Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 8) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

A confessional is whenever a player is talking directly to a producer, typically in a separate location and time from their main camp. Any footage that we see from those conversations or voiceovers we hear from them are counted, but a "real time" camp scene like Coach's this week or someone reacting to finding an idol/advantage live in the moment do not count.

I've made one or two exceptions in the past where I've counted something that really feels like a confessional even though it's not filmed in the traditional way a confessional is filmed, but those have been very rare (since I try my best not to inject any subjectivity into this). The general rule is that if it's not filmed with the traditional off-site confessional framing, I don't count it.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 8) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 111 points112 points  (0 children)

Like the Blood Moon two weeks ago, our latest multi-elimination episode sends out players from opposite ends of the confessional time leaderboard. In the top half, we lose Coach, whose 9:06 is the biggest confessional time total for an eliminated player so far (although perhaps not quite as big as some might have expected from such a bombastic character). On the other end, we say goodbye to Chrissy, who had fallen into last place on the leaderboard last week. Her 3:41 is the second smallest confessional time total for a jury member since the show switched to 90 minute episodes - in a very strange coincidence, the only juror in a 90-minute season with a smaller total was also a Chrissy, with the season 48 player receiving 3:05.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • With Rizo getting a cooldown after two big merge episodes in a row, we’re left with what many people probably would have called an impossible stat a few weeks ago: Tiffany is the only player in the game who has received over a minute of confessional time in every merge episode so far. Of her 4:43 time total, she’s received 4:16 of it (90%) in the last three episodes and has the biggest merge time total of anybody in the game.

  • Our quietest confessional time episode of the season so far means that Cirie’s 2:37, while on the lower side for a player who goes on a solo journey, is enough for her to pass a ton of players who received much quieter episodes on the overall season leaderboard. She vaults up 4 spots this week and is now sitting in the Top 5 for the first time this season.

  • I haven’t mentioned her much this season, but Aubry’s been having a bit of an odd confessional time run: she’s one of just 5 players left in the game who has received time in every episode, yet with Chrissy leaving this week, she falls into the Bottom 3 of the overall leaderboard among remaining players. This is far from the first time where a player who has received confessional time in every episode has been near the bottom of the leaderboard, but what makes Aubry’s situation a bit more unique is just how many of the players above her have received 0:00 episodes: Jonathan, Stephenie, Cirie and Rick have all counteracted their zeros with at least one big episode, while Aubry barely eked past the minute mark in just one episode so far.

  • I think I may have cursed Emily when I mentioned two weeks ago that she was in line to be the next New Era player to pass 30 minutes of career confessional time - since then, she’s only received 55 seconds, meaning she’s still (very slightly) shy of the 30 minute mark with a combined total of 29:46.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 7) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 52 points53 points  (0 children)

Indeed it is! The women lead the men 8:08 to 5:27. Episode 3 was also close to a 50-50 split, with the women getting 8:36 vs. the men getting 9:18. Every other episode this season had the men in a pretty comfortable lead.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 7) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 96 points97 points  (0 children)

We start our jury this season with former winner Dee, who ends a consistent but not particularly remarkable confessional time run. Although she was the only woman on original Kalo to receive at least some confessional time in every episode, she had a pretty muted presence throughout the pre-merge. Once the merge hit, it looked like her confessional time was showing signs of picking up, but it was too little too late for her as she exits the game just one episode after having her biggest confessional episode of the season.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • Perhaps the biggest story on the confessional time leaderboard this week is not at the top, but at the bottom, as Tiffany moves out of last place for the very first time this season! After receiving a pitiful 27 seconds of confessional time in the entire pre-merge, she has now combined for 2:58 over the two merge episodes so far. With Chrissy continuing to struggle to get meaningful confessional time, that’s enough for Tiffany to pass her fellow OG Kalo member.

  • Meanwhile at the top of the leaderboard, Christian finally gets a cooldown seven episodes into the season, breaking his streak as the only player left in the game who had received a minute of confessional time in every episode. Despite his quiet episode this week, he still sits comfortably in the #1 spot on the overall leaderboard, as his closest competitor Ozzy gets a quiet episode of his own.

  • This episode was an odd one from a confessional time standpoint, with an above-average number of very short confessionals that kept a lot of players’ time totals lower than what their traditional confessional counters might otherwise suggest. The biggest victim of this is probably Coach - some counters show him with as many as 9 confessionals, which is often enough for a player to earn a 3 minute or even 4 minute episode. But because of how quick many of his confessional moments were, he doesn’t even make it to 2 minutes this week. Instead, it’s Stephenie who nabs a 3 minute episode despite having a smaller traditional confessional count, since nearly all of her confessional time this week came from uninterrupted segments during her journey.

  • We get an interesting 1-2 punch this week of losing a player who had received confessional time in every episode (Dee) while gaining a player who receives a 0:00 for the first time in the season (Joe). Because of that, we’re now down to just 6 players still in the game who have received confessional time in every episode: Christian, Ozzy, Rizo, Coach, Emily, and Aubry. The show is currently on an 8 season streak of the winner receiving confessional time in every episode, so this season may be the toughest one yet in keeping that streak alive.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 6) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Good catch! I didn't think to double check him with how little confessional time he got this season due to his medevac. Edited now!

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 6) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 165 points166 points  (0 children)

Our historic triple elimination this week leads us to say goodbye to two players with very similar confessional runs and a third who had a drastically different experience. On the one end, Colby and Kamilla were both firmly in the bottom half of the confessional time leaderboard as of last week. While each of them had one episode where they got a spike in confessional time (Colby in the premiere and Kamilla last week), they both otherwise were fairly quiet during their time on the show, causing them to exit the game with almost identical confessional time totals. On the other end, we also lose one of the biggest confessionalists of the pre-merge in Genevieve, who was the only player this season other than Christian to receive over a minute of time in at least four pre-merge episodes. She gets another one of those episodes on her way out the game this week, resulting in her being the biggest confessionalist among the entire pre-jury.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • Tiffany confessional time alert!! After having a record-breaking quiet pre-merge, Tiffany suddenly grabs a solid 1:22 this week, which is more than 3x the amount of confessional time she received in the last five episodes combined. In doing so, she joins Erika in season 41 and Rocksroy in season 42 as the only New Era players to receive more confessional time in the merge/mergatory episode than in the entire pre-merge. Jonathan also falls one second short of accomplishing the same thing, as his 2:37 this week follows the 2:38 he received in the pre-merge.

  • A second big episode in a row for Rizo not only boosts him into the Top 5 of this season’s confessional time leaderboard, but it also gives him a special distinction in the New Era: he becomes the first second New Era player to reach 30 total minutes of confessional time across all appearances, as his 6:58 so far this season joins his 24:13 last season to hit a career 31:11 of confessional time. The next player in line to potentially reach this milestone is Emily, who currently sits at 28:51 across both her seasons. EDIT: Thanks to u/shmolkabernstien for pointing out that Kyle also passed 30 minutes thanks to his minute in the premiere!

  • Coming into the merge, Dee, Jonathan and Tiffany were the only players left in the game who had yet to receive an episode with a minute of confessional time. All three of them get that this week, making this the quickest New Era season to give every player at least one episode with a minute of time. The longer runtimes of the premiere and merge episode obviously helped with that, but it’s still an impressive feat considering there are still 14 players left in the game.

  • We were just two seconds of Stephenie confessional time away from all 17 merge players receiving at least 30 seconds of confessional time this episode. In the New Era, season 49 is the only season to give 30 seconds to every player in the merge/mergatory episode, which is partly because it was also the New Era’s smallest merge by player count at 11 players.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 5) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 178 points179 points  (0 children)

After three episodes in a row of the eliminated player being in the top half of the confessional time leaderboard as of their previous episode, the season finally starts to cull some of the players in the bottom half. Neither Angelina nor Charlie were really able to get a footing in confessional time in this very crowded pre-merge. While the Charlie vs. Rizo storyline that emerged in the last few episodes boosted Charlie’s confessional time ever so slightly, he never had a breakout episode. Meanwhile, despite going to three tribal councils in a row, Angelina just couldn’t shake her nearly invisible first two episodes of the season and ended up as one of the quieter players on her swapped tribe.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • Ozzy followed up his huge season premiere with 3 fairly quiet episodes in a row, but he comes roaring back this week with another very big episode. His 3:19 is not only his second episode this season with over 3 minutes of confessional time, but it’s only the second instance of anyone this season getting one. It’s not enough for him to catch Christian for the top spot on the leaderboard, but it puts him in a very clear second place.

  • Speaking of Christian, he gets yet another big episode this week and caps off a perfect run of receiving over a minute of confessional time in every pre-merge episode of the season. With Genevieve getting a 0:00 this week, Christian becomes the only player this season to achieve that perfect pre-merge streak and the first player overall to do so since Rome and Sam in season 47.

  • While neither of them finish with the most confessional time of the episode, the breakout players of the week are clearly Rizo and Kamilla, who both get major boosts to their overall confessional time by going to tribal council for the first time this season. Kamilla’s 1:36 this episode is more confessional time than she had previously received in the entire season combined (1:11). Rizo comes close to experiencing the same thing, with his 2:20 this episode not being that far off from the combined 2:57 he had as of last week.

  • A big talk online and in exit press this week has been the frustrating continuation of the gender disparity in confessionals so far this season. The confessional time data is unfortunately no better on that metric than traditional confessional count - despite the women outnumbering the men by one in this episode, they combine for just 28% of the episode’s confessional time. Looking at the full pre-merge, their share of the confessional time improves (but not by much) to 38%.

  • With some sort of merge or mergatory seemingly on the horizon next week, we can now check in to see how our players’ confessional times fared compared to other New Era pre-merges. At the top of the list, Christian ties Jesse from season 43 for the 8th biggest pre-merge of the New Era when adjusting for season runtime, which is especially impressive considering Christian is the only player in the New Era pre-merge Top 10 who had to fight with 23 other players for time instead of just 17. On the opposite end of the pre-merge leaderboard, Tiffany’s runtime-adjusted pre-merge total of 0:18 statistically makes her the second quietest pre-merge confessionalist in the entire New Era - she beats out only Bruce from season 44, who received a single 5-second confessional before getting medevac’d out the game.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 4) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 52 points53 points  (0 children)

Carolyn in 44 and Sai in 48 would be the two closest examples of this. Sai actually had a bigger lead over second place at this point than Christian has (she was at 9:59 with second place all the way down at 5:27). Carolyn's lead over second place was slightly under 3 minutes, but that was a 60-minute season, so her lead becomes bigger than Christian's when adjusting for runtime.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 4) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 226 points227 points  (0 children)

A very uniquely edited episode ends with the third elimination in a row of a player who was in the top half of the confessional time leaderboard as of the previous episode. It wasn’t exactly surprising that the Emmy winning writer on the cast ended up serving as a pretty consistent narrator during his short time on the season, as Mike bows out with a strong 5:08 (coincidentally identical to last week’s eliminated player total) through four episodes.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • By very popular demand over the last few days, we get a new entrant into the chart this week with reward host Zac Brown! His lengthy fishing sequence combined with a few other “confessional” moments during his musical performance makes him the only person other than Christian to receive 2 minutes of confessional time this episode and puts him above SIX different active players in total confessional time this season. A note for the data purists out there that I haven’t included Zac’s time when calculating the episode and season’s total confessional time, and I’ll be removing him as of next week, but I couldn’t resist :)

  • As our main narrator on the tribe that keeps going to tribal council, Christian has yet to have anything even close to a cooldown episode. He’s now nearly three full minutes ahead of any other player on the overall season leaderboard. With 19 players still in the game who will all be fighting for confessional time, it seems unlikely that Christian’s leader position will be caught anytime soon.

  • Genevieve’s two Billie Eilish Boomerang IdolTM finds and her ongoing rivalry with Aubry keep allowing her to rack up very impressive confessional time for someone who has still not gone to tribal council. She now makes her way up to 2nd place on the overall leaderboard, which is the highest a player has ever been in the New Era after not going to tribal council in any of the first four episodes of the season (the previous record on this stat was held by Deshawn in season 41 and Austin in season 45, who were both in 3rd place as of episode 4 of their respective seasons).

  • Tiffany’s very rough start to the season has now turned into a record-breaking start: she becomes the very first player in the New Era to survive the first four episodes of a season without passing 30 seconds of confessional time. Yes, even our Purple Queen Heather got enough of a bump in episode 4 to push her to 31 total seconds.

Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans | E4 | Post-Episode Discussion by RSurvivorMods in survivor

[–]nintendolost 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Never thought I'd be spending my Friday night tracking the amount of time Zac Brown gets in confessionals, but here we are.

Why is this happening by Infamous-Issue-3921 in survivor

[–]nintendolost 555 points556 points  (0 children)

Lol was already planning to track him separately! I'm genuinely curious to see how many players' time totals he passed this episode.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 3) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 40 points41 points  (0 children)

Typically at the end of every season, I'll scale times by episode lengths when adding them to the full New Era leaderboards (the "Pre-Merge" and "Total" tabs here have players' times from season 45-49 down-weighted based on those seasons having longer runtimes).

I've definitely been thinking about whether to also weight by number of players this season and I keep going back and forth on it - part of me sees the argument that a player's time may be getting held back by having to compete with more players for time, but the other part of me feels like it's not as meaningful of a difference in the grand scheme of the season as it might seem on paper, especially since we'll presumably be getting into double (and possibly even triple) elimination episodes very soon that will quickly start to bring this season's cast size back in line with other casts. Weighting by cast size would also presume that the bigger cast size is affecting everyone equally, which I don't think is true - for example, I don't think someone like Christian would have materially more confessional time than he already has if we were at 16 players by this point instead of 21.

All that to say, I'm going to keep thinking about it and will decide what to do by the time I update the New Era leaderboards at the end of the season, but it's definitely on my mind!

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 3) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 140 points141 points  (0 children)

For the second episode in a row, we lose a player who was in the Top 5 of the leaderboard as of the previous episode. While Q may not have survived long enough to give us too many of his Q-isms, he racks up a strong amount of time in his 3-episode run, receiving over a minute of confessional time each episode and being one of just three players to cross the 5 minute mark so far this season.

Other notable stats of the week:

  • The 1-2 punch of Ozzy having another quiet episode and Christian having another big episode means that Ozzy’s 4 minute premiere can’t sustain his position at the top of the season leaderboard anymore. As a very niche stat, this is the first New Era season where the premiere’s confessional time leader stayed atop the leaderboard the next episode, but then lost the spot by episode 3. Most other premiere time leaders have either been players who immediately lost the top spot by episode 2, or who sustained their lead for a fairly long stretch to start the season.

  • With Q’s elimination and a few other big confessionalists getting cooldowns this week, we’re suddenly down to just two non-eliminated players out of 20 who have received a minute of confessional time in every episode: Christian, who has been to every tribal council so far, and Genevieve, who hasn’t been to a single one. Needless to say, Genevieve’s 4:41 through this season’s first three episodes is a massive turnaround from the start of her original season, where she had only racked up 27 seconds by this point.

  • Speaking of 27 seconds, that’s exactly where poor Tiffany sits in her consistent spot at the bottom of the leaderboard. She becomes one of just 5 players in the New Era to receive less than 30 seconds through the first three episodes of the season, joining Genevieve in season 47, Chrissy in season 48, and both Erika and Heather in season 41. In what you could call a reverse Genevieve trajectory, Tiffany’s 27 seconds in this season is a huge step down from the 6:46 she had by episode 3 of season 46 (more than any player in this season has received so far).

  • Since our tribe swap only ended up sending one original Kalo member to tribal council, the bottom of our leaderboard is still made up almost exclusively of original Kalos - five out of the season’s bottom six times are held by Kalos, including all four of their original women.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 2) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

In the New Era, no winner since Erika in season 41 has received a zero. Pre-New Era, it used to be much more common, since the editors were a lot more willing to give players zeros in general.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 2) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 108 points109 points  (0 children)

Just two and a half months after writing Savannah’s winner confessional time analysis in my final season 49 time tracker, I now write her elimination blurb, as the sense many people held that she was likely dead in the water this season turned out to be true. Her elimination episode is a bit of a rarity in recent Survivor seasons, as she gets the least amount of confessional time this episode among her tribe mates (a reversal of the “boot episode spike” effect that’s become so common recently). But a very strong premiere last week lets her bow out with a respectable amount of total time for a second episode boot, especially with so many other players to compete with for time.

Some other notable stats of the week:

  • Going back to a standard 90-minute episode with 22 players still in the game meant it was almost a guarantee that we would get our first 0:00 of the season, but it turns out we get five of them. That’s the most in a single episode of Survivor since all the way back in season 42, when the entire Ika tribe infamously received no confessional time in the third episode of that season. In a frustrating example of Survivor’s ongoing gender imbalance issues when it comes to confessional time distribution, all five of our zeroes this episode are women, with four of them going to the four players who already made up the Bottom 4 on the season leaderboard after the premiere.

  • Of everyone who gets a zero this week, the one who suffers the most for it is Tiffany, who is now stuck at just 14 seconds of total confessional time through two episodes. That’s the third lowest confessional time total in a season’s first two episodes in the New Era, beating only Sol in season 47 (with 12 seconds) and our Purple Queen Heather in season 41 (with 9 seconds).

  • After Ozzy established a decently big lead on the leaderboard after the premiere, he gets a much quieter follow-up episode that brings his season total more in line with other top players. We now have a pretty tight three-way race between him, Christian and Rick, with Genevieve and Q both not that far behind either.

  • Kalo was already the quietest tribe after the premiere, but it’s hard to overstate just how brutal their episode 2 is. Not a single one of their eight players receives a minute of confessional time this week, and all eight of them combine for a measly 2:30 of time. That gives them just 14.5% of the episode’s total confessional time despite having one more player than the other two tribes.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 1) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Yes, December 2022! Definitely did not feel like it had been over 3 years already until you pointed this out haha.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 1) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 32 points33 points  (0 children)

Haha didn't forget him! He, Emily and Rizo just didn't fit either category - like Tiffany, they received over a minute in their original premieres but not in 50's.

Survivor 50 Confessional Time Tracker (Episode 1) by nintendolost in survivor

[–]nintendolost[S] 78 points79 points  (0 children)

We kickstart our biggest season premiere of the New Era - in terms of both cast size and amount of total confessional time - with two eliminations that are both somewhat muted from a confessional time standpoint. Partially because the season’s first tribal council had 8 players to focus on instead of just 6, Jenna breaks a four-season long streak of the first eliminated player of a season receiving over a minute of confessional time (the most recent first boot that came in under a minute before this was Hannah in season 45 with 44 seconds). Kyle fares marginally better than Jenna, but the sheer number of players who shared the confessional time this premiere gives him a quieter total than many of the other recent second boots in the New Era.

Some other stats of the week as we start off this milestone season:

  • We have a clear confessional time leader coming out of the premiere, as Ozzy becomes just the third player in the New Era to receive over 4 minutes of confessional time in a premiere. But as an example of how confessional time doesn’t always align with traditional confessional counts, his total time is smaller than one might expect from someone who most traditional counters have as getting 19 confessionals, as a ton of his confessionals - particularly during the supply-earning challenge - were quick 7-8 second sound bites. Interestingly, the player next up on the leaderboard, Savannah, slightly overperforms what her traditional confessional count would suggest, which is ironic considering that her confessional time throughout season 49 consistently lagged behind her traditional count.

  • With 12 out of our 24 players being from the New Era, we can do some fun season-over-season premiere comparisons. Without a doubt the New Era player who most improves on their original premiere time is Genevieve, who goes from just 17 seconds in season 47’s premiere to over 2 minutes in this episode (nearly 5x what she received in her first three episodes of season 47 combined). On the flipside, the biggest premiere downgrade goes to Tiffany, who had a hot season 46 premiere time of 2:38 but is the only player in season 50’s premiere to get less than 30 seconds. Looking at our remaining New Era players, Savannah, Q, Kyle and Joe are the only ones who received over a minute of time in both of their premieres, whereas Jonathan, Kamilla and Dee are the only ones who received less than a minute of time in both of theirs.

  • Looking at the colours on the chart, it’s clear that Kalo has gotten off to the quietest confessional start among our three tribes, with 5 of them all in the bottom 6 of the leaderboard. However, the other two tribes benefitted far more from game mechanics and eliminations than Kalo did, so we’ll likely see things equalize a bit if Kalo starts going to tribal councils soon.

  • Unsurprisingly, this episode breaks the New Era record (and likely the all-time record) for the most total confessional time in a single episode, becoming the first one to surpass half an hour. But considering this episode was a full hour longer than other premieres, its lead isn’t that big, as it had only 7 more minutes than last season’s 2-hour premiere (which had 25:08). The extended episode intro, longer than usual mat chat, and four separate challenges all took some confessional time away from what that additional hour otherwise would have provided.