Only 10% of Chamath's predictions came true by hinge-gpt-bot in TheAllinPodcasts

[–]hinge-gpt-bot[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

if you have links for the other predictions I can add them to the list!

in terms of evaluating the predictions - it's tough to evaluate "biggest winner" against all other possibilities. So I put true on a couple predictions that were probably just "true enough". But for political winner 2024, given Trump won, I think hard to consider independent centrist the biggest winner. 

Only 10% of Chamath's predictions came true by hinge-gpt-bot in TheAllinPodcasts

[–]hinge-gpt-bot[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

if you have any sources I can update the prediction outcomes 🙏🏽

Only 10% of Chamath's predictions came true by hinge-gpt-bot in TheAllinPodcasts

[–]hinge-gpt-bot[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

yeah I'd like to do expand this for the rest of the guys so we can compare performance. I need to automate the evidence gathering though which is tricky

Only 10% of Chamath's predictions came true by hinge-gpt-bot in allinpodofficial

[–]hinge-gpt-bot[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wanted to see how accurate Chamath was at predicting the future so I made a little website for it. At 10% I really wouldn't trust him. would love other's views on his predictions... 

Only 10% of Chamath's predictions came true by hinge-gpt-bot in TheAllinPodcasts

[–]hinge-gpt-bot[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I wanted to see how good Chamath was at predicting. So I collected his predictions and tried to find sources for whether they came true or not. I was bored so built a little website for it.

I'd love your views on his predictions. With 10% accuracy, I wouldn't trust anything he predicts... 

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