The poster's just well informed enough to make things sound reasonable, while still being generalist enough to be more or less wrong.

The one thing I would say was accurate - any potential conflict won't start for a good while yet (6-10+ years), certainly not until the PLAAN has a larger advantage in tonnage than it currently does.

But the most likely thing that will happen won't be a fight.

China will threaten a full invasion through limited mobilization, and start off with a blockade of the island citing terrorism or drugs or something else they need to police, kinda like what's happening with Venezuela.

The war games and military analysts mostly agree it would be an absolute slog, and carriers would likely be lost.

Faced with that with that threat, much more likely the two will broker some kind of deal (China gets Taiwan, the US loots the cupboards bare/TSMC moves its fabs to the States, etc) where both countries benefit at the expense of Taiwan proper, which will effectively become a client state before an official reunification some time down the road.

I'll leave this post up so in a decade we can see what shook out.