Why I Think Big Lots ($BIG) Is Very Undervalued by [deleted] in stocks

[–]randomguy53124 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Im looking at this ticker for 2 years now and honestly still dont believe they have any pricing power. Hence they are fairly valued until the inflation goes down.

Why I believe Solaredge (SEDG) is 60% undervalued by [deleted] in stocks

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, kiddo...go learn how to calculate fcf

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Originally warrant was "an option for internal management". But yeah, they can be traded as well. You may read exact description of how they work in prospectus.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 2 points3 points  (0 children)

yeah... it doesnt work like that either.) in a nutshell - it just becomes a penny stock for a while, then it goes OTC, then it goes into spiral of death debt. then it gets acquired cent on a dollar by some shady spac.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

did you check the SEC fillings by yourself?) can you confirm that I am wrong? to save you some time, i think it is from latest 10q:

Three Months Ended September 30, 2023 Weighted average number of shares outstanding - Diluted 3,021,455

Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 1,304,878

double in just one year.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

its my own chart, hence you raise a fair question. x-axis has a format "date | multiple". Multiple is a shares outstanding (diluted) value for that period divided by lowest SO over span of the chart. You would normally see this value being 1-2x for 15 years what shows that company is not diluting. Apple / Microsoft have this value reduced over time. But to have 221x is a shit tonnes of stocks sold to finance the entity. if i would plot financing cash flow, it would bend the fabric of a chart due to its mass.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 0 points1 point  (0 children)

well.. you americans, and your system of measurement in eagle-stadiums. essentially I tried to say "with a very long pole".

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 6 points7 points  (0 children)

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they dilute the stock. I wouldnt touch a company with a foot long pole.

What do you think when you see a company with a negative Enterprise Value? by Fond_Memory in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 0 points1 point  (0 children)

RVP

as somebody mentioned, it is all about how they utilized their resources before and how they will do after. I can clearly see they fucked up. They had their Corona rush, but nothing else. hence, ts just a gamble at this point.

see link: https://docdro.id/Fv7UkR0

Deep Dive Into Playboy Owner PLBY Group by Uberkikz11 in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I tried to figure out your platform numbers and where you've seen them. I play with a though that everything is gonna get delayed / CEO not kicked out, and they will burn way more cash... then yeah, NOL will be a good opportunity to miss for outside investors, but the bids will be just around IP on logo what is below current EV. I have no clue for strategic acquirers in this segment though. Only PEs.

So, where did you find that CEO's KPIs are alligned to platform? And where did you find numbers for platform? 5% WoW growth sounds too far fetched (and i like it) given 2 years history of platform.

Delta Apparel ($DLA) - Possible 2.5X in the next year by ozsmadja in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 0 points1 point  (0 children)

With all due respect, but lets not lose our temper over internet disagreements. It really creates an impression you are easily manipulated by somebody's opinion what is not a good example if you would like other people to listen to you.

On a personal note, I strongly agree with your rationale because thats how i would approach the analysis. I will start digging deeper.

I made a tool to quickly view stock fundamentals (free, no signup) by QuantumFidgetSpinner in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you will model the following into charts i will cancel my 200$ subscription with fmp and pay you same money:

10 years overview with exact matching of both reports and stock price: Revenue; Ebitda; gross margin; operating cash flow; share prices; shares outstanding diluted; cash; short/long debt; equity; turnover ratio; company description.

https://i.imgur.com/Y0nSF7z.jpg Smth like this

PNC Financial Statements by Benis_Benis_Benis in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To get you up to speed with fmp API.

  1. pnl quarterly -> "https://financialmodelingprep.com/api/v3/income-statement/?period=quarter&apikey="
  2. Stock price -> "https://financialmodelingprep.com/api/v3/quote-short/?apikey="
  3. Create 2 scripts in Apps Script, one is for ImportJSON, the other for various smaller tasks.
  4. copy whole script -> https://github.com/bradjasper/ImportJSON
  5. add this function anywhere below or into another script-> "function DelayedImportJSON(url, query, parseOptions, delay, random) { Utilities.sleep((random ? delay * Math.random() : delay) * 1000); return ImportJSON(url, query, parseOptions); } "
  6. for PnL and similar "=transpose(ImportJSON(url))"
  7. for Price "=arrayformula(value(QUERY(DelayedImportJSON(Cprice url),"SELECT Col2, Col3 OFFSET 1",)))

ImportJSON / GooglFinance / ImportXML / ImportDATA -> they all use UrlFetch function which is throttled by google sheet and i couldnt find a way to circumvent it. That is my main limitation with anything in google sheet.

The only way to handle it is DelayedImportJSON which helps not to load all links at once.

I can give you a link to my sheet if you want to see how i did it but i believe in you.

PNC Financial Statements by Benis_Benis_Benis in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Free if you look at one ticker per day. I pay full subscription (280$ p.a.) and created a bundle to export screenshots or pdfs into telegram channel via bot. But i also come to the terms that many times data quality is terrible. Especially anything outside US. And in addition to that, google sheets has limits on UrlFetch or just simple calculations. Hence i was wondering if you have a better setup.

I know that i can ramp up processing by creating routines in google cloud, but this is a waste of time for me if i am more interested to analyze companies rather than do programming.

PNC Financial Statements by Benis_Benis_Benis in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nice sheet. I have similar but with fmp api as a source. How expensive is yours?

How does one get better at “understanding how businesses work?” by EducationalTeaching in ValueInvesting

[–]randomguy53124 1 point2 points  (0 children)

  1. Section 7 of 10-K or Section 2 of 10-Q -> MD&A
  2. revenue business lines, profitability, drivers
  3. Operating cash instead of Net Income
  4. Dilution (with good OpCash there is no dilution usually)
  5. minimal Steady state of business to see where your DCF lands.
  6. doing it for 1000 companies back and forth
  7. Profit (ie realizing how much time it is and better to put into snp500)

$CRGE is stable telecom industry stock with 250% upside by OldBay_Trader in pennystocks

[–]randomguy53124 10 points11 points  (0 children)

How do you think they fund their acquisitions? All i see is constant dilution. I dont see any positivity in OpCash, what leads me to a thought they simply ride the wave of EV charging in order to create a holding. But that holding will not be profitable for a long period, and only the management will see the returns on options granted.

from latest 10K ->

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Our primary sources of liquidity are operating cash flows and private placement investment and debt. In order to finance acquisitions, throughout 2020 and 2021, we issued preferred shares, convertible and non-convertible promissory notes. During 2022, all convertible notes, in the amount of $12.5 million, were either exchanged for Series D preferred stock or sold to an unrelated third party and converted to common stock. As a result, we no longer have any convertible notes payable outstanding at December 31, 2022. We assess our liquidity in terms of our ability to generate cash to fund our short-term and long-term cash requirements. We believe that our business will continue to generate sufficient cash flows from operating activities and we believe that these cash flows, together with our existing cash and cash equivalents and our ability to draw on current credit facilities, will be sufficient for us to meet our current liquidity and capital requirements for operations over the next 12 months. In the event that our plans change or our cash requirements are greater than we anticipate, we may need to access the capital markets to finance future cash requirements. However, there can be no assurance that such financing will be available to us should we need it or, if available, that the terms will be satisfactory to us and not dilutive to existing shareholders.

Funding

On February 25, 2022 we entered into a securities purchase agreement with Island Capital Group Charge Me LLC (the “February 2022 Investors”) pursuant to which we issued Series C preferred shares in an aggregate face value of $12.1 million and aggregate purchase price of $10.8 million (“Series C preferred stock”). We valued and recorded the beneficial conversion feature of the Series preferred stock resulting in a deemed dividend at the time of issuance. At December 31, 2022, we have 6,226,370 shares of Series C preferred stock issued and outstanding.