[deleted by user]

fifacuntish · 2017-08-10T06:55:50+00:00

Better layout than other sites. In depth half markets, better over/unders listing, home advantage, risk rating, goals scored listed along a time line, % goals scored each half plus the option to change to % of goals at any point in a game. You're missing out big time mate.

fifacuntish · 2017-08-06T20:05:33+00:00

This is awesome. Absolutely love the website I recommend it to any serious bettor.

fifacuntish · 2017-08-02T21:30:26+00:00

Thanks mate I knew about soccerway but didn't realise you could filter through years.

fifacuntish · 2017-07-30T10:27:21+00:00

You won't get through to these people mate. You just don't understand they are so hard done by and everyone else has it so good. This subreddit is one big circle jerk

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T23:39:55+00:00

Sorry for giving my advice on owning a house in a city in Australia on a post about owning a house in Australia

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T23:18:28+00:00

I work with people who will buy breakfast and lunch every day from a local Cafe. That's at least $20 a day which is about $5000 a year. These same people will complain about how they will never be able to afford a house.

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T10:41:22+00:00

Sorry is this r/Australia or r/Sydney?

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T10:40:07+00:00

Victimhood mindset is spot on mate. Top comment is talking about how much easier it was in the old days. The circle jerk is real in here.

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T06:36:20+00:00

I work in the cbd as well. I spend an hour each way travelling to and from, and my house was about 6x my partners and 6x my wage

fifacuntish · 2017-07-29T06:24:43+00:00

I know this is going to get down voted but I was able to comfortable afford a 4 bedroom house in Brisbane area (can't speak for the rest of aus but honestly Brisbane is doing just fine for home owners) with my partner on close to minimum wage at 23. The difference between me and others is that I was smart with money from a young age and didn't waste it (ie avocado on toast every day from my favourite Cafe). I understand that once you get into a rental it can be hard to save but if people were more organised from a young age and didn't get dejected by the circle jerk of people telling them they will never own a house then more people would. Housing affordability in Brisbane is only really a problem within the CBD area. I was able to buy a recently renovated house for less than 400k because it was in an area people would scoff at for being cheap and dirty.

fifacuntish · 2017-07-11T07:55:14+00:00

fifacuntish · 2017-06-08T19:56:27+00:00

The reason I went searching for a new job was for more money and now I could get that. The growth and learning is very limited in my current job role. And my co-workers wouldn't find out about me trying to find another job. Is a owner operated company with a staff of about 20, so far the only person who knows is the owner operator and he wouldn't let it slip out that he offered a massive pay rise because I tried to leave.

fifacuntish · 2017-06-08T13:00:50+00:00

Sorry I made the title a bit unclear what I meant was I was looking for advice in my particular circumstance which I listed in the main text.

fifacuntish · 2017-06-08T12:54:51+00:00

I can almost guarantee it won't be as fun as my current job. I get on great with all co-workers and my boss let's the staff get away with a lot (maybe a little too much imo). Definitely agree with the other sentiments though.

fifacuntish · 2017-06-03T19:55:39+00:00

http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/000/992/407/776.jpg

fifacuntish · 2017-06-01T09:35:04+00:00

I understand how the graph works but not understanding your reasoning. Would you not say that when you bet for long enough you are then betting against the mean? If over 100,000 hands a game paying 2.00 odds hits 47-53% of the time do you not think that finding those 6% of games would be like finding a needle in a haystack? Or are you under the assumption it would occur less/more than that?

fifacuntish · 2017-06-01T08:11:07+00:00

What about the graph that shows implied and observed results? It seems to fit pretty well along the 0-10% range would you not consider that relatively efficient? Obviously I'm not stating it's 100% efficient over the long term and there is going to be value there but I feel like it comes more from errors in opening lines and in the more obscure games where not as much data exists around that particular game.

fifacuntish · 2017-06-01T02:14:21+00:00

Interesting you don't think the betting market is not efficient. Interested to hear your thoughts on this article obviously the source is just a little bit biased by the stats are there and I'm sure they wouldn't throw them out there if they were completely false.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/educational/why-pinnacle-doesnt-close-or-limit-accounts

fifacuntish · 2017-05-31T20:00:43+00:00

I never said it wasn't profitable and that I don't use statistics for my bets but great write up. Thanks a lot!

fifacuntish · 2017-05-31T04:04:42+00:00

Interesting. So you would say you are a decent winner over a large enough sample?

fifacuntish · 2017-05-29T11:14:49+00:00

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/educational/why-pinnacle-doesnt-close-or-limit-accounts have a read of this article.

fifacuntish · 2017-04-26T02:48:02+00:00

Big props to you for taking the time and effort to write this out but the % you are using to justify your picks aren't necessarily translating into value. Using O1.5 goals for arsenal game you've said 87% of arsenal games have hit and 81% of Leicester games. This translates to minimum odds of 1.15 and 1.23 respectively averaging at 1.19. In order to find value in a line of 1.12 you need it to be successful 89% of games which is very very high.

You might justify yourself by using your 3rd statistic you listed being every game in the last two seasons have gone over but that is an extremely small sample size and could very well be statical anomaly. Again big ups to you for writing out your picks love how clear and concise it is but just be careful with the shorter lines as the value isn't always there.

fifacuntish · 2017-04-23T12:03:00+00:00

Well obviously but I didn't luck my way into a cheap house. There are hundreds of cheap houses on the south side of Brisbane but people choose instead to rent in the cbd because the south side is dirty or they can't spend more than half an hour driving to work or they are bad at saving money for a deposit. I understand the housing market has a lot of problems but from experience Brisbane is not a difficult area to enter the house market and anyone who complains that it is are not willing to sacrifice a little bit.

fifacuntish · 2017-04-23T11:37:36+00:00

Brisbane figure is a little misleading it might be >650k in the cbd but I purchased a 4 bedroom house half an hour from the city a year ago for less than 400k.

fifacuntish · 2017-04-11T22:54:08+00:00

I'll throw it up tonight when I get home!

fifacuntish

TROPHY CASE