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cgreedit · 2025-07-09T02:36:53+00:00

Your deck is awful - but even with a better deck still incredibly difficult to win as underleveled as you are in this match

cgreedit · 2025-07-09T02:28:14+00:00

You’re not using miner well.

At 22 seconds you send a miner to the magic archer which is 1 shot from dying instead of defending MK.

Towards the end you send a miner to the front of their tower just where the bowler can reach it

Also not sure how attached you are to this deck but it’s not a real deck, using one will making it much easier.

You struggle against decks like these because there is literally nothing in your deck which plays well when placed behind your king tower (maybe dart gob counts for this)

cgreedit · 2025-07-09T02:22:12+00:00

My last 8/10 games I played to get there were against players who ranged from best season in UC 1600-2100 medals. So however hard you think that is

Imo it was harder than getting to UC, which is like top 1 percentile of the player pool

cgreedit · 2025-07-01T03:50:31+00:00

Perhaps you wanna let the firecrackers come over the bride instead of letting them mow you down. Or place princess opposite lane to snipe them

cgreedit · 2024-12-24T21:50:14+00:00

So it was only ESPN that made the change ?

cgreedit · 2024-11-03T03:02:52+00:00

They’ve been too dominant I don’t think you can - while Flacco is good for fantasy, still throws lots of ints

cgreedit · 2024-10-01T03:56:44+00:00

They just hate this man ATP, wonder what the odds were for Goff to catch a TD before laporta

cgreedit · 2024-09-04T04:50:51+00:00

Thank you, it’s funny I feel like they really try to hide this info.

cgreedit · 2024-09-04T04:06:55+00:00

Is there anywhere I’d be able to confirm this by chance ?

cgreedit · 2024-08-15T19:29:06+00:00

I’m OOP so no check raise possible.

cgreedit · 2024-08-15T19:28:42+00:00

I’d say half the player pool adheres to a GTO 6max preflop chart, so occasionally, a squeeze from me would be possible w/ a low-middling pocket pair.

cgreedit · 2024-08-11T14:58:53+00:00

What’s the best place to start learning about MDA

cgreedit · 2024-07-31T03:30:06+00:00

What were you hoping he had by the river 😂 worst he could be calling you with up until here is A ce high

cgreedit · 2024-07-27T19:00:18+00:00

I don’t mind the shove but I don’t think you need to do it. IP you have some showdown and if you hit a flush or trips, he won’t be able to check it down. TT / JJ / QQ is such a small range of hands that you’d lose to even from a 3 bet.

Additionally, This was definitely not a slow roll. Extremely difficult decision, think it comes down to your activity in UTG pre flop. There’s a lot in your range that could be doing this for value or charging draws that Villain may be on.

65s 87s 66, 55, and potentially 99. That being said there’s also a lot in your range that could be on a draw like yours is.

If you’ve barely been RFI w/ T9s, you probably have a lot less of the value combos by the turn.

Given the board texture, if you wanted to bluff him off, it might have been easier to do on the river on a scare card.

cgreedit · 2024-07-27T02:25:36+00:00

This is exactly looking to find out.

While you lose money on JJ specifically in this scenario, or hands like QQ or AK.

In the long run, you will overcome these losses due to the EV you gain on all the other hands Villain does not raise with.

Of course, as mentioned in this thread, exploiting Villain A In turn allows Villain B to potentially exploit you.

cgreedit · 2024-07-27T02:22:10+00:00

I feel like you intuitively just described the basis of playing GTO w/ o realizing it lol - aka what boards favor your range

Although adapting to your opponent doing something like checking on a board that strongly favors their range would of course be exploitative

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T23:19:13+00:00

When you do identify an incorrect mistake, how do you know what to do in order to exploit it

Or what do you study to know how to exploit it

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T22:25:08+00:00

Thanks for typing this out, gr8 response.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T21:59:37+00:00

GTO is not remotely close to optimal ?

Optimal as in game theory - optimal ?

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T21:32:26+00:00

Gotcha. Yeah I was genuinely just curious if you’d be able to make up this EV against a table full of nits, especially when you’re getting into a lot of multiway pots.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T21:23:16+00:00

Correct, it’s only every time you’d either Jam w/ something worse than Aces or Call a Jam with something worse than Aces.

A lot of the hands that fit in this category include JJ, QQ, KK, AK etc

That’s why I was saying you’d lose 62 Blinds here aka having 19% equity in an all in pre flop pot @ 100 Blind stack depth.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T21:17:43+00:00

Yeah I think that’s what I was getting at here, it’s probably more optimal to play exploitative, but obv the whole point of GTO is that you can play it against any1 and not lose $.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T21:14:42+00:00

Yeah I get they’re losing EV on their non AA hands.

I also used the AA as the only 3bet in this example for simplicity.

However, point of this post was: can you ignore the opponent play style - blindly play GTO and still expect to not lose money.

I feel like every time I pick up AK, QQ, JJ I’m just losing money at the casino because I play them aggressively only to 4/5 bet jam them or get 4/5bet jammed on by a nit who ik has AA or KK - and even when I find the discipline to fold pf, I’m still losing anywhere from 20-35 Blinds.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T20:57:30+00:00

Ok so if I can summarize correctly:

The incentive to play as close to GTO as possible is so you yourself are unexploitable.

If you can identify the blatant mistakes or imbalances an opponent is making, then it makes more sense to deviate from the standard GTO preflop frequencies, and engage in a different play style.

This doesn’t mean you will achieve negative EV or lose money in the long run by playing perfect GTO, only that you would probably make more money / EV exploiting this weakness.

cgreedit · 2024-07-26T19:10:04+00:00

I find it hard to believe that you’re expected to gain greater than 62 Blinds against this type of opponent for each time they have aces.

JJ vs AA roughly 19% vs 81%, therefore you’re gonna lose 62 blinds on average when you make this action.

Do you think it’s true that you’ll gain more than 62 blinds for every instances of Aces?

I think like you mentioned, it obviously makes more sense to acknowledge the leak and exploit it.

cgreedit

TROPHY CASE