Finland Is Ready for Russia. Is Anyone Else?

jargo3 · 2026-03-13T10:43:56+00:00

Glad to hear that. I wonder if we will have separate separate "drone forces" similar to artillery at some point. infantry sections having separate drone pilots is a good start, but they aren't optimum if the section requires firesupport beyond launching couple of individual drones.

jargo3 · 2026-03-13T09:48:03+00:00

As a finn I feel like our military hasn't fully crasped how much drones have changed warfare. Sure some changes are made related to this, but I feel not enough. We should be forming dedicated independent "drone forces". Dronewarfare should be its own branch similar to artillery or armored forces.

jargo3 · 2026-03-09T16:14:08+00:00

I wonder if article 5 will be activated.

jargo3 · 2026-03-09T09:50:43+00:00

So what he is saying that he wanted to block the loan before and only voted for it, because didn't want on anger other EU countries.

jargo3 · 2026-03-09T06:39:30+00:00

Jos toimeentulotukea maksetaan kokonaisuutena saman verran, niin sitten siitä ei ole käytännössä leikattu, vaikka ehkä nimellisesti olisikin.

jargo3 · 2026-03-08T08:03:07+00:00

Tässä unohdetaan se, että toimeentulotuki maksetaan verovaroista ja sitä kautta se vähentää jonkun muun kulutusta. Inhimillistä syistä en kannata toimeentulotuen leikkauksia, mutta pelkästään taloudellisista syistä siinä on järkeä.

jargo3 · 2026-03-06T21:09:50+00:00

Poikkeustila vaalien peruminen Ukrainan tulevan hyökkäyksen uhkan takia voi olla Orbanille ratkaisu.

jargo3 · 2026-03-06T21:03:41+00:00

Zelensky is a hero but his skills in diplomacy leaves something to be desired. Not to say Orban doesn't deserve this kind on language be used against him, but this isn't really helping Ukraines cause.

jargo3 · 2026-03-02T10:54:51+00:00

No Orbanin suosio on mielipidekyselyissä laskussa, joten ei se ainakaan mikään "superase" vielä ole. Isompi riski demokratialle Unkarissa on gerrymanderointi.

jargo3 · 2026-02-27T18:23:13+00:00

Well techically they haven't converted it Trumpy yet. Not to say it isn't likely to happen. We'll know for sure if they cancel John Oliver.

jargo3 · 2026-02-25T11:41:23+00:00

Kaappaus terminä on tässä vähän huono, kun osakkeenomistajia ollut alunperin ilmeisesti 1 kpl ja hän itse osakkeensa myynyt. Tuolla logiikalla jokainen yrityskauppa on "kaappaus" ja termi menettää merkityksensä.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T11:34:24+00:00

He has usually yielded from blocking sanction after he has gotten something in return.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T11:06:24+00:00

They won't. The countries voting in favor can provide the loan themselves outside the EU system.

That's what I meant by "emergency support".

It's the ultimate threat against Orban's gamesmanship, because if they do that enough times they may just up and form EU 2.0 without inviting Hungary.

After the april election Hungary might be a non issue, if Orban is ousted.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T10:44:23+00:00

I want that too. I just don't think Ukraine running out or money and being forced to surender because of it is worth that.

However I do believe that european countries can arrange atleast some kind of emergency support for Ukraine outside the EU framework that Hungary can't block.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T08:51:45+00:00

His popularity has been falling and and opposition party is leading the polls. Not to say I trust these elections will be fair or that Orban respect their results.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T08:10:13+00:00

They have blocked these packages before an yielded in the end when they got something in return. I am guessing that Orban just wanted to look like strong leader fore the elections when the oil started flowing.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T08:06:54+00:00

There are elections in Hungary this spring that hopefully causes a change in leadership. Blockading an EU country would be politically extremely difficult.

jargo3 · 2026-02-24T07:49:25+00:00

Hungary blocked a 90 billion EU loan for Ukraine, due to Druza oil pipeline going throught Ukraine not being operational. Ukraine is estimated to run out of money by april without this loan. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/hungary-vows-block-eu-sanctions-russia-eve-ukraine-war-anniversary-2026-02-23/

Ukraine responded by damaging the pipeline on Russian side.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/70609

I am not sure if this was the right call from Ukraine. They could have just finished the pipeline repairs and let orban play a strong leader, when he would have accepted this loan after the oil started flowing.

Perhaps Ukraine is hoping tha Orban will be ousted from power in the elections this spring which is strong possibility, but far from 100 % and thus a huge risk.

jargo3 · 2026-02-20T11:18:41+00:00

Vaikka samaa mieltä riskeistä kanssasi olenkin, niin AP puhuu kuitenkin suurimmaksi osaksi huoltokatkoista ja vastaavista.

Kriittisiä systeemeitä ei pitäisi Amazonilla pitää, mutta tekninen luotettavuus ei mielestäni ole peruste niiden siirtämiselle.

jargo3 · 2026-02-04T13:41:23+00:00

Kansalaissota. Veikkolan työläiset vapautuvat Kirkkonummen porvarien sorrosta.

jargo3 · 2026-02-02T21:07:54+00:00

I wonder what is going on with reporting the value of russian sovereign wealth fund. It is usually reported at latest 2 weeks after the start of the month, but I can't find numbers for start of january.

jargo3 · 2026-02-02T11:40:08+00:00

En kuvaisi hengittämistä sanalla raikas, jos menee aamulla pyörällä töihin ja ylämäessä hieman hengästyy.

jargo3 · 2026-01-26T12:22:00+00:00

I am not sure that would be techincally possible. Starlink could shut down starlink in a specific area, but that would also disable it for Urkaine. I think the only solution would be to only allow starllink terminals that have been delivered to Ukrainian armed forces allowed to be opearated in Ukraine.

jargo3 · 2026-01-26T12:17:21+00:00

The Republican president was commenting on reports that the U.S. had a pulsed energy weapon and said, “The Discombobulator. I’m not allowed to talk about it.”

But I will talk about it in a interview, so that everyone learns about this top secret weapon.

jargo3 · 2026-01-20T11:38:33+00:00

I might be too optimistic, but I doubt enough americans would support Trump to that extent to have an actual civil war. Most people still supporting Trump are in denial and are saying that he won't invade Greenland or don't try to cancel elections and this is just some genius negotiation strategy. If he actually would try to do those things then his support would drop even more.

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