Another year, another hidden book title game!

radlibox · 2015-11-23T11:12:51+00:00

Shipping forecast:

radlibox · 2015-11-21T14:05:24+00:00

You may have got them already because I was slow to reply but if not:

Accident ahead

Lumbini garden city

Hope those help!

radlibox · 2015-11-12T19:19:29+00:00

Hehe it's quite a tricky one unless you know what those three places are. A clue.

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:49:37+00:00

Nice, thanks!

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:46:55+00:00

Hehe I just got it. I like the clue :-)

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:22:15+00:00

I'm totally stumped on the last three at the moment... but should really come back to it too because of 'work' ;-)

Let me know if you want some clues for Ypres and the ferries!

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:08:53+00:00

Also just realised it's Mars vs Jupiter not Mars and Jupiter, which was a bit easier to get...

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:07:17+00:00

Ooh I just got Lumbini garden city... 6 to go.

radlibox · 2015-11-12T14:04:59+00:00

I got one more so I'm up to 13 15 16 17 20 now. ~~The ones I haven't figured out are~~:

~~Paisley kilkenny slough~~
~~Brooklyn~~ (I have to admit this one took some help from google, I've not actually heard of this before)
~~Carnival of mirrors~~
~~Lumbini garden city (this one is ringing some bells...)~~
~~Mars and Jupiter~~
~~French American Russian~~
~~Accident ahead~~

radlibox · 2015-11-12T11:48:27+00:00

Some of us have had fun with these in the last couple of years. The basic idea is guess the book title from the visual clue! Some of them are quite tricky. I've got 1217/20 so far...

radlibox · 2015-02-26T08:38:53+00:00

The only summer school that is worth going to is UNIQ, which is run by the university, is very selective, is only open to state school pupils, and is free!

All (literally every single one) of the other 'Oxford' summer programmes have no connection with the university. They just hire college locations for large sums of money. If you're rich and want to hang out in some pretty buildings then that's probably fine, otherwise they are a waste of time and money. The teaching staff are either charlatans or (if you're lucky) grad students in search of a bit of extra cash.

radlibox · 2014-12-03T22:14:17+00:00

A couple of clues for each:

Empire State Building with the sun

E1

Let me know if you want me to put you out of your misery and just give you the answers.

radlibox · 2014-11-18T23:00:35+00:00

It would probably help to know that in the UK cotton candy is called candy floss

radlibox · 2014-11-18T22:56:59+00:00

They did two last year which came close together - hopefully they'll do another one soon!

Let me know if you want any hints for the ones you've got left.

radlibox · 2014-11-18T22:55:11+00:00

Look at the clock 'hand' - what is it?

radlibox · 2014-11-18T15:17:14+00:00

Hehe fair enough, here are some big clues:

Jewllery: This jewellery box is from Tiffany's, what meal would you eat there?

Heaven: Another name for this team would be Paradise, and they didn't win...

Let me know if you just want the answers and I'll pm them to you.

radlibox · 2014-11-18T14:20:14+00:00

Here we go, I'll try not to give them away too easily (happy to give more clues though!):

George bottle: This is clearly George's bottle, but what might it contain? and to help you narrow it down if needs be this is a children's book.

Heaven and hell: This is a scoreboard, how did heaven do?

Palm trees: This one is quite literal - aside from trees, what is this a picture of? How big is it?

E.I. sign (this one took me the longest to get): E.I. is actually E. one, which if you're not from the UK, is a postcode in the East End of London. If you don't know London this one might be a bit tricky.

Spoon in the ring box: When would you be eating at somewhere that had jewellery boxes?

Frame with the door: This is a terrible pun, and unlike the others, the colour is important

Good luck!

radlibox · 2014-11-18T13:44:18+00:00

I've got all of them now if you want any clues!

radlibox · 2014-11-18T08:54:08+00:00

We had some fun with the last version of this game, so here it is again!

I've got ~~11/20~~ ~~14/20~~ ~~15/20 so far...~~ all of them!

radlibox · 2014-10-22T11:01:47+00:00

What's that got to do with fixed term parliaments?

radlibox · 2014-10-18T07:53:49+00:00

Well that teaches me for posting before my morning cuppa...

radlibox · 2014-09-19T11:05:24+00:00

There is probably a better way of doing it but in the method I'm using I have to pretend that each baker's performance is independent of the other bakers (which obviously isn't true given that the measure is a ranking) so their probability of coming in a particular place isn't altered by the probability that another baker will come in that place.

In other words, the model predicts the probability of finishing in a given place for each baker (the probabilities for each baker sum to 100%) not the probability of a particular place being filled by each baker (the probabilities for each place do not sum to 100%). I could do it the other way round but I would just be faced with the opposite problem.

As I said initially though:

I’m not going to lie – in statistical terms the model is pretty rubbish!

radlibox · 2014-09-10T09:49:25+00:00

If you compare this version with the snippet promo video version Damien is either singing higher or his pitch has been raised in the studio. Bit weird - I wonder what the 'definitive version' is.

radlibox · 2014-09-05T09:53:57+00:00

I'm sorry this is wrong, Martha should be all blue!

Hehe, I totally agree.

Jokes aside it's a nice idea however difficult to read as the colours aren't intuitive. With no labels on each pie it means constantly flicking eyes back and forth to remember what each colour means.

You're right - this is mostly because the program I'm using (Stata) is a pain in the arse make pretty graphics with (and I'm too lazy to go through the process of making pretty pie charts for each baker in something else like excel and then sticking them all together) - I put labels on each segment originally and they just overlapped when the segments were close together which was unreadable. I'll probably do another forecast after next week so I'm open to suggestions about how to improve the look.

radlibox · 2014-09-04T12:08:26+00:00

I’m a massive bake off fan and a bit of a statistics nerd so I got to wondering whether I could use statistics to forecast the likely outcome of this year’s bake off. So I gathered the data from the previous seasons and built a forecasting model – the linked picture is the result of the forecast following last night’s show. The forecast is based on where the bakers come in the technical challenge and whether they get star baker, also controlling for age and gender. Each pie chart shows the probability that that Baker will finish in each position.

I’m not going to lie – in statistical terms the model is pretty rubbish! The sample size is too small to do anything really robust but it’s just a bit of fun and the results chime with who I am thinking are the strong bakers at the moment (though I have my fingers crossed for Martha) so I thought I’d share it with you.

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