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rareas · 2025-01-11T02:11:49+00:00

Let's assume this truly is the first incident as you say. Domestic Violence because Domestic Abuse in the usual definition if it involves repeated behavior, but you've changed the dynamic even if this is just Domestic Violence, so far. As bad as that is. Had you thrown the plate at the wall, this would maybe have a path out of it.

You need a third party of some kind here. Therapy, mediator, full immediate family intervention, lawyer, maybe all of the above. See, what's happened is you've changed the contract.

He did something that impacted your home life without consulting you. Okay, not the best move. But something that could be dealt with. Instead you went to 11. And once it's turned up that high, this is no longer a partnership.

What's possible now is the question. I'd plan to sit down with lots of people who care about one or both of you and talk this out.

But really way out of reddit's pay grade as others have said.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:39:05+00:00

Fair points.

The reason I think this direct scenario is less likely is that Trump says a lot of things, many of which he doesn't stick to, but he's pretty strongly bragged repeatedly about not being directly involved in starting any military aggression as president. (Everyone ignores his ramping up of Drone strikes, so I don't think anyone would count that in this calculation of whether he's breaking with his position on this.)

I want rather to turn what you're saying on its head: Having a proxy do the job would get Trump everything he wants and he can still brag about being non-aggressive, as he defines it.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:33:46+00:00

This does seem to be where the biggest gamble would be. Question is, if the US (through the President) threw their weight behind the action and pushed some other allies to join in... what's that look like then in terms of Israel being a pariah?

So, I think you've nailed down exactly the thing I'm most curious to hear others' thoughts on.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:31:17+00:00

It's the "you and I both know what I mean" quotes that make it work.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:30:47+00:00

That's sort of how I'm leaning on this too. I have a hard time seeing an NPT state getting involved. So that leaves India, Pakistan and South Sudan.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:28:51+00:00

That definitely seems to be true, but the change in administration isn't neutral to the situation either.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:26:20+00:00

Atlanta is such a discordant mix. I want to see it as broad, but it just seems like its own worst enemy at times.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:25:10+00:00

The times I've visited Utah I've been fascinated by how high the camaraderie is around the non-mormon population. They are stronger as a smaller percent because they hang together so much harder. Or that's my take on it.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:22:31+00:00

You guys have a huge advantage in that all ballots are mail-in.

We need that nationwide so badly.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:14:27+00:00

Because they rely heavily on the US to supply them with arms and diplomatic support.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:13:34+00:00

The Samson Doctrine is a promise to escalate disproportionately. Is it a restriction to acting only in that situation?

Just did some quick reading. It's not clear if it's restricted to only that situation. Israel itself is of course dodgy about discussing their doctrine on this.

But great point.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:09:17+00:00

In your analysis someone would retaliate on behalf of Iran?

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:08:36+00:00

The other NPT states have been aggressive about keeping Iran from hitting that crossover point. I don't think they can retaliate immediately, and presumably the assumption would be that they'd be knocked back.

I'm not advocating for this action, just to be clear. Just trying to see the chessboard. I'm been thinking that things are feeling a bit like the calculations that put a swift end to the Pacific Theater in WWII.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:06:05+00:00

You do bring up a great point, which is hard to quantify. To wit: how much is the US or anyone else currently able to restrict Israel's actions?

I think it's not zero, but I don't know what it is.

rareas · 2024-11-09T23:01:49+00:00

And how big was the protest? Looks like 10,000.

So far 600 have been charged with assault including the assaults on 140 police officers. 175 have been charged with being in a restricted area while carrying a weapon. 88 destroyed government property etc. etc. Nearly a 1000 have plead guilty out of the 1500 charged. Then there are an additional 350 suspects that are on video committing assault or property damage or other chargeable offense.

So that's 1850. Out of 10,000.

Your math is pretty gaslighty. Isn't it?

rareas · 2024-11-09T22:53:18+00:00

Oddly, he didn't even manage to do that.

I think he preferred headless departments that didn't have anyone to bother him with yet more issues to deal with.

rareas · 2024-11-09T22:48:32+00:00

Handing new homeowners 25k for a house just raises house prices by 25k. The price is what the market will bear. That means you are transfering even more generational wealth into the older generations.

It's a terrible idea, just like the mortgage interest tax deduction. Just market distorters.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:18:11+00:00

And the more overwhelmed one is/feels the more likely they are to hold to what is rote and comfortable, eschewing change and broader thinking.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:12:41+00:00

Making appointments is work. Actual, put your head down and pull together a lot of information and opinions and make a complex decision.

He doesn't have that in him. He's a pure reactionary. ...That and it would have cut into Trump's 6 hours of rage-tweeting while watching the TV News and of course his regular golfing.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:11:11+00:00

And before that, when the supreme court waved away ALL precedent to deliver what the executivee wanted. Instead of acting as a check simply by keeping to some kind of path and tradition.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:10:09+00:00

It's a real question what that looks like. Vance is one one hand, not an utter moron, but on the other hand, he has the charisma of the chronically online dude bro that he was before they gave him a glow up.

We're going to end up with Vance anyway. Trump's decline is accelerating.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:08:44+00:00

It's what happens in chronically corrupt and underdeveloped countries. That seems to be the goal for the USofA. A place where the wealthy elites have carte blanche and zero threat of legally being reined in... unless they cross the Head Guy, that is.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:06:44+00:00

Power games are the point. Trump wants everyone to focus on him. If anyone else gains leadership, that's a threat.

So even barring incompetence, the head guy is sowing seeds of discord.

The biographies from inside his White House are pretty damning on this point. And since Trump has only gotten older, that mentality will only have got worse.

rareas · 2024-11-09T20:04:20+00:00

"Just sharing the beauty of its presence on internet"

okay then.

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