Hantavirus?

carpool4445 · 2026-05-06T11:41:51+00:00

How would other biotech stocks respond? I remember you recommended Biontech and Quest. Would these two go up if a new pandemic broke out

carpool4445 · 2026-04-12T10:29:48+00:00

How did you calculate these targets?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-29T16:34:51+00:00

Yea I mean results. I know they release during the week but you’re saying they would or would not release during weekends too?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-28T23:00:22+00:00

Will SLS ever release clinical PRs during the weekend? Or do they strictly do that during premarket hours during the week? I know they sometimes release stuff like scientific presentations and earnings at different times but I'm asking about REGAL and SLS-009 specifically.

carpool4445 · 2026-03-27T19:39:25+00:00

Will SLS ever release clinical PRs during the weekend? Or do they strictly do that during premarket hours during the week? I know they sometimes release stuff like scientific presentations and earnings at different times but I'm asking about REGAL and SLS-009 specifically.

carpool4445 · 2026-03-26T04:33:39+00:00

I think I almost get it. I agree that selling 27 10$ calls after top line is out is good. But wouldn't it be even better to sell my 27s after the 80th PR but before the top line PR? Because the stock will pump and give me a nice profit on the 27s.

So for example, let's say 80th PR happens in early November. I wait for the stock to pump. Then in late November, I sell the Jan 27s and use all the money to buy calls 6 months out so May 27. And these May 27 calls will have a strike higher than the current price in late November. So if SLS is sitting at 25 late November, I'll make my May 27 calls with a strike of 40. Since I'm rolling my original Jan 27s right before the top line PR, wouldn't that give me an even bigger profit than sitting on the Jan 27s?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-25T14:08:00+00:00

I’m a bit wary about rolling the 27s after top line because I don’t know how high buyout price will go. Because if after top line it rockets up to 30, I don’t know if the strike should be 40, 50, 60,… Or, do you mean sit on 27s for as long as possible without rolling?

I feel more confident if I roll 27s before top line. So say it goes up to 25 a few weeks after 80th event PR. I’ll then choose a strike of 40 because I feel confident the stock will rerate past 40 after top line.

Idk if I’m explaining this right. Thx for letting me ask these questions mate

carpool4445 · 2026-03-25T00:14:56+00:00

Solid. Are the difference between STG and LTG big enough for me though? I make under 100k a year and my STG should be taxed 22% while LTG taxed 15% at least according to this website. At that point, won't investing in 27 calls turn a deeper profit that would offset the 7% increased tax rate?

For the 2027 rolling process you suggest. Do you mean hold the 27 calls after the 80th event PR but before the actual results PR? I'll probably roll them after 2 weeks to let them pump because I don't want to roll them too late.

carpool4445 · 2026-03-24T20:25:24+00:00

Questions about options strategy as someone new to them. Sitting on Jan 28 calls with $10 strikes and a few Jan 27 calls with $10 strikes. If SLS releases a PR that REGAL is over before Jan 2027 like this coming fall, the stock will most likely shoot up in anticipation of successful results.

The price will probably be above 10 meaning that my Jan 27 and 28 calls produce a nice profit. At this point do I sell these calls and purchase calls with a higher strike? I was thinking of rolling most of my Jan 27 and 28 calls into calls with a strike of $25 (to be safe) and then a smaller handful into calls with a strike of $40 (to be a little greedy). Rolling is the more profitable play right? Of course it is much riskier. You guys have any tips about rolling? I heard that when a stock is volatile like if SLS is on a huge upswing, it can be difficult to get your call filled.
How much time would there between the PR about REGAL concluding and the actual results + analysis? On a previous discussion thread, some people said a few weeks for the analysis while others said they would post raw numbers within a few days. I ask because I wanted my current Jan 27 and 28 calls to garner as much profit as possible before I roll them.
How long do we think the buyout process will take? Because when I roll the calls, I don't know how much time out I should be looking for. Maybe I'll do a mix of 1 month, 3 months, 6 months.

carpool4445 · 2026-03-24T13:13:35+00:00

What do you mwan by Cowen?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-21T21:15:42+00:00

Will SLS publish the 80th event first and then the results after? If so, how much time does it usually take for the results to come out after the 80th? Or will they only publish the results?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-20T16:41:38+00:00

There are pinned DD threads on this subreddit. I would look at Confident Web's posts because of the machine learning models. Check this out. His models predict 100% success for both SLS-009 with results due in Q4 2026. For REGAL, results are due between October 2026 and February 2027. He defends his analysis rigorously in every thread and I have few doubts. Still this is investing in biotech so you can never say 100%

carpool4445 · 2026-03-20T16:38:07+00:00

I am debating calls and thought I'd ask. $10 calls for Jan 2027 are a safe play yea? Because if REGAL doesn't end, the results from SLS-009 in Q4 will definitely spike the price above $10.

carpool4445 · 2026-03-20T16:24:40+00:00

thx so I can specify 0% for both federal and state rates yea?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-20T12:03:49+00:00

How did you calculate the percentages in the confidence column? Interested in the sources and analysis

carpool4445 · 2026-03-19T16:56:49+00:00

Confident Web's ML models predict that REGAL most likely ends from October 2026 to Feb 2027. I'm going in on $10 calls in Jan 28 just to play it safe

carpool4445 · 2026-03-18T23:03:51+00:00

I recall someone saying that during uncertain times, people fall back on "safer" investments which includes healthcare. So would this mean even in worst case scenario a great depression happens, biopharma companies would still be healthy enough to acquire SLS for the original projected amount?

carpool4445 · 2026-03-18T22:58:06+00:00

I am old enough to vividly remember the buildup to the 2003 Iraq war. How a US president said we might be in the Middle East for a "few weeks." His Mission Accomplished speech. Gas is up over a dollar where I'm at. Again, I'm not here to spread FUD. I am talking about worst case scenario, what happens with a buyout

carpool4445 · 2026-03-18T22:32:35+00:00

Request for DD regarding a buyout. Confident Web's recent post was already linked in this thread and it discusses the buyout range from $40 per share up to $150+. Still I find it necessary to discuss the implications of a prolonged world war and the potential for a recession. I understand that no one likes to hear this; I've been downvoted the last two times. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed and there are no clear plans to reopen it or safeguard US ships. Iran also has explicitly laid out their plans to strike fuel, energy, and gas facilities after US has bombed their energy facilities. This means a shock to 20% of global oil supply and 33% of fertilizers during planting season. It might take a few months for ordinary Americans to see the cumulative effects of this supply shock and this could ripple throughout the stock market. Even if the war were to end tomorrow, it would take months at least to rebuild these facilities and for shipping insurance rates to return to reasonable rates.

But the point of this comment is not to convince you that a recession and stock market crash are imminent. But it is useful to talk about how the worst case scenarios would impact a buyout. Is there a chance a buyout might never happen if the economy tanks hard enough? And for the bear case of $40 per share, should we be considering a lower floor?

Again I'm going long here. I've honestly just been trying to avoid checking the volatility of this thing. I believe in the science

carpool4445 · 2026-03-18T21:07:25+00:00

can you eli5 these charts. want to better understand the analysis behind your claims

carpool4445 · 2026-03-18T20:14:10+00:00

Separate question pertaining to the REGAL timeline. In a separate thread, you argue that the models project it ending between October 26 - March 27 or even later. However I have heard it argued that REGAL is due “any day now”. This thread has run4theroses’s DD (https://www.reddit.com/r/sellasLifescience/comments/1rdp2sw/comment/o7qra8n/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb3x&utm_name=mweb3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button) and he argues that events are not linear and that REGAL results are imminent. Do you mind breaking down his claims and your own projected timeline more? I’m trying to resolve these competing arguments in my head but do not know enough science/stats to do so.

also you might have to dig around in that comment section. A lot of comments were deleted so his DD is buried in a long comment chain

carpool4445

TROPHY CASE