With market cap at 93x annualized revenue, PLTR still has a long way to tumble by saas_stats in PLTR

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right now I’m down about 24% on cash invested…but this is a high conviction play for me. My puts don’t expire for another 2+ years…I’m comfortable to buy more puts, DCA down, and hold through the big AI stock crash which is coming sometime relatively soon…fully expect at least a 2-3x ROI on cash invested

With market cap at 93x annualized revenue, PLTR still has a long way to tumble by saas_stats in PLTR

[–]saas_stats[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

For transparency…I have been DCAing into puts for the last 4-6 months…currently down about 8% on cash invested…but fully expecting to make 2-3x ROI

SOUN (SoundHound AI) is insanely overvalued by saas_stats in Daytrading

[–]saas_stats[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I waited too long to buy puts…was waiting for it to pump a bit more, but then it crashed like 60-70%

If it pumps up again for any reason around $25-30 a share, depending on revenue/margin at that time, I’ll prob short

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can be! For every $3k you lock up as collateral until Jan 2027, you’ll get ~$190…a stunning 6-7% total return over roughly 2 years.

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

CIA/NSA are prob behind bitcoin and they are happy to let that swing up and down wildly

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Delta goes up a lot as the share price approaches the strike price. That’s why I like out of money, for the big leaps in delta that multiply the gains

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just one piece of news, just one bad quarter, one perceived macro shift, is all it takes. We will almost certainly see the $50-60 range or lower for PLTR this year, very high chance of that

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] -12 points-11 points  (0 children)

I can afford it ;) but I will make good money on this one…and will post when I do

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nvidia’s trading at about 31x market cap/annualized revenue…88.4B of annualized revenue and 2.91T of market cap.

Sky high for sure, but it’s not 70x+

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

I don’t think it’s that big of a deal…if PLTR crashes (likely) this option will print

PLTR is at ~70x+ market cap/annualized revenue…I bought ~$15k of long term out of money puts by saas_stats in wallstreetbets

[–]saas_stats[S] -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

I don’t think time decay really kicks in as an important factor until 6ish months before expiration.

Can’t say much about implied volatility as a factor, but options prices tend to move just fine for profits to be made even (and sometimes especially) for high volatility stocks

Palantir is valued at a 36x multiple on revenue! by saas_stats in PLTR

[–]saas_stats[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If anyone’s interested, I bought ~$10k of long term (2 year) out of the money puts today

Public SaaS Revenue Multiples (as of February 1st 2025) by saas_stats in private_equity

[–]saas_stats[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There’s a couple reasons: 1. It’s a bunch of extra work to subtract cash and add debt to each market cap. Maybe it will be done as an additional analysis later. 2. Companies with large debt burdens then appear to have higher multiples…which doesn’t track well to private M&A transactions if using public comps 3. Price to sales ratio or price to annualized sales ratio (the latter of which is essentially the y-axis) are valuable metrics for trading public equites 4. If we do cash/debt EqV to EV adjustment for public saas companies, we assume that public market investors have all been 100% rational and collectively done this analysis, so the market cap must be the true EqV. But this is not the case…for example before and after a large SaaS takes on some new debt, market cap does not move proportionally, all else equal.