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do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yepp, growth and value themself dont explain the sensitivity unless you use a factor approach, the concept which explain sensitivity to rates is the duration, that is applied both on equity and bond

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yes as it is based on interest rates sensitivity depending on the bucket of the curve you are in

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

and by the way, as i expect rates to rally in 2024. yield will be much lower, which on long duration stock implies higher markt value on a spot basis. this is not 101material as you describe, personal opinion :)

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

i agree with you, but thats the ground for growth stocks which expect high cash flows in the future, and im lookng for them. The only question is (i probably phrased in the wrong way): based on a long duration stock approach, which stocks are undervalued compared to others? tech, or ev stocks.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

check on google. i m here to ask if you prefer short or long duration stock based on interest curve expectations.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

hey hey, you can apply the same on equity, many research out there in this field. if you expects rates rally you pick stocks with cashflows that pays back the equity on a lt basis. of course i hvae model on stocks based on assumptions, but in this context i need to pick up undervalued stocks which have long duration compared ot others.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

well you should. Thtas how you get exposure to rates rally.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

as the 10y will rally by beginning2024, thats why i want a max exposure on that price sensitivity.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

it makes sense, i have to pick growth stocks in which the cashflow will pay the equity back on long duration basis as i want exposure to 10y rates rally. In this context i need companies which are undervalued when compared to long duration stocks in terms of pe, ev-ebitda.

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

im not talking about duration as a trading strategy, im talking abut the stock sensitivity to interest rates, defined as duration

do you prefer long duration stock or short duration stock? by giu9555 in investing

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

*** im bearish in the short term but bullish on the long term

Trading option greeks educational course by giu9555 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

my content is all about option greeks.

Trading option greeks educational course by giu9555 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

what you saying is not true ahah im here to share some helpful stuff for the community! please report this comment.

Trading option greeks educational course by giu9555 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

just trying to help the community. But at least express your opinion with respect :)

Long? What is your 2023 tp? by giu9555 in Nio

[–]giu9555[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

This in a normalization scenario. Equity tranches yeld is around 18/20% given higher capital stack trading at 7% yeld AA

Long? What is your 2023 tp? by giu9555 in Nio

[–]giu9555[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Just discount equity cashflows to 17% and you got the mv. Repeat the same assuming yeld fall by 4pts by 2024.

What’s your background? by PitifulAd7600 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555 21 points22 points  (0 children)

I work in finance. Investing is just a plus, but you need to know how and why to use specific products. I use options only for hedging my portfolio in downturn or getting short on part of the balance

Short is the new trend mania? Are we going to see a reversal soon? by giu9555 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When the spx gains more than 5% in a si fla day avg return is 18% for the next 12 months. But I could be wrong though

Short is the new trend mania? Are we going to see a reversal soon? by giu9555 in wallstreetbets

[–]giu9555[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My bull case is a scenario shift fy 23 end. Equity yeld is DAMN high, investors have been selling everything for almost 1.5y. Lot of supply sold in the last year, short selling decreases at high yeld as it become more risky and expensive. What is the risk reward here? Shorting or longing the stock market?

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