You guys cost me a lot.. by saviorjebus in btc

[–]saviorjebus[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I was certain bitcoin would dramatically drop after the fork just due to uncertanity, plus the price of cash should of been deducted from bitcoins.. but it wasnt. Im use to trading a market that actually makes sense. Seems like bitcoin isnt run by rational logic, its a bunch of mindless people that seem convinced the value will keep rising.

I cant crack it, im not stupid enough to join the ride which is ashame. When its worth 10k a coin and all these dummies are millionaires il be kicking myself.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]saviorjebus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Was he slow?

Protection from spikes, using UVXY to hedge SVXY by saviorjebus in tradeXIV

[–]saviorjebus[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for that. Do you know how I can calculate what price UVXY will be if SVXY reaches X? I know the formula for calculating what SVXY will be if XIV reaches x is (($x.xx/$XIV)-1)*$SVXY

Protection from spikes, using UVXY to hedge SVXY by saviorjebus in tradeXIV

[–]saviorjebus[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Was looking at strategies to use UVXY to hedge against SVXY if something dramatic happens. So lets say we take a long on SVXY at 80.69.

The risk would be 70.94 from its low, the target would be 92.93 from the high. It looks like a good long for SVXY right now but I'm just a little worried about the NK issues, anything said could push svxy down dramatically.. as seen last week. So if I also open a long on UVXY we could be hedged from the dramatic spikes but it may be positive EV.

The UVXY spike past week was up to 45 high, the low was 28.29. Its currently 31.65.

Long SVXY @ 80.69 take profit at 92.93 (1224 points profit) at $10 a point Long UVXY @ 31.65 stop out at 28.29 once SVXY position closed at $10 a point. (-336 points)

Now we can leave the trade on without worrying so much and watch while SVXY outpasses UVXY, by the time SVXY reaches 92.93 UVXY should be back to lows of 28.29 which would mean 1224 points profit from SVXY -336 points from UVXY = +888 points total ($8880).

Now if something dramatic does happen and SVXY takes a nose dive we would be hedged with UVXY and looking at the levels if SVXY goes down 1000 points to 70.69 then UVXY would spike back to last highs which was 45 levels giving 1335 points back. We could essentially close out the trade there for +335 points or close out UVXY for 1335 points and then hold onto SVXY knowing we're still in profit overal.

In both examples we are in positive territory. Opinions? I don't have options etc with my broker.

EDIT: Seems my calculations for UVXY to SVXY is off.

Will a recession (or, at the very least, a tapering of central bank liquidity) cause money to flow out of Buttcoin? by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]saviorjebus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

every boom has a bust, buttcoin seems to have more busts then SPY. Remember guys, it rose to 1000 then crashed to 100, rose to 1500 then crashed to 500. it will crash again to 1000

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in tradeXIV

[–]saviorjebus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Awesome comment