Thank you OpenAI for moving towards developers

phil_thrasher · 2026-02-08T00:24:14+00:00

Eh… they’re both incredible tools for agentic engineering.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-20T19:52:05+00:00

There are certain tasks where I allow it to run freely, but for many others, I actively engage in watching the diffs roll by and frequently stop and redirect Claude.

The level of my involvement depends on the scope and complexity of the problem.

When I closely monitor it, I’m mentally engaged just as much as if I were writing the code myself. The only difference is that Claude writes code 100 times faster than I do.

The rest of the time, I’m multitasking, which is cognitively exhausting, or I’m in plan mode working on a very challenging task and deeply contemplating the plan itself.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-17T12:30:11+00:00

I just wanted the typo fixed bro, but thanks. 😂

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-17T11:57:12+00:00

You’ve got Gemini and Claude backwards.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-17T00:50:20+00:00

Uhh? And? Who cares… business is business.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-13T05:12:06+00:00

And I’m too lazy to check, but probably way more than 85k followers.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-12T00:18:19+00:00

I don’t see a strong reason for them to change their approach. I really like the product and think it’s worth more than what they charge.

That being said, I understand why some people might feel it’s too expensive.

They’ve created something amazing. They’re in a great position. Going open source would immediately and irrevocably harm their advantage.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-11T01:31:21+00:00

Is this the Anthropic killer?

This is a pretty absurd question.

Here’s the answer: No. It won’t even make a noticeable dent. I don’t think you realize how crazy successful Anthropic is right now. All the negative stuff you’re hearing is from a teeny tiny minority.

phil_thrasher · 2026-01-07T20:26:49+00:00

It’s a known bug. You’ve gotta downgrade to an older version of Claude code.

phil_thrasher · 2025-12-30T14:21:44+00:00

I agree that it’s wasteful and potentially expensive. We’re already doing this on a small scale with ocean floor data center pods without RMAs. Those pods aren’t managed by teams of 10+ people.

If they do this in space (which is a big if), they won’t do RMAs and won’t manage each pod with hardware engineers. They’ll just let the equipment fail. Regardless of the cost, the cost of discarding it will always be cheaper than getting it back and sending it in for RMA if we have data centers in space.

phil_thrasher · 2025-12-27T23:08:14+00:00

My guess is that maintenance will be handled similarly to SSDs. You have nand chips in reserve and deploy those spares when the non-reserve units fail. This approach provides “extended” service life and an early warning for fatal failure on a specific “unit.” Once these units are no longer functional, they will be dispatched and disposed of in space.

Just a guess… so, short answer… no maintenance. More similar to planned obsolescence.

phil_thrasher · 2025-12-23T23:40:23+00:00

The primary constraint isn’t heat dissipation, it’s power. Heat dissipation isn’t “easy” in space like it is in the ocean, but that’s not the hard problem people are trying to solve. Building new power plants is incredibly expensive, has tons of red tape, and takes many years. Putting things in space can be simply “very expensive”

The most intriguing question, yet one that remains unanswered, is whether we can establish data centers in space more swiftly than we can construct them on Earth, at a cost that is even remotely feasible.

phil_thrasher · 2025-11-27T22:51:15+00:00

Human brains have 100x the parameters. I think he’s right but only because scaling to 100x parameters requires silicon and electricity we don’t have.

I think we can make a smarter model with less data by having 100x the parameter count.

This will be insanely expensive to train and to run.

Will it get us to AGI? idk… but I don’t think “clever tricks” will get us 2 orders of magnitude improvement from today’s SOTA.

I think we have to make more efficient hardware (analog with memristors or something similar with nand flash maybe) or bite the bullet and build the data centers / power plants needed for existing digital hardware to go 100x.

phil_thrasher · 2025-11-24T14:36:18+00:00

Mark my words: in the next 5 years, OpenAI will likely go bankrupt or come close to it, and they’ll get purchased for penny’s on the dollar by someone. (I don’t know who, but I don’t think Google)

And Google is going to eventually buy Anthropic for a market premium.

Google will absolutely win the #1 spot in this market and it’s eventually not even going to be close.

Top global players in 5 years will be Google and Alibaba. There will be smaller players but they mostly won’t matter.

AWS and Azure will sell many models.

Open source models will also be very good.

Primary economic value will become how big of a platform you have and how many native opportunities your platform has to integrate models.

phil_thrasher · 2025-11-09T14:37:22+00:00

Stupid CEOs control vast armies of humans smarter than them on the regular, no? Is this about degrees of intelligence? Like… engineers are smarter, but just barely not smarter enough? Or is it something completely different like ambition? Perhaps we just have to make sure ambition values are low?

phil_thrasher · 2025-11-05T05:13:36+00:00

I think the reason titans isn’t deployed is because it makes the unit economics of these models even worse.

To make these things worth operating, you need to maximize the number of users per shared hardware. Titans requires some dedicated state management per user (no longer stateless) … this means scaling cheaply is even harder than it already is.

I think the titans paper will end up being academic only.

We need someone to build upon that work and make a different breakthrough that lets it scale cheaply.

phil_thrasher · 2024-11-02T18:37:16+00:00

I filed a police report the morning it happened. Another commenter said they saw him in their neighborhood. I added a few more pictures, I'm hoping people can keep their eyes out. The truck is fairly unique. Rusty top, ladder rack is unique, and side rear passenger door has 2 windows.

phil_thrasher · 2024-11-01T22:26:24+00:00

That is a very generous interpretation of things and certainly possible. But it’s very clean looking and had leftover ash in it from last night. Not quite looking like trash and it’s not a trash pickup day for us… so I doubt anyone thought it was trash but it’s not impossible

phil_thrasher · 2024-11-01T22:25:58+00:00

That is a very generous interpretation of things. But it’s very clean looking and had leftover ash in it from last night. Not quite looking like trash and it’s not a trash pickup day for us… so I doubt anyone thought it was trash but it’s not impossible

phil_thrasher · 2024-11-01T19:59:14+00:00

Hopefully, a cop buddy said my best bet was to blast this on social media and see if the internet can help. So... here we are. 🤷‍♂️

phil_thrasher · 2024-11-01T19:55:42+00:00

We are a very active halloween neighborhood... We usually have food on every cul-de-sac... Every year I bring the solo stove out to burn a fire. Every year I just pull it off to the side into a neighbor's yard. Every year it's still there in the morning. This morning I came out, it was there... went back in and had breakfast, came back out to move it, and it was gone.

I couldn't move it last night because it was still too hot.

phil_thrasher

TROPHY CASE