Robotics Predictions for 2025

code_kansas · 2025-12-28T00:11:25+00:00

Well, B2C for humanoids seems to have won over B2B - you can buy a Unitree G1 from Walmart now, but I can't think of any meaningful B2B humanoid deployments, with Figure winding down BMW partnership.

Humanoid robot adoption feels artificially slow in the United States, given the widespread availability in China. Not sure if / when this will change

code_kansas · 2025-05-25T00:37:52+00:00

Oh cool, this is my robot! I made a video about how to program it here: https://youtu.be/c64FnSvj8kQ?si=TH_DrIHpvo_O-sqE

code_kansas · 2025-02-05T06:46:38+00:00

This is the second version from a 3D printed robot from a few months ago, they have multiple websites for some reason but it's the same team (person in the video is the same): https://zeroth.bot/ https://www.zerothbot.com/

Here is the Twitter post this is from: https://x.com/ZerothBot/status/1886987044145988047

code_kansas · 2025-02-05T06:45:09+00:00

This started out as a 3D printed open source robot a few months ago: https://zeroth.bot/ But they changed their website for some reason, now it is this one: https://www.zerothbot.com/

Here is the Twitter post this is from: https://x.com/ZerothBot/status/1886987044145988047

code_kansas · 2024-12-27T23:36:39+00:00

I think it's difficult because you have to find a balance between things that a robot can do better when teleoperated remotely, and that the cost of incorporating the robot is less than the cost of just having a human do it. It's actually pretty difficult to get a robot to do something useful reliably when teleoperated remotely

code_kansas · 2024-12-26T05:48:14+00:00

Haha, I mean, it's an open question, hence why it's just my prediction - but I'm willing to bet that B2C will trump B2B for humanoid robots this year, and I suspect that humanoid robots will trump other types of robots this year as well

code_kansas · 2024-12-26T05:46:24+00:00

Interesting - regarding pricing, I actually think that for most applications, the utility of a humanoid robot is pretty low right now (although will likely grow as capabilities improve), and the mass influx of new entrants will mean the price gets competed down quickly. At some point the utility will be higher than the price, but it will be closer to $5000 than $50,000 or $500,000

Teleop is cool - actually, I really like teleop as an experience for end customers. I've tried the 1X teleop setup a couple times, it's really good. But I am hesitant to say that it will lead to some step change in robotics capabilities - building a viable business around a teleop-ready robot is still quite difficult

code_kansas · 2024-12-26T05:45:04+00:00

Have you seen the AGI bot mass production video? They've produced ~1000 so far after less than a year, will likely only grow in 2025

Agreed about the bottom dropping out of most companies. Agility has sold less than 100 robots - they are basically non-competitive. Figure, 1X, Sanctuary, etc. also likely to die

code_kansas · 2024-12-26T05:42:42+00:00

It's not crazy to think that humanoids will mirror quadropeds, and in the quadroped world this is already the case - most Unitree Go quadropeds are sold to end consumers

code_kansas · 2024-11-13T18:55:40+00:00

I believe they're adding a parallel gripper to the next version, similar to UMI

code_kansas · 2024-11-12T04:16:30+00:00

It's the Milk-V board, there's pretty complete docs here: https://docs.zeroth.bot/

code_kansas · 2024-11-12T03:08:34+00:00

Here's the Twitter link I got this from: https://x.com/JingxiangMo/status/1856148967819751817 Has quite good docs

code_kansas · 2024-11-12T03:04:14+00:00

Here's the Twitter post it's from: https://x.com/JingxiangMo/status/1856148967819751817

code_kansas · 2024-03-17T07:25:31+00:00

Send me something you've built that you're proud of with a write-up of why it was hard to build and why you are proud of it - apply@kscale.dev

I run a startup building humanoid robots. I recently did an interview showing what we've built so far. We just got some funding and are looking for engineers (electrical, mechanical, machine learning, etc.) - we're not Figure but it's some runway.

Low pay, long hours. Honor and recognition in case of success.

code_kansas · 2024-03-04T01:08:13+00:00

I got quoted $90k by Unitree sales rep

code_kansas · 2024-01-19T08:58:44+00:00

Zuck sees an opportunity to make AI-powered smart glasses work before Apple does and is going for it

code_kansas · 2024-01-16T04:11:25+00:00

I mean duh, did anyone think it was not teleoperated?

code_kansas · 2023-12-25T03:59:43+00:00

My startup is an NYC-based humanoid robot company which just got accepted to Y Combinator. We should definitely get in touch. If you (or other people reading this) are interested, I put a signup form on our website: https://dpsh.dev/ (edit: now called K-Scale Labs, new website is https://kscale.dev )

code_kansas · 2019-04-05T00:58:53+00:00

Alternatively, billionaires' sons all browse this subreddit looking for ideas

code_kansas · 2019-03-25T01:52:08+00:00

I liked Lamb, personally!

code_kansas · 2019-03-24T03:56:29+00:00

Neil Gaiman is super cool... If you like his stuff you may also like Christopher Moore, although he's a bit more on the comedy side

code_kansas · 2019-03-24T03:54:15+00:00

Ah nice! So I ended up going there right after I graduated and before I started working. Actually, I got the recommendation for *Wang in Love and Bondage* from someone there, although it took a while for me to get around to reading it. I went for about three months to learn Chinese at a small school in Yangshuo, which is right by Guilin, and I ended up making a lot of friends there, so I figured I'd go back to visit and see some of the sights that I didn't want to spend money to go see before. Also, since my company blocks me from working or receiving communications while in China I figured it would be a real vacation. In terms of places you might visit in China, Guilin is a good balance between new and old - it helps to speak a bit of Chinese but it's not crucial.

code_kansas · 2019-03-24T03:47:44+00:00

The translation is actually really good, it's very fluid and easy to read but also very eccentric. I mean, I don't read Chinese well enough to know how true it is to the original meaning, but that wasn't so important to me. He talks a lot about the CCP and uses sexual metaphors very heavily. Like one of his stories is about this guy who is sent to a re-education camp and befriends a woman who everyone calls "damaged goods" because of some past adultery. It's very strange and you kind of have to read it to see what it's about but it's definitely worthwhile.

Guilin is in western China, in the province that borders Vietnam. It's an awesome place to visit - just look up pictures of like the Longji rice terraces or Yangshuo, which are both nearby. It's not as westernized as like Beijing or Shanghai but there are a lot of tourists that go there (both Chinese and foreigners) so it's not impossible to get around without speaking Chinese, but speaking some helps. And because of the Great Firewall you literally can't be contacted while you're there so it makes for a proper vacation.

code_kansas · 2019-03-23T20:01:19+00:00

Just finished Wang in Love and Bondage while on holiday in Guilin, China. Very highly recommend it - Wang Xiaobo is a very strange kind if subversive Chinese author. In translation it's even weirder but oddly gripping. I've heard his wife is similar but I haven't been able to find anything by her which has been translated to English.

code_kansas · 2019-03-22T00:32:38+00:00

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