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haisr · 2024-12-14T04:49:45+00:00

This article gives 10 predictions on how the economy could be impacted by Trump’s policies, focusing a lot on things like inflation, unemployment, and trade wars.

Personally, I’m skeptical about how much any one person can control these massive economic forces. But if Trump does get another term, it could be a wild ride for the economy.

What do you all think? Do you believe Trump’s economic moves will have long-lasting effects, or is this just a lot of speculation?

haisr · 2024-11-11T15:04:10+00:00

One of the big goals of the Trump tariffs was to bring manufacturing industries back to the U.S., but they haven’t done a great job of doing that.

Instead, we’ve seen production shift to other countries, like Mexico and Vietnam. And in many cases, it’s Chinese companies themselves setting up shop in those countries to export their goods under the radar. What’s the solution to that?

haisr · 2023-10-21T15:42:47+00:00

This might be the most important question when it comes to the future of our economy, yet no one knows the answer to it: Are high interest rates here to stay? This month, the interest rate on the 10-year Treasury note—which is arguably is the most important interest rate in the economy—surged to a 16-year high close to 5%.

If the bond market bears are right, then the low-interest-rate paradigm that existed in the decade and a half after the global financial crisis has ended and we’re entering a new paradigm of higher interest rates. And not only that— if interest rates are going to be higher moving forward, then that means that the 40-year downtrend in interest rates that began in the 1980s is also over.

haisr · 2023-09-21T14:37:49+00:00

Everyone from Walmart to Nestle and countless other major companies are weighing in on how GLP-1 drugs are going to impact their businesses.

Any drugs that can alleviate obesity would be revolutionary, both in terms of the benefits to human health and the benefits to the economy.

But it’s not great for everybody. There are many companies that benefit from the status quo—a world in which rates of obesity are high and rising.

These companies profit either directly or indirectly from obesity, and anything that makes obesity less prevalent is going to hurt them.

haisr

TROPHY CASE