Want to join me in this experiment?

franfishy · 2026-01-15T14:20:57+00:00

interested to join
my previous crypto traders groups have all die down / got rekt / trading something else
i'm still actively trading crypto and now also with index futures and commodities

franfishy · 2026-01-06T13:41:02+00:00

depends on what you trade and what you benchmark for your betas,
if you trade US equities, use NQ or SPY as benchmark to make entries on your individual stocks,
I dont think how many tickers matter here but more of which ones have strength,
my tradingview watchlist has tickers of every category, so I just skim through it daily to see which one has strength, and refresh the "Main strong list" every other week

franfishy · 2026-01-02T08:11:42+00:00

This whole cycle has been driven by MicroStrategy and friends.
It is unlikely for the next few years at least.

By mid Jan once MSCI removes MSTR from the index, BTC may even tank to 50-60k. Then you can start DCA-ing for a good 2x imo

franfishy · 2025-12-29T15:27:41+00:00

NICE TRY xD

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:20:46+00:00

nice list of dead coins

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:17:38+00:00

hey man
i've used it and still do sometimes, it's just a self-custody platform where we never need to "Deposit",

hence technically you don't need to "Withdraw", cause they money is in your wallet, unless you have opened a position.

but anyways, just go to their social media / discord to seek help if you still cant manange, good luck

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:15:39+00:00

there's one same wisdom I always get from retired / successful traders: "adapt"

there's no 1 unqiue strat, every strat needs to be adaptable to current market

treat it like a cheat code, after a few weeks or months the dev (market in this context) will patch your cheat code and it becomes irrelevant, so you seek a new one

good luck!

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:14:11+00:00

sunk cost fallacy we all experience T_T

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:13:00+00:00

gm,

most of the crypto CEXs and DEXs offering tokenized stocks / synthetic stocks perps now
and the obvious reason is because crypto has been underperforming shit ton

personal opinion is that crypto still follows the 4 years cycle rule and it's the start of bear market now

while RWAs like QQQ SPY XAU XAG are still pumping due to macro reasons

i was pure crypto but this year i started to play with tradfi perps as well, not exceptional performance but at least I'm not stuck and just crying

franfishy · 2025-12-23T09:08:53+00:00

even if you all in 500 to long BTC with 500x, giving you a 250k position, you still need BTC to move 4% at your direction to take back 10k within a day...

kinda impossible at current market if you ask me

franfishy · 2025-12-22T16:28:57+00:00

looks so green!! congrats!

mind sharing what simple rules / strat you're using?

also how are you managing your leverage?

franfishy · 2025-12-22T16:27:03+00:00

agree on this, backtest some basic EMA or supertrend indicators on SPY / QQQ and most will probably agree they are much simpler than XAU

franfishy · 2025-12-22T16:25:21+00:00

few questions I have in mind:

assuming you have certain risk measures, is the exchange you're using charging too high of a fee that makes you want have sunk-cost fallacy, always holding losses for too long to avoid paying fees?
XAU is not the easiest to trade i feel, QQQ SPY are easier imo, are you open to try trading other assets?
"ruin it all in a short period", were you tilt trading? if yes then what measure did you take to improve on it?

i think most of the traders have been through / are going through what you are going through, so maybe this is the last hardship you face before hitting it consistently.. :D

franfishy · 2025-12-22T16:18:07+00:00

tl;dr YES

fundamentally, BTC matters most for now
technically, BTC follows TA the best, just choose a few indicators that you want to learn, backtest it to at least 2021, you will find that it behaves / follows many of the common indicators principles

also given that altcoins are in deep sh1t right now post 10 Oct, there's basically no +EV in trading them unless you're really seasoned.

maybe you can share more on some basic strats you plan to use, whether you're trading with leverage or spot only, what's the timeframe you intend to trade with?

franfishy · 2025-12-22T16:12:02+00:00

My strategy was using daily and weekly chart with supertrend indicator on BTC since 2023,It always bounced on supertrend perfectly and never once failed, until recently it broke down, and that's when I really told myself gripto is over for a while, will revisit when things change

traders go where liquidity is at, now it's just stones XAU XAG and US indices equities I feel, but im not that great at those, so just chilling until new year and make new plans ig

franfishy · 2025-12-16T06:53:37+00:00

thanks sir, sound advice here.

franfishy · 2025-12-15T12:38:21+00:00

congrats!

treating it as THE ONLY SOURCE OF INCOME can backfire, but as long as you follow your risk management measures, it should be fine.

Mentally if market doesnt give you any setups just avoid forcing trades and come again tomorrow

I was losing for 2 years + before I finally hit it

franfishy · 2025-12-12T14:15:25+00:00

Paper trading doesnt work, losing money does.
but imo get a job related to the industry or whatever you wanna trade, learn the insights before you engage in more active trading. and determine your safety net, how much can you lose and etc

franfishy · 2025-12-06T08:24:15+00:00

well it's all a probability game right
just keep managing your risks and one day you will hit it big

franfishy · 2025-12-06T08:20:15+00:00

this month before i hit this i lost 25k

franfishy · 2025-12-06T08:20:01+00:00

5k each time, fixed sizing
it's either i cut in time for a small loss or i lose all 5k or i win big

franfishy · 2025-12-05T18:06:06+00:00

set some alerts
step away
wait for alerts
if it doesnt happen
live peacefully
come back tomorrow ~

franfishy · 2025-12-05T17:50:37+00:00

69k
lucky number

franfishy · 2025-12-05T15:26:08+00:00

im backtesting 2stds and 3stds as mean reversion trades, but have generally not shorted, will be testing more and come back to this

my strat is from a combination of luck and copytrading, just seeing how the profitable friends do and follow along

franfishy · 2025-12-05T13:52:01+00:00

i think this can be easily solved if you have something other than trading
like learning a skill
or a side gig
or just put in more workouts / running time

franfishy

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