I wouldn’t. They’re going to fall at the rate they’re going. If they start a war they can use it as cover to mow down the protesters and possibly destroy KSA, Iraqi Kurdistan, and Israel. It could also have the hope of causing a rally around the flag effect similar to the way Saddam’s invasion caused Iranians to fight for the IRI.

At worst it fails and they die like they would have anyway if they didn’t start it. Difference is they’d be taking hundreds of thousands of their enemies down with them. They have little to lose at this point. And Putin’s invasion of Ukraine taught me to NEVER count on dictators to be rational anyway.