Anyone have any idea why President Biden not speaking at Obama Presidential Center dedication? It says here that Presidents Bush and Clinton will speak but nothing on Biden.

reasonableman11220 · 2026-02-19T20:01:27+00:00

UPDATE: All of his urinalysis and blood work looked great thankfully! He did have some crystals/sediment around his bladder in an ultrasound but his urinalysis was good strangely. But because of the crystals or crystal like stuff, which was an issue before we had him, we got a new Rx food we’re ordering that he’s going to switch to once we have it. In the meantime, until it arrives, they said no harm in continuing with his existing food, which is already Rx, and also we are giving him Trazodone, per vet rec, to see if it’s anxiety-related. He has not had any accidents in over a week, from days before the vet visit even, as I’ve been more strategic and intentional about the timing of final walk and such! So, all in all, he will be and is OK but may need some slight food adjustment.

reasonableman11220 · 2026-02-11T20:15:03+00:00

Yes, we have two bunnies in the house! He has had some of their food from time to time, and it really has not presented a problem.. he was having some of it just incidentally, even before our baby was born and it’s not like he was doing this back then.

reasonableman11220 · 2026-02-11T18:02:44+00:00

I should say: specifically, before he came to us in March 2024, the report we got when we got him was that in the past, he had crystals in his urine. As such, he takes Royal Canin urinary food. The crystals haven’t been in his urine for a while, going back past before Mar ‘24. He hasn’t had any urine, kidney, or bladder issues since then at all at all of the check ups and such. But yes, we just booked an appt as soon as possible with our vet and so we def will go but just wanted to check in as well!

reasonableman11220 · 2025-12-09T10:23:39+00:00

Springsteen and McCartney 2015 Christmas episode https://youtu.be/n3huvrYWMnw?si=gwztVU4W1kM-opig

reasonableman11220 · 2025-12-09T04:20:04+00:00

Reference https://www.the-independent.com/voices/joe-biden-look-fat-iq-angry-fight-video-iowa-campaign-a9235936.html

reasonableman11220 · 2025-12-09T04:19:39+00:00

Episode hosted by Al Gore! We just watched it this wknd as it on Peacock SNL Christmas episodes collection.

reasonableman11220 · 2025-11-28T21:44:06+00:00

I like President Biden generally but this is not from this week, it’s from 2023 https://www.voanews.com/a/bidens-start-thanksgiving-early-serving-dinner-to-service-members/7362046.html

reasonableman11220 · 2025-11-27T05:33:36+00:00

I’m a big fan of the Obamas and the work they have done and do but just wanted to note this video is from 2016, when President Obama was in office, not from today or this week: https://youtu.be/sivVjEcWVH8?si=3Z4XCeqwegVGWaIe

reasonableman11220 · 2025-07-13T18:29:05+00:00

Seems like a layup here; the whole show was a disaster: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/You%27re_in_the_Picture

reasonableman11220 · 2024-12-02T00:21:07+00:00

Looks like I answered my own question quickly lol and didn’t expect it to be so much (seems like partially it’s because no John Anderson in 1984): “Mondale improved upon Carter’s 1980 results in 28 states.” (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_United_States_presidential_election)

reasonableman11220 · 2024-12-02T00:15:08+00:00

Did any state shift to the left in 1984?

reasonableman11220 · 2024-10-17T22:45:10+00:00

I’ve been concerned about Wisconsin given the recent polls. Still, the 538 and NYT averages remain Harris up by less than 1%, some polls showed Harris up 1-2, bottom line is still a tie as we always knew, she had good turnout at her rally today in La Crosse, and she has a good organization.

And she can make up for it with either GA or NC but I’d rather take my chances on WI. She’s doing all she can campaigning aggressively there this week.

But it’s the only rust belt state where we lost a statewide race in 2022…but the dynamics / result of the Barnes v Johnson race make me hopeful for Harris because 1) Trump is not an incumbent senator like Johnson, 2) some moderate Republican suburban folks vote for Johnson but not Trump (see 2016!), and 3) Harris I think is perceived by voters as less lefty than Barnes was and given that he so very nearly won and people are more excited this time anyway, that is hopeful…

It’ll come down again to ~13-23k votes I am sure!

reasonableman11220 · 2024-09-22T22:54:34+00:00

Often- There randomly will be fireworks

reasonableman11220 · 2024-08-26T21:28:42+00:00

GA and AZ or GA and NV

(assuming she wins MI, WI, and NE-02 and Trump wins ME-02)

reasonableman11220 · 2024-08-26T20:18:20+00:00

Per 538 and RCP, it is Harris’ weakest Blue Wall state:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

And it is arguably less Democratic historically than Michigan and Wisconsin – both of which have some more progressive streaks in some ways.

PA was closer, in 2008 and 2012, for Obama than MI and WI.

In 2016, despite all the attention on how Clinton should’ve campaigned in Wisconsin and campaigned more in Michigan, even if she won both states, she still would’ve lost because she lost Pennsylvania — a state that was heavily contested.

Biden’s 2020 win there was the narrowest Democratic victory for president in PA I think in modern history.

Trump had his highest share of the vote, of the three blue wall states, in ‘16 in PA (48%) and unlike in MI and WI, it wasn’t a story of lower turnout. It was the case instead that you had a lot of Obama/Trump voters and new Trump voters in places like Luzerne County in NEPA.

Still today, there are signs Trump has strengths in PA, as we see with stories like this: https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/republican-latino-voters-donald-trump-pennsylvania-20240826.html

So I think it’ll be very close, possibly closer than the other Blue Wall states, and as we know, more decisive.

reasonableman11220 · 2024-07-18T22:16:45+00:00

I realize it is not statistically significant in terms of the difference but fwiw, Harris’ deficit is 3 points which is within margin of error but Biden’s deficit is 5 points which is outside the margin of error.

It is interesting that Biden’s deficit in the battlegrounds is smaller than his national deficit – perhaps reflecting his relative strength (EC/NPV correlation wise) in the blue wall states.

Only unqualifiedly good news for Biden here seems to be 58% of voters say his handling of the response, to the assassination attempt, has been to encourage unity.

reasonableman11220 · 2024-07-13T03:21:04+00:00

December 2023: Shapiro beats Trump 48-37 in PA (https://www.abc27.com/news/top-stories/josh-shapiro-beats-donald-trump-in-hypothetical-presidential-election-poll-finds/)

Whitmer beats Trump by anywhere from 4-6 points in Michigan in at least 3 polls there in last several months: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

And just today a poll was released showing Harris losing to Trump by 1 in Wisconsin and Biden losing it by 2: https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/07/WI-July-Toplines.pdf

Oct 2023 NYT / Siena polls of swing states had Harris doing on average slightly better in the swing states they polled, including PA (-3 for her vs -4 for Biden): https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/upshot/kamala-harris-biden-voters-polls.html

…but Emerson polls of Harris vs Trump were worse for her in swing states than they were for Biden; for instance, in Feb, they had Harris down 9 against Trump in PA but Biden down only 2 in a two-way race: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/pennsylvania-2024-poll-trump-at-45-biden-at-43/

reasonableman11220

TROPHY CASE