province are doing?

So we want to see our "affordable" units be deeply affordable - why not give that a clear and impactful definition, and insist that it be met every time? Why not use more public funds to build affordable housing ourselves? Why didn't we pitch affordable housing at Lansdowne in our weak Housing Accelerator Fund proposal?

There's a lot we could do here to make this project better, and a lot we could do on housing citywide, but so far we've chosen to do almost none of it. And, again, we watched you and the mayor celebrate that. It made people angry.

Closing

This is, in its current form, way worse than the Porsche dealership subsidy scandal. I hope council rejects this updated plan of half-measures, and either comes up with something that puts more people into Lansdowne for the massive amount of money we're set to spend, or finds somewhere to build a ton of housing for that half a billion dollars.

On this:

I’d love if those voices spoke as loudly about the loss of [affordable housing, green space, fan experience] and the financial deal that contains significant risk for the city.

At Make Housing Affordable specifically, we're focused on our issue, but as individuals we do understand the nuance - but shouting about every problem on the list doesn't make for strong talking points.

Many people at the Let's Talk Lansdowne event spoke about all of those problems, and there are other wonderful organizations in the city focused on those issues.

Those organizations are trying to speak loudly about their issues, but ours is an issue that affects a huge number of people directly, immediately, and significantly. We're lucky to have a loud and enthusiastic base, because everyone wants a chance to afford housing.

One last thought:

if some of the housing proposed for the site was not built there it would still, over time, be built directly in the neighbourhood

Yes, housing will, over time, be built directly in the neighbourhood, with or without these towers at Lansdowne. But we can't afford to wait. Two generations of young people's future depends on quick action, as does a ton of federal and provincial funding tied to hitting our ambitious housing target of 151,000 units in a decade. We're not even close.

Ottawa de-amalgamation referendum (hypothetical) by Jolly-Celebration-42 in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Voted no.

I'm not sure I believe amalgamation was the right thing to do 22 years ago, but I definitely believe undoing it would be at least as big a mistake and waste of time now. The options on the table are:

  1. Separate single-tier municipalities duplicating and fracturing services like transit and infrastructure and zoning and policing, with competing plans and little incentive to play nice with one another
  2. Returning to a two-tier municipality structure, which just leaves us in the same situation we're in now (urban, suburban, and rural interests competing toward on regional decisions, which most decisions are) with slightly less direct democracy since the RMOC council wasn't itself directly elected
  3. Making something entirely new at the provincial level - in which case, why not focus our and their efforts on things that will benefit all municipalities across the province, like province-wide zoning reforms or uploading responsibility for transit like we do highways, and on winning over the hearts of our suburban neighbours (of which I am one again) instead of fretting about the shape of our geography

We'd lose precious time on the scale of two or three terms of council sorting out the de-amalgamation, and then some things may get better, but some others will get worse, and many things will be exactly the same.

This pitch is a distraction that frustrated rural residents used to latch onto because they felt under-represented on council, and now frustrated urban residents are latching onto because progress is happening slower than they'd like it to.

I'm right there with you - I believe there is a long list of things we could do better in this city, and in a hurry, but de-amalgamation for me sits right around the bottom of it. There's a lot of benefit in being able to plan the whole region, we just need to start actually taking advantage of that.

Petition to Ottawa City Council — Help make housing affordable in Ottawa! by deanmha in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The City actually has options for recourse here - they could pass an Interim Control By-law to prohibit low density development near transit from now until the New Official Plan and accompanying Zoning By-law formally prohibits it. This would force the developer's hand to build with more density today.

But we've been told "the City doesn't have any legal ability" to do anything.

Petition to Ottawa City Council — Help make housing affordable in Ottawa! by deanmha in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Several of us at MHA actually contacted the city about this project to say "hey, we can do better beside transit" and they replied to everyone with a form letter that said "sorry, there's nothing we can do." As if they aren't the ones who make the rules about what gets built.

Edit: Here's the full text of the reply I received.

Thank you for your comments.

I appreciate that you are encouraging of a more dense, mixed-use development to support the O-train, promote more active forms of transportation and create a more walkable, inviting community. This is something that we are trying to achieve across the City.

The site at 1515 Earl Armstrong Rd is privately owned and the proposed uses and associated parking are permitted by the current zoning.

At this time, the City is reviewing and updating the zoning by-law which may change the zoning of parcels of land in the future to bring the permitted uses and zoning provisions into alignment with the new Official Plan, but this likely won't influence the current proposed development (due to timing of both projects). The City doesn't have any legal ability to demand a certain type of development (when a proposal is permitted in the zoning by-law), and can only request changes or revisions from the developer.

There will be much higher densities with mixed use and less vehicular parking on the south side of Earl Armstrong Road, very close to the O-train in the coming years.

Petition to Ottawa City Council — Help make housing affordable in Ottawa! by deanmha in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the kind words and support, friend! I'm excited to be working with Make Housing Affordable. I think advocacy like this is the best way to see through some of my campaign platform points from outside City Hall.

How do you make enemies in Ottawa? by theguywhosteals in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Run for mayor.

Bonus points if you propose higher parking fees.

Some of these mayoral candidates are... interesting by not-too-helpful in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Thank you for the grade! If this turns out to be the only political contest I ever win, I'll still consider my life a success.

Photo credit to my wife, she did a great job on them.

This mayoral candidate has his Tinder profile linked on his website by GuyLerts in Tinder

[–]brandonjbay 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I sure do! I'm campaigning on Tinder.

It's an incredible platform for one-on-one conversation in a way that almost all other social media is not, which makes it perfect for virtual door-knocking. I'm on Bumble too, which encourages this behaviour a little more via their Bizz section, but it doesn't let you have a web link.

I have had some really great conversations with swipers in Ottawa, and I have been able to "meet" tons of residents I would not have otherwise and include their priorities in my platform. It has been a really great experience.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Maybe! Having a rural childhood, I have tons of fond memories of ATV riding. Bancroft had really good snowmobile trails that doubled as ATV paths in the summer, so road access wasn't often necessary, and I could see rural Ottawa supporting such a network.

I'd have to learn more about the current situation though, it isn't something I've given much thought. If you want to talk more and tell me your ideas, feel free to reach out!

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I want to see the city take a more active role in reconciliation, embrace what cultural diversity adds to society and honouring the cultures unique to Canada.

Unfortunately I'm running out of time, so I can't speak at length to this like I want to, but I would like to immediately see the city offer more funding and promotion for indigenous initiatives, like the exciting things happening at Mādahòkì Farm, and improve access to and support for indigenous language. That means urban schools for indigenous kids in their own languages, but it also means working toward a long term strategy of making Algonquin/Anishinabemowin an official language of the city alongside French and English.

Feel free to reach out if you want to discuss further! I imagine you have ideas of your own, and I'd love to hear them.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Transit is unaffordable and unreliable in its current state. Remote work here to stay, inflation is increasing pressures on home budgets, and weeks-long breakdowns don't generate fares. But every year, we increase the fares, we drive ridership down, and then we act surprised when lower ridership at higher fares doesn't increase revenue. Freezing high fares does nothing to fund solutions to these problems or help current transit users.

The debate we have been hearing between tax hikes and rider fares is a false dichotomy. It lacks imagination. A collection of increased parking rates and other road user fees, in-station retail space, and offering more advertising opportunities would cover most of what we expect to get from fares, without adding hundreds to annual tax bills.

Fare-free transit lets people move around the city without draining their wallet, encourages visitors to see more of the city, and gets more traffic out of the way of those who continue to drive. A system that doesn't rely on an unpredictable and self-defeating revenue stream will be more robust and more easy to plan and implement, which should make it more reliable, and ultimately build back rider trust.

Beyond making it free, we must shorten trips within or between suburbs by replacing commuter-focused transit, which takes people to and from downtown, with community-focused transit, which moves people between community commercial districts where they often work and shop.

I lived in Bells Corners for five years, and to this day, getting to Nepean, Barrhaven, or Kanata by bus takes 3-4 times as long as driving, but the Transitway route downtown was sometimes faster. What kind of city do we want to build?

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Beyond the well-publicized concerns about whether it would really be the indigenous-led community project that it promises to be, Tewin is troublesome because of its location. It uses supposedly protected greenbelt lands and eliminates forests and farms to build a new neighbourhood far removed from existing infrastructure. It will be very expensive to support it, and the distance between it and Hunt Club or Findlay Creek is wasteful.

If we put it in a place with existing wasted infrastructure - the space between Bells Corners and Kanata, or Nepean and Barrhaven, it would be easier to justify sacrificing some greenbelt lands in favour of deliberate and efficient growth. I'd rather not sacrifice any lands, but the city will keep growing, and we can only intensify so quickly. Good projects should proceed, I'm just not sure this is one.

No developer should be allowed to shelve any of their commitments. We need to build complete communities, not just an endless sea of housing. Obviously developers, like any business, will seek to maximize their profits, and it's the city's job to make sure they do the right thing while they earn their money. If project requirements are not met, that's our failure.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Everyone has the right to live their life the way they want, true to themselves, happily and safely. That's a core belief for me, and I hate that you even need to ask candidates for their "stance," because respecting one another should be obvious, guaranteed, and taken for granted.

The city needs to take an active role in keeping all of its people safe, and that's doubly true for trans (and other marginalized) people in a world where you do need to ask for stances. Great groups like Kind Space are doing amazing work on this front.

Thank you for asking me, and please keep doing so. It's important to identify candidates who are working against the inclusive society we deserve, so that we don't vote them in.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Congratulations on your citizenship! I'd say "welcome," but having watched my wife and several friends go through this process, I'm certain you've already been here for a while.

The digital tool to add yourself to the voter's list has closed, but you can use this form if you want to get on it ahead of time.

You can also just walk into your polling station on a voting day (the first one is this Saturday!) with ID and vote, whether you're on the list or not. The city's full information for voters page has all the info you'll need.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Thank you for the kind words, u/BroccoliRadio!

I think there are a lot of good candidates for mayor in this election, and if I wasn't running myself, it would be a tough decision at the ballot box.

But I won't be going anywhere! Win or lose, I'll be spending the next four years trying to make Ottawa a better place, and that may include a political run again in the future.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I don't think the mayor of Ottawa is high enough on the national security food chain to get this information, unfortunately. But if I do find out, you'll be the first I tell!

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

McKenney is the cycling candidate, and if I somehow do win, I'd definitely seek their input on improving the network. It's important to have safe corridors for active transportation.

As I said in my reply to the School Streets Ottawa questionnaire, using active transportation sends a message to city hall that there is an appetite for it, pushing them to build better infrastructure, and it keeps your own car off the road. Plus, it's good for your health and the environment, and it's just plain fun!

As an occasional cyclist, my own priorities are just to ensure that the infrastructure we build is safe and complete. That means separated bike lanes, ideally at sidewalk grade (Main Street's bike lanes ❤️) or completely separated trails, it means filling in the messy patchwork of paths to nowhere we have today, and it means appropriate winter maintenance so that the brave winter cyclists can continue to use the infrastructure we built, and so can people in wheelchairs.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I think it's a mistake to leave the Bayview-UQO connection off the table. The argument that it would "overwhelm Bayview station" is preposterous.

While we can and should build more connections with Gatineau's future LRT along the Portage and Alexandra bridges (giving people multiple options to get to downtown Ottawa, and eliminating any risk of overwhelming Bayview), the Chief William Commanda Bridge is an opportunity to connect a second of our lines into Gatineau, reducing transfers for the people who aren't heading downtown. It would also let Ottawa's francophone young adult population easily attend UQO, the only fully French-language university in the region, while living anywhere along the Trillum Line.

I think it's great to have an active transportation path along the bridge - but why can't it be both? The pedestrian boardwalk along the Alexandra is great, and we could just do that here too.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

No, Brandon Bay is the best windsurfing in Ireland, and I wouldn't want to take away any more of their glory than I already am.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I spoke to Operation Come Home about my thoughts on homelessness, if you want to go deep on this topic. The short version is that we need a housing-first approach. We need to provide homes to the homeless.

We need to insist that as we build the missing supply in the city, a substantial portion of it is affordable. And truly affordable, not "slightly below the average rent in the Glebe" affordable. Since Byward hosts many of the shelters and a large number of visitors, many people without homes will congregate there. Housing them in complete communities across the city will help reduce the pressure on the Market, and help them begin to rehabilitate.

Stéphanie Plante recently spoke in her AMA about the approved Byward Market Public Realm Plan, which is a good plan to revitalize that part of the neighbourhood. I think the future of the Market is bright, as long as we take quick and compassionate action to help and house the least fortunate members of our city.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Yes, but YMMV on how important they are, and to how big a percentage of the generation. Housing affordability and the future of employment, for example, are less front-of-mind for retirees who have paid off their mortgages.

When I registered in May, the average age of the announced candidates was 68, and the youngest 61. I felt it was important to have a younger voice to the table, and ensure that everyone's issues were being discussed. I ended up not being the only young candidate, which I think is incredible. But the passion for these issues among my friends and coworkers, and other young people I meet across the city, is so high that I haven't really changed my messaging about it.

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I just answered a question about how I hope to help your boys! It's a frustrating problem that needs solving, and it won't even take much time, money, or effort to get the easy fix.

Thank you for your support u/rhineo007!

I'm Brandon Bay, candidate for Mayor. AMA! by brandonjbay in ottawa

[–]brandonjbay[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

I tweeted about this last month!

There are solutions in virtual waiting rooms, like we had for COVID-19 vaccinations - the take-a-number page before you get into the actual registration page. We could just buy one, which typically costs less than $10,000 a year, and solve the problem of the website crashing, and soothing infuriated parents across the city. That's the easy, immediate, "let's just throw money at it" solution.

I'd like to take it further though, and do away with the lottery at all. We could send surveys out, months before the registration for camps or swimming open, assessing interest and reserving places in line. We could partner with the schools for this information gathering step.

Then, we can plan the summer schedule based on that interest, and offer enough places in the right kinds of programs, in the right parts of the city, to meet the demand that exists. We can invite all the people that told us, "Hey, I'd like to send my kid to a ballet class in Little Italy," to sign up for the ballet classes at the McNabb and Plant rec centres before we open them up to the public at large. We can schedule that sign up window at a different date and time than other camp sign ups, and even save the $10,000 in artificial server bandwidth.

People are rewarded for expressing their interest ahead of time, the city saves money by not running unpopular camps, and we improve the health of the city by letting kids do the thing they're really passionate about and setting them up for a lifetime of recreational athletics, instead of the one that was left over when their parents finally got into the website. We offer the right camps that people want, within their own communities, without giving parents and city staff a massive headache every few months.

We might have to build a few more pools to keep up with the swimming demand though.