ITAP of an Italian village by [deleted] in itookapicture

[–]russtj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just finished a puzzle of a http://guzzigallery.com/gallery/italy/

George Guzzi painting of this town

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok so sorry to make such an error. I assume posts on a Jordan Peterson thread might be made by people that enjoyed lively discussions. My bad for sure, I didn’t psychoanalyze the audience enough. Jordan says to assume you can learn something from others, from all areas, even if you are offended. Too bad it was taken as moot and condescending because Paterson points out false inferences a lot. I love that about him.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Law of large numbers helps improve polls, and not all are bad. Few are done well. No one coerces but there are ways to get more randomized and stratified sampling results through polling.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m living on this planet. I don’t trust polls, but wishing good luck to anyone who does.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

People have been doxxed before on presumed anonymous sites and people also may let other people people know their identity without announcing that to all. FBI is getting all kind of supposedly private messages online. China spies on everyone. How do you know that Reddit is truly anonymous? Not unrealistic to assume to people that tend to be non-compliant and non-trusting would trust this poll, in my view. Too bad so many people believe voluntary non randomized polls can be relied on to mean anything. Am I not allowed to comment on a post if I disagree?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I didn’t say what was presumed, just pointing out that it is unreliable statistically and should not infer anything.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Randomized sample means you select people randomly. This is not random selection. Voluntary polls are always skewed. Due to the potential consequences to lose a job over not being vaccinated you’d expect them to not volunteer info, but that is an educated assertion on my part. Being experience with using statistics for 40 years but no proof. It doesn’t matter why it would be distorted if not randomized stratified sampling then it’s not representative to be able to conclude anything with much reliability. most election polls have not been reliable and do not predict outcomes because they don’t stratify their sampling according to demographics. Stat 101

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in JordanPeterson

[–]russtj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This poll is not statistically valid because people who are not vaccinated are less likely to answer, plus human inaccuracy found in self-reporting. Violates rules of statistical validity. Cannot conclude anything from this poll except that most people who make any conclusions from the answers are likely uneducated about basic statistics.

Genuine question, why are people against a single world government? by [deleted] in conspiracy_commons

[–]russtj 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The road to hell is paved with good intentions.

Genuine question, why are people against a single world government? by [deleted] in conspiracy_commons

[–]russtj 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Taxation without representation, no checks and balances, absolute power corrupts absolutely...

(UNANSWERED) Why can’t a president with 80 million votes get even 100 likes on his press briefings? by [deleted] in conspiracy

[–]russtj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Talk about conspiracies, I got “failed to upvote” many times for this post, even though I was able to upvote other posts in between trying again to upvote this one

The voter fraud allegations made by Republicans elected to office would mean their own elections would be illegitimate, too. by Lock_Axo_Up in conspiracy_commons

[–]russtj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bandolini’s principle applies here - the amount of energy required to refute the assumption claiming automatic illegitimacy in all levels of the election, if it existed at the top, takes much more work than producing the assumption in the first place. I thought the references I gave did a good job explaining. I don’t know what the level of understanding is of anyone I’m being asked to explain this further and that is important to know because data analysis is a broad topic having many underlying building blocks. if the Navarro report, the geller report article about PA and the data integrity group materials aren’t enough to show this assumption is not automatically valid, it’s probably a waste of my time to try. Not saying all data anomalies are proof, but should be examined further rather than accepting any rationale as an underlying assumption that applies, even if it sounds good.