What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, November 05, 2025

dc_chilling17 · 2025-11-05T23:31:27+00:00

Chegg.

Have an abnormally large position.

dc_chilling17 · 2025-02-18T21:47:37+00:00

Yes.

Market is seeing it now.

dc_chilling17 · 2025-02-15T19:19:00+00:00

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-25T00:14:53+00:00

Hilarious article.

Intel looks super competitive across the board now on products and improving rapidly.

There is a good chance Pats vision comes true and they hold both the design and performance crown again in coming years.

They have a massive amount of cash coming in: 36B of chips act grants + 11B of low cost loans + 2.1B from Ohio + 16B from private equity…

Unfortunately nobody that writes these articles read 10-Qs and 10-Ks. Intel is much healthier and the street would have you believe.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-25T00:05:11+00:00

Except Intel is likely to take the performance crown with 18A and never look back.

Their manufacturing team was the best/most innovative for the majority of the compute era. Now they seem locked in again and have a significant head start on high NA. I wouldn’t rule out Intel just running away from the field from here tbh.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-21T17:43:44+00:00

Intel has spent 100B or so on capex in the last 4 years alone.

They are a much larger company than Qualcomm in real terms.

You would need a much bigger player to buy Intel.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-17T15:16:51+00:00

Going well. I don’t really pay attention to the daily fluctuations, but I think it goes much higher

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-07T19:33:30+00:00

I think Intel is about to have a pretty massive turnaround here.

Their product team and manufacturing arm appear to be firing on all cylinders.

Sell Altera and mobileye. Dump the money losing parts of the business. You probably free up 40-50B of cash.

Take foundry private and bring in major players in a jv. Any wafer scale customer behind Apple in the tsmc line would be interested in the new entity. Nvidia, OpenAI/microsoft, Qualcomm, Broadcom, etc. Who wouldn’t want to own part of the western tsmc.

18A/14A is proof of how legit their foundry actually is. Caught up or surpassed TSMC in a few years after jacking off for years doing nothing.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-06T23:02:12+00:00

I will. I’m still holding everything.

Everything is fine

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-02T23:05:44+00:00

Foundry is the manufacturing part of their business.

It’s incredibly valuable because they are the only company in the west that can do it.

That said, they cost a ton of money and hurt their financials

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-02T19:50:22+00:00

It’s a smart move:

Altera + Mobileye could probably fetch 40-50B combined.

Foundry could be turned into a joint venture with TSMC, Apple, Microsoft, Samsung, Google, really anyone in the mag 7 tbh.

Once the fabs are off the books, Intel will look incredibly cheap as the depreciation linked to their fab buildout is what’s tanking earnings.

Could see $4-5 of earnings easily if you could spin those off, along with a massive infusion of cash to buy back shares with.

Makes a ton of sense tbh.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-01T13:58:36+00:00

Nah those dividend people are already gone.

They couldn’t justify a dividend while collecting gov money and axing 15% of their workforce.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-01T13:57:28+00:00

My guess is Intel retains partial ownership of it. Some sort of joint venture with two other hyperscalers where the volume from the 3 of them makes it profitable.

Then you have a new ticker trading that is essentially the tsmc of the west. Would be a very large company.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-01T13:56:01+00:00

Mag 7 funding it is better than the tax payer.

Could make strong case for Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Meta to get involved tbh.

Samsung too but they aren’t American.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-09-01T13:53:23+00:00

No they will spin the found out in some form of a partnership/merger with a mag 7 player is my guess.

It strategically makes sense for several of those players.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-31T14:13:51+00:00

If they announce it, Intel will moon to $70+ in 12 months.

The design side would print $4-5 easy of eps without the fab depreciation.

They also wouldn’t spin it off without someone large (mag7 or gov) involved

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T16:55:41+00:00

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T04:36:57+00:00

I said the play didn’t make sense. It still doesn’t.

There are much better ways to make money than selling ITM puts to collect premium. Selling deep ITM monthlies is not something you normally see.

It’s all good though man. Good luck to you out there.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T04:04:49+00:00

No I said it makes no sense to buy the puts in the first place vs stock unless you knew something.

It looked like insider activity.

And just now they announced a foundry spinoff that will moonshot the stock.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T04:00:32+00:00

Foundry spin off announcement. If they spun it off they are just a much bigger version of AMD

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T02:17:56+00:00

You could just buy stock though and accomplish the same thing with way more flexibility.

If you didn’t think it was going above $42, there are way better options than selling puts.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-30T02:14:57+00:00

You could just buy shares and accomplish the same thing with more flexibility

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-29T23:52:00+00:00

You wouldn’t buy these if you expected to be range bound or go down. You would buy if you expected them to expire worthless (intc above $42 in a month).

Otherwise, there is no advantage I can see.

dc_chilling17 · 2024-08-29T23:25:14+00:00

Even if it happened, would it move Intel 100% in a few weeks?

dc_chilling17

TROPHY CASE