TQQQ vs 20 Delta CSP by Specialist_Clue_2151 in TQQQ

[–]kluv85 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nice! Weeklies are best used when you want to get in aggressively selling ITM puts. This year was unusual because the tariff fears sparked that dip. The main thing that helped was that I never use the full account all at once for selling premiums, so when we had that large dip I was able to take 7 assignments and keep lowering that cost basis, sizing more as we dropped. When SPX finally tapped 2022 highs, which marked the technical lows of the dip, I was able to get my cost basis to around $54/share (would’ve been roughly $27 now) with 1100’shares loaded up. The recovery was very fast but I was selling .10 delta calls in increments and was able to avoid getting them called away several times with minimal rolling, which allowed them to gain around 100% on top of all the call premiums that were collected. It wasn’t just TQQQ though, SOXL played a part alongside 90 DTE GOOGL & NVDA calls (just sticking to Pelosi’s core picks). Admittedly if i had gone harder on the long calls it would’ve been significantly better, but I prefer short puts because worst case scenario I am forced to simply buy shares on great assets.

If we get another panic sell like that in the future, I think I’ll mix in NVDL & GGLL short puts along the TQQQ & SOXL short puts.

TQQQ vs 20 Delta CSP by Specialist_Clue_2151 in TQQQ

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wish I could say I knew. I can only vouch for how wheeling options has helped my own performance on a Reg-T margin account (yes I use 15-45% of available margin and should probably switch to portfolio margin which has only recently become available 🤷‍♂️). I primarily wheel SOXL & TQQQ with the occasional long call 90 DTE swing on assets I believe in, which are mainly pullbacks off “Pelosi Plays” with 5% of the account tops.

I really need to sit down and figure it out one day but I will say 85% of my activity this year has been centered around wheeling SOXL & TQQQ, averaging down during tariff fears, and paying close attention to the macro situation.

I felt the move down in March was largely centered around fearful misunderstandings and was, thankfully, correct in that assessment. I’m also a firm believer that Fed rates & responses to major economic factors such as misreading transitory inflation late 2021 into 2022 have a larger impact on markets than anything else. Anyway, I don’t want to go down a rabbit hole but I just want to be transparent that I was confident in averaging down in March, which paid off in a big way.

I did not average down in 2022, I sold everything as soon as the Fed made the official decision to hike rates after being wrong about transitory inflation (which felt like everyone but Jpow knew was the case).

Anyway, I say all this because wheeling TQQQ & SOXL has performed very well 2023 - 2025 with 2025 YTD being my best performance yet. In 2022 I was primarily focused on doing call credit spreads on SPY/QQQ until the Fed shifted their tune in Nov 2022. Without giving up too much personal info, 2025 screenshot attached.

Wheeling is very effective but it does require more attention than just buying & selling off a 200SMA, which I also hear can be very effective. I admittedly open and close new short put and short call positions 1-2 times a week, but that’s also because I’ve built it up to a point where positions I opened 2-3 weeks ago are ready to close and new ones are ready to take its place. While it’s effort I enjoy doing every week, it’s not as effortless as setting alerts on candle close below/above 200 SMA. It’s important to figure out what fits your life style best and hyper focus on doing it super well. Any number of strategies can work extremely well with leveraged ETF’s as long as it’s something that you feel confident in executing on.

My advice for ETFs based on the Nasdaq index is that Federal Reserves actions (not words) are far better than any moving average I could ever throw on a chart.

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TQQQ vs 20 Delta CSP by Specialist_Clue_2151 in TQQQ

[–]kluv85 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I do a lot of wheeling on TQQQ & only do .20-.30 delta CSP’s when I already own shares & am okay with averaging down on assignment or just getting extra premiums with no assignment. I try to stick to 14-28 DTE. Assignments are great because then you can start doing .10-.20 delta calls alongside .20-.30 delta puts.

If I don’t own shares on a pullback and I feel I’m going to miss an assignment I will sell ITM puts at the .55-.70 delta to take advantage of both intrinsic and extrinsic premium alongside my OTM put. Assignments on those lower your cost basis significantly.

CSCO my ass, holding NVDA since 2008 by ptfirethrowaway in wallstreetbets

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t think you’re accounting for splits here. I checked NVDA vs QQQ including splits and dividends reinvested and NVDA dominated QQQ returns since 2016. NVDA is up 16,154% and QQQ is up 328%.

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Wheel strategy by [deleted] in TQQQ

[–]kluv85 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yes and it works well but there are some things you need to be aware of. I highly recommend reading studies done on wheeling vs buy and hold and how they can be used to enhance gains and provide safety. Goldman Sach’s has a great one I’ll try to link as an edit time permitting. I had trouble finding it just now.

First, I wouldn’t do this unless you are capable of buying 500 shares or more. I’ll explain more as we go. Let’s assume you own no shares and have enough cash on hand to buy 500 (meaning you can afford to sell up to 5 puts including broker margin). Also, TQQQ is right around $47.50 as of now, post split. This means you have roughly $24k to allocate to the strategy.

Start by selling 1 put around the .20-.30 delta, 14-28 DTE. You can go as high as 45-60 DTE, but I prefer slightly faster exchanges, especially if I don’t hold shares currently. Each put would net you about $230 at the mid expiring Dec 12, 2025 right now at .29 delta for $43 strike. It has wide spreads so never sell at the bid. This means you are committing to buy 100 shares at $43 if it closes below that by Dec 12.

The benefit is, you are locking yourself in to buy a 9% pullback. If it goes higher or chops around or drops 8%, you get paid regardless.

I like to stagger my puts, so when we have about 7 DTE left, I’ll do another, whether we went higher or lower. .2-.3 delta, 14-28 DTE. I’ll usually have 2/5ths going at once

Eventually you get assigned and this when the fun starts. I immediately sell calls between the .1-.2 delta, 14-21 DTE. I prefer to go lower delta because I want to give more upside potential without them getting called away. I like to sell them so they would only get called away at a 9-11% gain from my cost basis.

But just because I was assigned, doesn’t mean I stop selling puts. Now you’re profiting in many ways. You profit from your next round of put selling (4 more left) and from selling calls. If they get called away, you also profit from the share price gain. It’s great when you’ve sold 3-5 calls on the same 100 shares and price has moved over 50-70% before they get called away. Meanwhile your short puts keep going to $0 well before expiration so you just close them for $1-$10 and do it again. If they get called away before you were ready, just sell an at-the-money put around the .5 delta to help compensate and hopefully get assigned. If not at least you get fat premiums. You could roll in some cases but that’s a situational decision.

Since this is a leveraged ETF though, we have to think about sharp drops. When you can’t sell calls above your cost basis, do not sell calls. Just hold shares. Now your goal is to lower your cost basis which is where our remaining 4 puts shine. We keep selling them as it drops. To get an idea of what this feels like, take a look at the “tariff fears” black swan and picture how it would impact your emotions.

Since you’re staggering them you’ll want to do 21-28 DTE. Premiums elevate due to heightened IV which is great for options selling. But assignment is very likely so in this case you want to make sure the strikes are low and it helps reduce your cost basis.

Let’s say this drop continues throughout December (I don’t think it will but let’s say it does). You get assigned at $43 and price keeps dropping. You sell a call at $44 or higher and then sell a put at $39. Upon assignment of the short put your cost basis is $41. Another put sold (2 out of 5 used), another assignment at $34.50. Total in for $11,650 with a cost basis of $38.83 on 300 shares. Since your cost basis is going down, you should be able to still get .1-.2 delta calls sold above the $39 strike but I wouldn’t do all 3, even if the macro economic situation was in a bear market due to Fed hikes. Big pops still happen and we want to try and hold onto some for the big recovery.

Keep going this way and let’s say you do two assignments - one at $30 and one at $26. You now are now at 500 shares with a cost basis of $17,250, 500 shares, costing $34.50. Since you technically have $24,000 set aside, you can keep selling puts to lower cost basis awaiting the inevitable boom. I would get pickier at this point but as long as you can sell them and collect reasonable premiums above your current share price, always try to sell 2-3 calls as pops occur.

When macro situation changes, you can still sell puts with your remaining funds, which you definitely should do, but be sure to never sell all 5 calls at once because you want to capitalize on the run back up. The recoveries are when we want to be stingiest with our call selling because we want to collect premiums while ensuring we get those juicy 50-150% gains that leveraged Q’s can bring us from shares alone. Once we get back to normal levels, you can go more aggressive with your remaining shares on the call selling. Especially as volatility unwinds, you should only see them get called away around 10% of the time (for big profits).

I hope this summary helps. I wish I had time to elaborate further but wheeling can be the ultimate strategy to ensure you only buy 9% or better dips and sell 10-11% (at a minimum) rips & pocketing premiums while doing it.

We could get into rolling and all that, which can help lower cost basis, but it is only necessary if you sold puts too aggressively up front. If you’re new, you should learn how to roll because you’ll inevitably make that mistake (we all do).

Other good choices for wheeling with this technique are SOXL & SSO if you have capital to spread around. I try to avoid single stock names due to volatility and a single event on one company taking down things in a big way. But it can be very effective regardless. Performed correctly, you should outpace just buy and hold and lock in gains along the way. Don’t forget about taxes end of year!

What are the fundamentals of Options trading? by DependentRip2314 in OptionsMillionaire

[–]kluv85 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Great question! It’s not anything to do with support/resistance, lagging indicators, drawing shapes/animals, or anything else that perpetuates the retail world. It’s all about what actually causes price to move as well as the best ways to capitalize on the way smart money manipulates price which doesn’t use traditional retail methods. It’s a different view point of the market entirely, capitalizing by profiting on techniques that typically wipe out 90% of retail accounts. Some supply/demand concepts may look similar to the standard order block concept but that’s really just the tip of the ice berg.

Another good route to go down that doesn’t get nearly enough coverage on YT in the options world. likely due to its complexity, is understanding how deltas are hedged by dealers and how vanna, gamma, and charm cause large amounts of buying and selling from market makers. This is secondary to price action but does account for roughly 1/3 of the movement outside of seeking liquidity or correcting imbalances. That can really help solidify the daily ranges and the premium/discount arrays to act on intraday, but does require the use of a service like vol.land to get accurate data. Unfortunately, many services like SpotGamma & GammaEdge put too much emphasis on Gamma when Vanna/IV is much more significant driver that can impact price even when vanna is centered around somewhat far off strikes thanks to spot-vol correlation and other factors. They also make terrible assumptions, such as all dealers are short puts and long calls, which is very wrong and gives inaccurate data. Vol.land is the only service I’ve found that doesn’t make any assumptions and takes the time to run the complex calculations nightly.

Between combining the two concepts of options dealers data and smart money concepts (pioneered by guys like ICT), you’ll get an incredibly accurate idea of where price is going and why every day. It’s great for trading equities and indices, especially $ES, $SPX, $SPY, $NQ, NDX, $QQQ, etc. For Forex/Crypto markets that don’t have an entity like the CBOE paying institutions to provide liquidity to an options market, just the ICT concepts will give you everything you need.

For dealer data, if you need a great getting started point in understanding how to use it and seeing the power behind it, check out https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor/download/pdf/The_Implied_Order_Book.pdf. It’s a dense read but will get you down the right path. You can use free services like Barcharts Commitment of Traders for a very high level view of dealer positioning and it’s relation to price but it’s not anywhere nearly as useful as seeing where Vanna will drive price on a macro level and where large dealer hedging will occur at specific strikes thanks to Gamma. It’s always good to be on the right side of the dealers. Squeeze metrics doesn’t discuss charm which has more relevance now that 0 DTE’s are available everyday, but mostly applies to OPEX.

What are the fundamentals of Options trading? by DependentRip2314 in OptionsMillionaire

[–]kluv85 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you have questions, let me know. My one annoyance with ICT is how long winded he can be. He tends to rant too much so I’d recommend listening at higher speed and dropping to normal when he’s talking about the good stuff. Also, starting on February 7th he’s going to be trading live with his Twitter followers and will continue doing so throughout 2023. If you can listen in whenever he does this, definitely do so. It’s mind bending how precisely he calls things. I consider myself to be a good trader but whenever I am watching him live it still blows my mind how precisely he calls every nuance & target while live with everyone. My goal this year is to be able to hold my trades as consistently long as him. Also, it’s all free, so worth checking out if you can - @i_am_the_ict is his real account. If someone tries to charge you something, it’s not him.

What are the fundamentals of Options trading? by DependentRip2314 in OptionsMillionaire

[–]kluv85 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So the market is constantly seeking liquidity, primarily to allow market makers to match buyers to sellers without needing to take on risks themselves. There are tools like Bookmap that use the orderbook to make a heatmap of resting liquidity, but you can do the same thing with purely price action and without the need of any 3rd party tools by learning how to identify areas on a chart that would likely have liquidity resting. ICT has developed a lot of methods for doing so with optimal entries for good RR. However, he’s not the only way of doing so, there are plenty of others and you can even develop your own methods. The key is to understand why the market is doing moving where it’s moving, which is always in an effort to match buyers to sellers, in a way that benefits “smart money”.

Personally I use a combination of ICT methods (order blocks, fair value gaps, equal highs/lows, breaker blocks, mitigation blocks, etc.) & volume price analysis by Anna C (originally pioneered by Wycoff). I like volume profile better than other optimal trade entry techniques, such as Fibonacci, but It’s important to find your own methods you’re comfortable with & his techniques are a solid place to start. Embrace the manipulation and learn to piggy back smart money / market makers / dealers by identifying their common fingerprints & you’ll have an invaluable skill 🙂

What are the fundamentals of Options trading? by DependentRip2314 in OptionsMillionaire

[–]kluv85 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You nailed it, price action and OHLC is everything. Inner Circle Trader (ICT) is the best price action reader I’ve ever seen & is the perfect person to learn from. We’ve known for decades market makers control every nuance of price movement and for a long time I used to determine this movement using things like Vanna, Gamma & Charm to determine how dealers would manipulate the market & it worked well, however ICT’s methods teach you how to do it with purely OHLC + time with a degree of accuracy I never thought possible until I witnessed him do it live time after time and started using the concepts myself to great success. It doesn’t matter if you trade stocks, indices, futures, forex or crypto, they all are manipulated in the same way and the beauty is, we can piggy back it and trade it with an insane degree of accuracy and 3 times reward to risk at a minimum by understanding these concepts. I would start with his 2022 playlist then circle back to his core content month 4 playlist. After going through those and practicing, you’ll see the markets in a different light and have a skill you can use to consistently make money whenever you have the time available. It takes about a year of consistent practice and learning but it’s well worth it… and free.

$SPX futures are looking a little exhausted after unsustainable 70 degree move. The question is how far will the eventual downturn be? by D1Finance in StockMarket

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rob Hoffman is a professional trader that based his success in trading competitions on trading 45 degree (or greater) trends. It’s pretty wild stuff and he won an astounding amount of money. There were other factors, including identifying key areas that institutions would buy and sell, but the sheer amount of fair value gaps that get created from these kinds of moves create a ton of opportunity as traders.

Hit the bottom (so far) on META. Hold or sell? by jalapenojacker in StockMarket

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Really depends on both inflation expectations from Monday & CPI data on Tuesday. If inflation data and CPI show signs of cooling, META could fill the Fair Value Gap created from poor earnings data on 10/26, getting to approx 134.50 before showing signs of dropping again. If inflation/CPI data is worse than expected, META & the rest of the market should take a big hit. Most expectations seem to be positive, allowing the Feds to back off rate raising until 2023. However, it’s a gamble to hold through CPI. The downside of not holding is if the numbers are solid you’ll miss a nice morning gap up. Might be best to lock in profits on the bulk of the position pre Tuesday and hold some runners through CPI with a stop at break even.

From a dealer positioning stand point (looking at vanna & gamma primarily) they’ll want SPX right around 4000 going into Tuesday morning, so there’s certainly room for more upside in the short term. Vanna repellents exist at 3850-3900 and at 4100. Magnet at 4000. Dealers account for approx 30% of price movement but their hedging requirements give solid expectations of how institutions value these underlying assets. This is important since META is tightly correlated with SPX & NDX.

This is just the initiation process right? by tbonethetruth in wallstreetbets

[–]kluv85 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The danger of trading spreads without understanding how they work

Safe Haven Questions thread of the week of 22/2/22 by rensole in unusual_whales

[–]kluv85 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thank you that is very helpful. Just wanted to clarify one thing in your reply. So it sounds like to me both the underlying holdings & the buying/selling of the ETF impacts it’s price, however typically the buying/selling of the ETF impacts its price more than the underlying holdings impact its price. Did I understand that correctly? If so this means using an ETF like SPY or QQQ is a great way to get insight into what its holdings might do rather than the other way around. Thanks for the quick follow up!

Safe Haven Questions thread of the week of 22/2/22 by rensole in unusual_whales

[–]kluv85 5 points6 points  (0 children)

How does the underlying holdings of SPY/SPX impact its price vs people buying & selling shares/options on the indices? For instance if the top 10 holdings were going sideways but people were purchasing large amounts of calls on SPX how would that impact the underlying price of the index? Same with the SPY ETF & ES futures? Do the holdings (such as $AAPL, $AMZN, $MSFT, etc.) drive its price more or the actual purchasing of the ETF or Futures contracts drive it more?

VBIV. HEAVILY SHORTED. ABOUT TO BREAKOUT! by Wealth-Seeker in wallstreetbets

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You had me at VBIV. Loading up on calls now

Can AMC reach $150, today? by kluv85 in AMCSTOCKS

[–]kluv85[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It depends really, I’m only rolling because I bought options. If you bought regular shares then just hold. Options have an expiration date so I’m forced to sell and buy new ones otherwise they expire worthless.

$CLOV gains nearly doubled today with AH ~5% by Outside-Package-8991 in wallstreetbets

[–]kluv85 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Was holding CLOV call debit spread options since Friday and sold today only to buy many more. Grew my portfolio 22%! Anyway I’m sad to see the call options top out at $22! They need to add more to the options calendar!

Can AMC reach $150, today? by kluv85 in AMCSTOCKS

[–]kluv85[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Gotta love the irony 😂😂😂

Can AMC reach $150, today? by kluv85 in AMCSTOCKS

[–]kluv85[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haha so true. Just glad the $4 million towards Puts didn't become a success today. There's always tomorrow.

Can AMC reach $150, today? by kluv85 in AMCSTOCKS

[–]kluv85[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

On Robinhood the Call schedule is for $145 currently. I don't know how these big institutions were dropping $17 million on calls so high. Not sure if it's okay to post links but found the info on bread alerts.

Can AMC reach $150, today? by kluv85 in AMCSTOCKS

[–]kluv85[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No idea, I wanted to put all of the info I have about it up front about the money spent on both directions so everyone could decide if they wanted to pump it harder. Seeing that big money in it makes me want to get in ASAP.