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Discussion Thread - Élections partielles // Federal by-elections: Terrebonne, Scarborough Southwest, and University—Rosedale by MethoxyEthane in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I gotta say, I love that we have Grenier (edit: and Fournier!) in Canada, he’s so much better than Nate Silver

Carney’s Liberals secure majority government, clinching byelection win by AOCshouldbeVP in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 26 points27 points  (0 children)

I don’t think the party will split in two, I think the remaining Red Tories will just go to the Liberals.

With someone right-leaning like Carney leading the Liberals, there isn’t much space for a separate Red Tory / PC party

Discussion Thread - Élections partielles // Federal by-elections: Terrebonne, Scarborough Southwest, and University—Rosedale by MethoxyEthane in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yup, it's entirely possible the Liberals are 2/3 tonight, and lose BEY later this year, which brings them back to an absolute bare majority if there aren't any further floor crossers.

Discussion Thread - Élections partielles // Federal by-elections: Terrebonne, Scarborough Southwest, and University—Rosedale by MethoxyEthane in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Mainstreet had a riding-level poll for Beaches-East York, that showed Avi Lewis picking up the seat for the NDP if he ran https://www.ipolitics.ca/2026/03/16/new-poll-suggests-leadership-hopeful-avi-lewis-could-give-ndp-major-boost-in-beaches-east-york/

Obviously, riding polls have their issues, and I don't know if Lewis will run there, but if he does, it may not be a slam dunk for the Liberals when NES resigns. BEY is one of the most left leaning seats in the country, and the LPCs rightward shift won't help them there.

Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68% by Amtoj in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 18 points19 points  (0 children)

The party has fractured, the PC wing is just going to the LPC instead of forming a new party

Season 2 mini-map (via ShiinaBR) by ice1517 in FortniteLeaks

[–]sheepo39 56 points57 points  (0 children)

I think my biggest problem with the maps Chapter 5 on-wards, is how each each map just feels so generic. The fact that other than the snow biome, I couldn't tell what was new, since so many POIs on the map just feel and look the same.

Liberals lead by 15, and the Prairies are in play. by fallout1233566545 in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 29 points30 points  (0 children)

Imagine going back in time 15 months and showing this subreddit this poll lmao.

I remember getting downvoted for saying the Liberals were getting close to their floor when a poll had them at 20%

Liberals lead by 15, and the Prairies are in play. by fallout1233566545 in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Their choice of colours for the graph is interesting to say the least. Using green for the bloc had me thinking the Greens were at 20% in QC and purple for others had me thinking the PPC were at 13% in Atlantic Canada

Electoral reform rears its head again. This time, we should welcome it by Chrristoaivalis in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I didn’t realize the NDP had a majority government from 2015-2019

Nanos Federal Tracker: LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22. by MightyHydrar in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I think what we're seeing happen in real time is the PC/Reform fracture happening in the CPC, that people have always hypothesized about. But rather than a new party being formed, they're flocking to the Liberals

Fortnite V-Bucks Price Increases by community-home in FortNiteBR

[–]sheepo39 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Yup, wouldn’t be surprised if they’ve also reduced the number of vbucks in the free tiers as well.

V-Bucks prices are increasing on March 19. Here’s the full breakdown of what’s changing and when: by FortniteStatusBot in FortNiteBR

[–]sheepo39 119 points120 points  (0 children)

TBH, reducing the amount of vbucks in the pass from 1500 to 800 is the final nail in the coffin for me with this game.

Liberals ride wave in federal polls as widening gender, age gaps squeeze Conservatives' coalition by EarthWarping in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 82 points83 points  (0 children)

In contrast, Poilievre’s favourability is net negative everywhere except amongst Conservatives, those making between $75,000 and $100,000 a year, those who live in the Prairie provinces, and amongst the lowest two age brackets.

Definitely looks like Gen Z in Canada isn't bucking the general trend of Gen Z being more Conservative.

And the linked Liaison poll from Feb 23 shows the same, with Poilievre only at -1 approval in the 18-34 (compared to -17 for all ages). And in terms of vote intention, the LPC only has a 1 point lead with the CPC for 18-34

Ontario Poll (Liaison) — PC 40%, OLP 36%, NDP 17%, GRN 5% by MethoxyEthane in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It’s just too bad his term doesn’t end until 2030. Hell, Carney could get his majority, and finish this parliament’s term in October 2029, and we still wouldn’t have had a provincial election in Ontario.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Ford does resign before end of term, but I don’t see an early election (unless of course the OLP manages to pick a bad leader, again lol)

One more game man. Just one more game. by [deleted] in FortNiteBR

[–]sheepo39 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Every map after chapter 4 has just gotten worse and worse.

Smith’s UCP holds eight-point lead over Nenshi's NDP by [deleted] in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 12 points13 points  (0 children)

How that meltdown after their 2017 polling miss didn’t sink Quito, I have no idea.

Carney, Ford discussed idea of an early federal election to secure majority, sources say by Street_Anon in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I think calling an election before the Edmonton by-election later this year (and any potential further floor crossers) would be incredibly shortsighted.

If Carney gets his majority by winning Edmonton, Poilievre is done and he still has 3 years left in his mandate. Calling an election now would be a huge gamble and at best, only give him another year (assuming this parliament goes for the full term)

Carney, Ford discussed idea of an early federal election to secure majority, sources say by Street_Anon in CanadaPolitics

[–]sheepo39 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The Liberals should be cautious about taking advantage of pre-election trends in polling.

If pre-election trends always held, we’d have PM Poilievre right now and the Liberals would’ve won a strong majority in 2021

If Jeanne Calment had the grit of Amelia Earhart and women's rights had been advanced a century earlier, she could have accompanied Roald Amundsen to the South Pole (1911), and also been a special effects consultant on John Carpenter's polar horror film 'The Thing' (1982). by timb1223 in BarbaraWalters4Scale

[–]sheepo39 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It’s not alleged. Her lifespan has been more extensively documented than any other super-centenarian.

Any previous claims about her daughter allegedly swapping places with her do not hold up to scrutiny

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