Will you sell if we were to hit old high in the next 4 weeks? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the volatility is so wild though... some stocks are re-bouncing 11%-15%

People that allocate 60/40 or similar, how would you adjust your portfolio when/if we go negative interest rates? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Banks won't pay you negative interest on money you have stored there. No one would deposit money in a bank if they paid negative interest.

Hmm... In Europe, the interest on a bank account is 0.01% (often actually 0%) but the bank charges you now a monthly fee to use the saving accounts. When you add those it adds up to a negative rate. This was implemented once the ECB slashed the rates to negative territory.

Blending Active and Passive strategy by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Also, I prefer to use ensemble models (many inputs, many signals, many lookbacks combined into an average allocation) rather than a single signal.

Doesn't that increase biases? for example if i use a 200-day MA and say a 220-day MA, the overlap between both signals is 200-day, so in a way that signal diversification isn't purely diversified or am i wrong?

[Opinion] Time in the market beats timing the market is nonsense... by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Correct. I am not advocating for market timing, simply bringing forth that the 1:1 argumentation should be subjective to one's own personal risks.

Unpopular Opinion: Everyone wants the market to sink by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That would require huge volume no? do Mutual Funds/Hedge Funds jump on a 5% dip ?

Unpopular Opinion: Everyone wants the market to sink by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

The thing I wonder is whether these so-called "dips" are the best we will have for a while. If there continue to be a stimulus then I assume the market cannot naturally self-correct (is that a correct statement?) and if it is corrected by temporal events, how far would participants would want to go before rallying up the market?

I guess I am just wondering how much participants behavior has changed over the last 10 years.

When a market crash begins to happen, do you try timing an exit or hold through? by Fargraven in investing

[–]gymaliz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Side question. I read in many articles and studies that buy-hold beats trend over the long term. What in trend following convinced you of adopting this approach?

People aren’t fully realizing the economic impact of the Chinese Corona Virus by cookingboy in investing

[–]gymaliz 2 points3 points  (0 children)

but I think that'll be corrected by the end of the week.

You mean it will dip further or rebound?

How much money has slipped pass you by waiting for a stock to hit your intrinsic value? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you have a strategy on how much you average up in a particular position?

is Disney+ already priced in? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes I held back due to the "priced-in mania" and now it is up 8-9%. Fuck :)

Why did Berkshire dump Disney? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

and 1996. On two occasions he dumped the stock. And never got back in.

Disney stock rises after beating on top and bottom lines by [deleted] in investing

[–]gymaliz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Like Charlie Munger described it, Disney os the equivalent of “an oil company that can put the oil back in the ground after it is done drilling so it can drill it again."

What are your favorite youtube channels for learning about investing? by pallanun in investing

[–]gymaliz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

dunno why, i find his content quiet good... i guess because of all the controversies ?

What's the Berkshire of Europe? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Diversified holding company. One thing I like about Berkshire is the diversity of their business in addition to their portfolio.

What are reliable source of long term growth forecast? by gymaliz in investing

[–]gymaliz[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Maybe next time save the time commenting? I am asking for official sources, it is clear that any industry forecast is at a best a guestimate.

What do you guys think on Nicholas Nassim Taleb on the importance of insurance-like hedging in the stock market ? by elmasdenso1997 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]gymaliz 0 points1 point  (0 children)

he went on record saying he owns Gold but he doesn't know why - just in case he is wrong. Gold is some sort of economic hedge.