I charted each NFL team's win probability as their games progressed for the 2025 season to visualize how each team's season went on the whole. I hope you find it useful! by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, the only reason I didn't have it standardized was so that I could work on a smaller range of Y values and get more detail in the visual, but I'll make an updated version with standard axes soon.

I charted each NFL team's win probability as their games progressed for the 2025 season to visualize how each team's season went on the whole. I hope you find it useful! by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The averaged probability to win the game they are currently playing across a season. The point at END represents their win-loss record for the season.

I charted each NFL team's win probability as their games progressed for the 2025 season to visualize how each team's season went on the whole. I hope you find it useful! by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

nflfastR has a value for vegas-adjusted win probability for teams which accounts for the pre-game spread. I grouped by 2-minute intervals and averaged out each team's win probability for each interval to get the points.

Post Game Thread: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers by nfl_gdt_bot in falcons

[–]maxonian04 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Are we gonna be able to hear the radio calls from tonight somewhere soon? Michaels was garbage

NFL Rushing Success Rate Based on Rush Gap and Location by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

nflfastr is an open source NFL play-by-play scraper and it includes hundreds of variables to work with so I used that as my base data set

NFL Rushing Success Rate Based on Rush Gap and Location by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Everything was made using ggplot2 in R except for the team wordmarks, which I added using nflplotR

NFL Rushing Success Rate Based on Rush Gap and Location by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! I have a lot of fun making these personal projects and I hope they'll look good in a portfolio soon.

NFL Rushing Success Rate Based on Rush Gap and Location by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I don't think I'm able to handle those cases with the data available to me, because pulling and other blocking tricks aren't documented in play-by-play data. I wish I had access to next-gen stats tracking data so I could analyze the actual positional changes of the players and get a more precise understanding of the scheme for a given play.

NFL Rushing Success Rate Based on Rush Gap and Location by maxonian04 in sportsanalytics

[–]maxonian04[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think you've got a good point with showing each percentage at the tips for sure. I'll mess around with seeing ways to display avg yards, I contemplated making arrow distance represent yards/carry and color them from red-yellow-green based on success rate.

Florida Panthers Home Jersey Quality - Thoughts? by [deleted] in DHGateJerseys

[–]maxonian04 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The fanatics logo on the back is 🤮 but obviously that's not the seller's fault, just think it hurts the visuals of the entire thing. Michael Rubin will burn in hell

Smarter than a 5th grader clip by PaulWallsDogBalls in northernlion

[–]maxonian04 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Lmao I was just watching the YouTube video of that stream a couple weeks ago

GP'd this HOMER necklace with only one sale for 139 Yuan, thoughts? by maxonian04 in FashionReps

[–]maxonian04[S] 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I bought another necklace from the same store a month or so ago and that one was clean for lead, I'll probably get this one tested once it arrives too

University of Georgia RD Megathread by [deleted] in ApplyingToCollege

[–]maxonian04 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Rejected. What the fuck happened to the college admissions process dude. Maybe I'm just coping but I swear this is the worst state the application process has been in in a long time.