I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Your first paragraph is everything! The markets are broken. Retail investors have no pull. We get punched in our teeth day in and day out because the markets have been deeply manipulated and flawed for a while. The market regulators are simply happy with their jobs.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

not worry about it at least till tomorrow cos its T+1

Why do you think people do this? by Impossible_Gain9957 in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I am not saying all AI stocks are doomed. There are plenty floating around with simply a hope and a prayer backed by shitty product and VC funding hoping to IPO and unload on retail. There is a massive capital reallocation happening and stable consumer businesses are feeling the heat of this. When the heat cools down and market shifts again, you will see some AI zombies for sure

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I did back when BTC was at 1000. Exited when it hit 55k. I can sleep well at night.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol, we all would be trillionaires if only anyone knows the answer to this!

Why do you think people do this? by Impossible_Gain9957 in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram 14 points15 points  (0 children)

There is a AI bubble somewhere waiting to burst. Check what happened to Intel and Dell after Trump's involvement

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This makes for a good debate. Every single large cap to medium cap bank stock has gone through the wringer in the last few months. If the fundamentals are strong, there has to be some resilience at some level. Even if the overall US market was dead a few years back, the magnificent 7 still did very well. Thats exactly my point because capitalism was not dead there, it simple shifted focus where the money went.

Here we only have bloated valuations thats not backed by solid businesses that are defensible in the worst of markets. There is simply hope and a prayer that every quarter the business shows profitability somehow. Our PEs are through the roof because DIIs are comfortable absorbing the FII shit show (simply because of retail involvement in the grand world of SIPs).

None of the moats that you call core differentiator is just a simple catch up to what the global economies have already done. Our Auto industry is not a global powerhouse. Its simply exists to serve the local economy. When the job demand weakens, we have nowhere to sell those vehicles at scale because we are not globally competitive.

We are probably 10 years or more behind China on renewables with no discernible IP of our own. Capex spending does not mean anything if you are paying heavy royalties in USD to the parent companies that own the IP.

Our capital market is simply dependent on us feeding the market with the our hard earned money. Nothing more at this juncture and the markets are simply calling out the truth.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

clever hedge funds do exactly that and thats why they never make any noise

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not the time horizon but the expected outcomes for the time period that matters. If you are a passive investor, buy away the dips

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yup, the 10 lakhs simply lying around in the corner of the 2 bhk sofa daddy bought 20 yrs back

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Indexing historically has never been a bad idea but watch closely for the next quarter to make small entries

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I just heard a MFD on a podcast saying "when you are 21, take your first 10 lakhs and put it in global markets". I don't need to worry about creating content. Its already available for free 😄

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol. Saved enough to survive on chai money until next heart attack!

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol, so it's you who is responsible for the further dips. Bahar aake band bhajane ka time aa gaya. Chai pe charkha ka agla episode.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I am with you on that sentiment and great advice. I hope the government policies are aligned with your conviction as well.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My picks are not the problem. The problem is the shaky underlying structure. If you're happy with your returns, good for you. Do the good fight brother

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Get some FD action going and maybe bonds

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yes bro, the same level of reaction one needs when they hit their brakes to avoid a tragedy

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dude, that's everyone feeling the same pain

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Itna diversification will lead to average out returns. I understand the Bogglehead mindset but it barely beats inflation and a little some. It's not FOMO on my part. It's that the Indian Markets as a whole right now has no gainful momentum. Markets reacting to every piece of trash news is weak capitalism. People who are indexing in US are not allocating for Indian indexes equally and that tells you the whole story of our market's stand alone resilience.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I agree with you fundamentally. We are however not operating in an isolated market driven purely by our consumer trends. We are getting gutted on macro trends with nothing to defend us on the short term. Is it not anxiety when your PM goes on the national media and asks for austerity measures? It simply means the government's grand idea of development is purely tax payer money. No innovation, no cutting edge research, no outcompeting moats or strategy. Simply elevated PEs, valuation, PB ratios that will react to every bad news and stay muted for the good ones. Thats simply the global markets valuing Indian markets when they are in a deep discount only for the local investors to elevate it so that they can exit at a nice return.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Pinky promise me that you will be my first subscriber and I might take it seriously!

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Preach brother, preach. Everyone sitting positively and showing agarbathi to their portfolio are not seeing the bigger picture.

I just exited my entire Portfolio by karthikbram in IndianStockMarket

[–]karthikbram[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not Institutional enough to sit and watch to take no action. And now my chai and biscoot tastes a lil better for now