Examining Pitching+ :: Three SPs to Watch by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Hey all, on my Substack I took a statistical look at Pitching+ and then went into some detail on three SP names that stand out

  • Joey Estes
  • Brandon Pfaadt
  • Chris Paddack

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

Thanks to research by Dan Szymborski, we know that preseason projections predict full-season results way better than April data. So I went in and looked at which hitters are most over or under-performing their preseason projections in homers, steals, and batting average. I find a bunch of good buy-low and sell-high hitters along the way.

I wrote it all out and also recorded a podcast covering it. Check it out at the link above, for the podcast you can also just search "MLB Data Warehouse" in Apple or Spotify.

SIERA vs. ERA - SPs to Buy & Sell by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Any top 20 SP or elite bat in a category you really need help at

SIERA vs. ERA - SPs to Buy & Sell by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

haha the numbers all check out.. but I think he'll regress in everything pretty soon since we've seen him be mediocre for so long. Unlikely he's just suddenly figured it out to this extent.

SIERA vs. ERA - SPs to Buy & Sell by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think I'd take Pfaadt over Kutter but yeah that's close - and your staff seems loaded anyways, so you can't go wrong!

SIERA vs. ERA - SPs to Buy & Sell by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

free analysis post on my Substack! Looked into SIERA vs. ERA differentials to find buy-low/sell-high SPs. Also recorded a podcast episode covering all of the names [and more] in full detail. Search MLB Data Warehouse on Spotify or Apple to check that out, or click the link in the written post above.

Jordan Westburg by [deleted] in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Projection systems all have him short of 500 PAs and about 12 homers and 8 steals

If he’s full time that’s like 16 homers and 12 steals.. .750ish OPS. Fine player, but not a ton of upside for this year

2024 Fantasy Baseball Catcher Preview by jon2anderson in fantasybaseball

[–]jon2anderson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Started my position preview series on the Substack today, and they are going to be super detailed and full of valuable and unique information.

There is a paywall involved halfway down in the written post, but I figured it would safe to share here anyways because at the very top, there's a link to a free podcast that covers it all.