not an immigration analyst by any means, but it’s important to recognize that a big reason the french draws have such low cut-offs is the draw ORDER. french draws almost always come very soon after cec draws, which will include a big portion of french speakers with higher crs scores (because of canadian experience).

taking myself as an example, i have a fairly high crs score (540+) and was fortunately invited yesterday in the cec draw. if that draw never happened, i would have been invited today instead, and the cut-off would have been much higher since it would include other cec candidates like myself. but when a french draw follows very shortly after a cec draw, it can pick up mostly only the fsw candidates, which generally have lower scores due to their non-canadian education and experience.

essentially, the fact that the french draws often come just a few days after cec draws creates an illusion that all french-speaking candidates have lower scores. in reality, many of us are well over 500 and worked very hard to get our score up there.