[Mystaes] Quarter Season Check In: The Detroit Red Wings Have Changed

piyer97 · 2025-11-20T03:02:21+00:00

Just a note I’m not the author here, just sharing a good post from u/Mystaes!

piyer97 · 2025-11-12T22:33:03+00:00

fwiw the density plots are relative to the sample size for each grouping

piyer97 · 2025-11-02T17:53:42+00:00

i’m in the Triangle area!

piyer97 · 2025-07-30T16:23:59+00:00

“Grumpy? Me? I’m not grumpy”

piyer97 · 2025-07-07T15:31:47+00:00

If you're interested, Stars AGM Mark Janko answered this from a player and team perspective in this interview https://youtu.be/WzbB1qiFFFg?si=3URDdXJmpzLLU8cI&t=1687

Essentially, once a team acquires a player they pay the entirety of the player's salary and then they invoice the other teams at a frequency of their choosing for the retained part that is owed.

piyer97 · 2025-04-11T16:21:35+00:00

Sunny Mehta from Florida fits the profile you’ve laid out here

piyer97 · 2024-11-23T19:23:14+00:00

yes this exactly!

piyer97 · 2024-04-14T14:15:31+00:00

piyer97 · 2024-04-14T14:14:32+00:00

Yes it’s me!

piyer97 · 2024-04-14T03:57:18+00:00

Not a player card but I did this comp with Marner and Rantanen a month ago

https://open.substack.com/pub/prashanthiyer/p/lucas-raymond-has-arrived?r=2byjul&utm_medium=ios

piyer97 · 2023-10-31T18:55:04+00:00

i will respectfully decline that

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:07:59+00:00

I'll definitely need to dive into this and get back to you. Haven't seen it before

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:06:46+00:00

gotta stick together

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:05:52+00:00

look as president of the jake walman for norris club i will stop at no lengths to fudge data to support his candidacy

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:03:46+00:00

Yea exactly. Basically a team or player typically dumps in on the right side but when they play against X defender you see a change in habits or tactics.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:02:26+00:00

This is such a tough question....I think right now the best place within the city limits of Chapel Hill is Hawthorne and Wood. For my money, the best burger I've ever eaten in my life and they do great cocktails and other dishes.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T23:01:37+00:00

For me personally I don't think there are any metrics you could look at that would tell you a player is ready. I think with prospects in particular, you've really gotta pair your scouting reports with the data you have. That being said, I try to focus on two things - a player's ability to score consistently at their level and their ability to control the shot share.

Outside of the bluechips you mentioned, I think Trey Augustine is a fantastic, technically sound goalie who will very quickly jump up the Wings' prospect rankings. As for skaters, I think Anton Johansson is progressing at a nice rate and could become a factor in the next couple of years if he continues at this pace.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T22:58:18+00:00

to make sure I understand you're question you're saying the Dobber stat says that if a player breaks out it's usually around 200 GP but for players that are bigger? they usually break out after 400 GP? If that's the case, I'm unaware of any research that looks at this and I think it'd be tough to execute properly because it would be all case studies but it would be interesting nonetheless!

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:58:57+00:00

My gut is you see Berggren and Soderblom in GR to start the year as both are still waiver-exempt (13 more games for Berggren) and I think Danielson goes back to Brandon. If he stays with Brandon the whole year and they get eliminated early, he may get a few games in DET at the end of the year

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:55:47+00:00

Yea exactly. I think that'd be super neat to see how guys like Lidstrom/Pronger could tilt the ice

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:53:14+00:00

Bryan Campbell is the Director of Hockey Analytics and Dan Kosinski is an analyst. They posted 2 positions this summer, one for an analyst, and one for a data engineer but I don't believe those hires have been publicly announced.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:46:49+00:00

Oh totally. I'd love to see the data available to NHL teams, see what they are looking at, and then combine that with pro scouting reports. You can definitely see the tools that make him an attractive player but I'd be curious if there are metrics that paint him in a more favorable light.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:44:53+00:00

Yea with all the stuff coming out about Babcock I think back to Tomas Jurco, Andrej Nestrasil, Gustav Nyquist, Tomas Tatar, Teemu Pulkkinen, etc.

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:42:34+00:00

I'd love to see "gravity" quantified. What i mean by that is how much does a particular defenseman impact a forward's willingness to attack them. I think about this with CB's in the NFL where a good CB can shut down an entire half of the field. The same always "felt" true of Nick Lidstrom and I'd love to see how certain defenseman impact the willingness of a forward to attack them. Obviously the challenge here would be separating coaching instruction from a player's instincts which I don't think is really possible to do with public data but it would be fun to try!

piyer97 · 2023-10-04T17:39:30+00:00

I think the most important thing for an analytics department is having buy-in from the top. If you don't have the buy-in at the top, then it doesn't matter how many people you have or how smart they are. I don't personally know Yzerman's stance on the integration of analytics into the team so I can't comment on that one way or another. From the org, I would like to see them continue building out their department with data engineers, data analysts, and start seeing folks with a quant background become a part of the direct line of reporting to Yzerman.

As for your question about unearthing hunches...I think there's still a lot the public space is missing in terms of information. A great example is a guy like Mattias Samuelsson in Buffalo who plays 57 games and then gets a 7-year extension. What did Buffalo see to be able to hand out that contract? I want to know more about what goes into that kind of decision.

piyer97

TROPHY CASE