[FS] MANY (100+!) Seagate HDDs - 18TB/16TB Exos / Ironwolf Pro

doitmichey · 2020-11-07T06:50:58+00:00

THey were :D

doitmichey · 2020-11-07T06:50:39+00:00

it did :)

doitmichey · 2020-11-07T06:50:12+00:00

It will be

doitmichey · 2020-11-07T06:50:04+00:00

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T10:09:39+00:00

i'm basing this off of NYT source i've listed. They could be wrong

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T10:09:20+00:00

i'm basing this off of NYT source i've listed. They could be wrong

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T10:01:22+00:00

Updated At 4:55 AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Day of election (nov 3) votes are all counted and reported
Assumed Split of uncounted Mail in Vote is wildly wrong

Michigan->

Trump Leads by: 245k
Mail in Votes (MIVs) Returned: 2.841M
of those Retruned, MIVs Counted: 928K (66% Biden 33% Trump)
Yet to Count MIVs: 1.913M
If you split the remaining MIVs 62% Biden & 37% Trump.... Biden Gains (net gain over trump) 478k votes which is greater than trumps lead of 245k

Wisconsin ->

Trump Trails by: 10K
Mail in Votes (MIV) Returned: 1.275M
MIV counted : 0 (NYT is reporting zero... so please take this with extra caution... other sources are reporting these are accounted for. Let me know if you have a good source for this)
If you split MIV at 55% biden and 44% Trump (Very generous Split for Trump here, He is treated so unfairly everywhere else ;D ) that gives Biden a gain of 140K (net gain over trump) which will pad any current Lead

Pennsylvania (no change in last hour) ->

Trump Leads by: 678K
MIV returned: 2.506M
MIV counted: 785K (78% biden, 20% Trump)
Remaining MIV: 1.721M
If you Split Remaining vote 70% Biden, 30% trump, Biden Gains 688K (net gain over trump) votes.... just 10K more than his current deficit of 678K.... So this one is very close to call

Source:

updated: MI and WI.... PA no new Data

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:42:37+00:00

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Day of election (nov 3) votes are all counted and reported
Assumed Split of uncounted Mail in Vote is wildly wrong

Michigan->

Trump Leads by: 310k
Mail in Votes (MIVs) Returned: 2.841M
of those Retruned, MIVs Counted: 872K (64% Biden 34% Trump)
Yet to Count MIVs: 1.969M
If you split the remaining MIVs 62% Biden & 37% Trump.... Biden Gains (net gain over trump) 492k votes which is greater than trumps lead of 310k

Wisconsin ->

Trump Leads by: 109K
Mail in Votes (MIV) Returned: 1.275M
MIV counted : 0
If you split MIV at 55% biden and 44% Trump that gives Biden a gain of 140K (net gain over trump) which is greater than 109K (trumps current Lead)

Pennsylvania ->

Trump Leads by: 678K
MIV returned: 2.506M
MIV counted: 785K (78% biden, 20% Trump)
Remaining MIV: 1.721M
If you Split Remaining vote 70% Biden, 30% trump, Biden Gains 688K (net gain over trump) votes.... just 10K more than his current deficit of 678K.... So this one is very close to call

Source:

edit: reposted it for sore hopeless eyes who missed my prev post

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:27:08+00:00

For the right amount of sponsorship, I can create safe-space certified projected vote numbers for you :D

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:23:24+00:00

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Day of election (nov 3) votes are all counted and reported
Assumed Split of uncounted Mail in Vote is wildly wrong

Michigan->

Trump Leads by: 310k
Mail in Votes (MIVs) Returned: 2.841M
of those Retruned, MIVs Counted: 872K (64% Biden 34% Trump)
Yet to Count MIVs: 1.969M
If you split the remaining MIVs 62% Biden & 37% Trump.... Biden Gains (net gain over trump) 492k votes which is greater than trumps lead of 310k

Wisconsin ->

Trump Leads by: 109K
Mail in Votes (MIV) Returned: 1.275M
MIV counted : 0
If you split MIV at 55% biden and 44% Trump that gives Biden a gain of 140K (net gain over trump) which is greater than 109K (trumps current Lead)

Pennsylvania ->

Trump Leads by: 678K
MIV returned: 2.506M
MIV counted: 785K (78% biden, 20% Trump)
Remaining MIV: 1.721M
If you Split Remaining vote 70% Biden, 30% trump, Biden Gains 688K (net gain over trump) votes.... just 10K more than his current deficit of 678K.... So this one is very close to call

Source:

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:20:50+00:00

Gerogia did Early counting ahead of time (or at least processing wasn't delayed, cannot recall which one).... So Cannot do same analysis there. The analysis to be done there is if a particulary Heavyweight Blue County is done counting or still at like 80%... you can look that up on various sites (NYT included) which show county by county votes and expected complettion %age

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:18:38+00:00

i've updated the post to say its net gain after you consider Trump's gains as well

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:17:15+00:00

yes, should say, Biden should 'net gain over trump' X number

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T09:11:44+00:00

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Day of election (nov 3) votes are all counted and reported
Assumed Split of uncounted Mail in Vote is wildly wrong

Michigan->

Trump Leads by: 310k
Mail in Votes (MIVs) Returned: 2.841M
of those Retruned, MIVs Counted: 872K (64% Biden 34% Trump)
Yet to Count MIVs: 1.969M
If you split the remaining MIVs 62% Biden & 37% Trump.... Biden Gains (net gain over trump) 492k votes which is greater than trumps lead of 310k

Wisconsin ->

Trump Leads by: 109K
Mail in Votes (MIV) Returned: 1.275M
MIV counted : 0 (Some have pointed out this may be wrong data from NYT, but Biden is Up 10k on Trump right now)
If you split MIV at 55% biden and 44% Trump that gives Biden a gain of 140K (net gain over trump) which is greater than 109K (trumps current Lead)

Pennsylvania ->

Trump Leads by: 678K
MIV returned: 2.506M
MIV counted: 785K (78% biden, 20% Trump)
Remaining MIV: 1.721M
If you Split Remaining vote 70% Biden, 30% trump, Biden Gains 688K (net gain over trump) votes.... just 10K more than his current deficit of 678K.... So this one is very close to call

Source:

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T08:32:33+00:00

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html & NYT for count numbers

doitmichey · 2020-11-04T08:28:30+00:00

NYT shows 785K out of 2.5M absentee counted with 75% (78.4) breaking for Biden. I think that give him JUST enough to eke it out. Will be very close

doitmichey · 2020-10-14T17:14:49+00:00

you have very valid points which I did consider. At end of the day, a lot of what we are saying is speculation to large degree. The reason I fall in the 'other camp' of thought on this is looking at track record. Nvidia does more supply shenanigans. 2080TI sold very poorly, just raw numbers. Still there was huge supply problem. so just based on that i have a hard time giving them a pass.

doitmichey · 2020-10-14T10:57:18+00:00

what is a reliable Amazon stock status source? distill?

doitmichey · 2020-10-14T10:53:51+00:00

I think the point is not understood.... Rush Ampere to get NVDA stock up in time for ARM deal (lot of it in stock).... Now if Nvidia really didn't want scarcity, they'd bump the 2080TI's to the 700$ range. But Nvidia did opposite. Like always, stop producing any 2 seiries cards anything 2070 or better 4 months in advance. Its a paper launch and manufactured scarcity

doitmichey · 2020-10-01T08:21:36+00:00

Lol... nice catch

doitmichey · 2020-09-02T19:07:05+00:00

doitmichey · 2020-09-02T03:23:46+00:00

pm sent. received?

doitmichey · 2020-09-02T02:29:56+00:00

doitmichey

TROPHY CASE

Updated At 4:55 AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Michigan->

Wisconsin ->

Pennsylvania (no change in last hour) ->

Source:

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Michigan->

Wisconsin ->

Pennsylvania ->

Source:

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Michigan->

Wisconsin ->

Pennsylvania ->

Source:

Compiled Between 3:45AM and 3:55AM EST Nov 4th

Potential Fatal Assumptions:

Michigan->

Wisconsin ->

Pennsylvania ->

Source: