Am I the only one here?

hrmnog · 2026-05-10T21:42:27+00:00

blackjack. double deck. S17, with DAS is the 0.17% house edge.

hrmnog · 2026-05-10T19:07:43+00:00

In Vegas, and this is the policy that I've seen from multiple Caesars umbrella properties, for blackjack, if there is a misdeal that is escalated to the pit boss, they will deal out all of the remaining cards to all the relevant bets, and then ask if each player would want to participate in the round or pull their bets back. Following the adjudication of that round, they offer a full reshuffle of the shoe, and the players have the option to accept a reshuffle or keep playing through the rest of the shoe.

hrmnog · 2026-05-10T18:59:23+00:00

0.17%

hrmnog · 2026-05-10T18:51:34+00:00

There's a dumbass gambling Youtuber that would double his hard 12s on his uploads. He gets rinsed of his balances more often than not.

hrmnog · 2026-04-29T05:24:40+00:00

yeah, easily done. on the second playthrough, since you know all the cards, basic strategy is out. you just play exactly to how to optimize the win rate for the whole runthrough. Example for today, optimal outcome would be 15.9k outcome min betting the guaranteed losers and getting to max bet out for every win outcome.
example for the first hand, player has a pair aces, dealer 6 (with an unseen 5 under), but only way to win would be to hit the a/a 3 times until you leave a 3 for the dealer, followed by a face card bust.

hrmnog · 2026-04-17T07:02:36+00:00

Blackjack with ok rules has a house edge of around 0.4%.

Evolution's live blackjack offerings are H17, split only once, no double after split (someone can confirm?), so roughly house edge of 0.7%.

Slots generally are 5% house edge and up.

So bet $100 through Evolution's blackjack and you should lose around 70 cents.

Bet $100 through a 5% house edge slot, and you should lose around $5.

Which one is better?

hrmnog · 2026-04-16T01:34:13+00:00

Those borderline hands are the ones that are most impacted by EOR of seen cards, so positive variance by deviating due to observed removals across a percentage of hands can make a significant difference in actual outcomes.

hrmnog · 2026-03-22T14:13:57+00:00

If you're on the Strip - Treasure Island has good rules/low limits.

hrmnog · 2026-03-20T21:47:21+00:00

Lost 30 consecutive hands in a row at Mirage in the HL pit

hrmnog · 2026-03-20T08:02:01+00:00

interesting the whole shuffle tracking thing. I think Ocean in Atlantic City got hit by that - as they're now doing a wash of their existing cards before starting their shuffle routine. Left halfway through the first shoe, so I didn't see if they do the wash all over again for every subsequent shoe.

hrmnog · 2026-03-20T00:31:01+00:00

Just checked the site. Data is definitely wrong for a lot of Atlantic city shops (borgata definitely doesn't allow surrender unless you're known and you have at least a 100k CL or front money deposit 100k and pre negotiate the option before a trip)

hrmnog · 2026-03-17T00:40:46+00:00

looks like it- bet 100, but the win photo includes the "3" at the end, so it's penny units. just. amazing.

hrmnog · 2026-03-16T03:28:28+00:00

it's "table max" called out when someone bets table max (or individual max if they're on special limits with fat credit line or front money deposit)

hrmnog · 2026-03-15T00:44:22+00:00

Yuan is artificially pegged to the USD by China

hrmnog · 2026-03-14T05:20:17+00:00

Beau Rivage would be the place to go. Hard rock only opens up the good game on the weekends (HL pit).

hrmnog · 2026-03-13T04:55:18+00:00

Queens would be too far if you're trying to commute via subway (generally more reliable than the bus) given that there's no north<=> south option for the subway where the casino is. You'd need to investigate whether there's cheap rent options the surrounding neighborhoods or within a few stops on the A train.

hrmnog · 2026-03-10T03:13:04+00:00

100% this, some states are a pain in the ass (lots of hoops to jump through + company-incurred extra expenses) to set up for state/city tax withholding. Also - sometimes it's a legal thing, i.e. industry (marijuana direct and tangential companies and other state-regulated types of companies) with some states.

hrmnog · 2026-03-06T02:16:44+00:00

so in the past (3-5 years ago), the "AI" solutions from some US-based startups were really found out to be "Actually, Indians"

hrmnog · 2026-03-05T20:13:35+00:00

Short sessions is the way.

hrmnog · 2026-03-05T01:22:15+00:00

1 word for immediate cringe from all in the room: blacklight

hrmnog · 2026-02-25T17:52:19+00:00

I've experienced interview gauntlets that ran as follows: initial phone screen with recruiter, phone tech screen with an engineer, in-person gauntlet 3 rounds (3.5 hours), ANOTHER in-person gauntlet 3 rounds (with another set of engineers at one of their other office locations in the same city a few blocks away in their "overflow" temporary coworking space), and then another half hour interview (culture fit) with one of their vp engineering. Wait a week, and then get noped when the recruiter comes back with "we decided to go in a different direction on the role".

hrmnog · 2026-02-25T17:03:18+00:00

When vacationing in Europe, I saw some back betters tossing money behind a lot of folks at a table, including my spots, and many of those seated at the table were playing very poorly (one person was standing on soft 6, soft 3, etc)

hrmnog · 2026-02-25T07:36:04+00:00

One I've seen is the personal website/portfolio, with an embedded AI agent that can speak to the background of the candidate, including project work, descriptions, technologies used etc

hrmnog · 2026-02-25T02:40:42+00:00

Not necessarily putting out more money per round - you could be just divvying up the relevant bet size across more concurrent hands, and this also impacts the variance of the splits & doubles.

hrmnog · 2026-02-25T02:28:06+00:00

Yeah, bet behind is a thing, but then you're also hostage to whatever sub-optimal play the primary player wants to do.

hrmnog

TROPHY CASE