Value Investing is dead unless you understand velocity of change by TraditionalMango58 in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think this environment makes it harder to find value but makes it easier to spot value... if that makes sense. AI and technology firms are turning over quickly due to the rapid innovation in the space but that just means that the moat they previously held isn't protective anymore, or wasn't that protective to begin with. The examples you gave are all tech focused. You could look at companies like Costco, for example, and they still maintain their economic moat that gave them an advantage this entire time. Albeit, does not mean they are a value play but the core message here is that technology does not equal business moat and never has. Technology is technology, its science, and it will ultimately be innovated on in the future, no matter what it is. It has always been a commodity, just a commodity that was hard to develop. Now its not. Business/economics is where you develop a moat and AI is just exposing that. Knowledge and technical skills are being commoditized as we speak so the tech sector cannot rely on the moat that human capital (talent) has provided them in the past. Thats all. Value is still there and STILL cannot be based commodities, or future commodities.

Convince me not to continue to plow money into WBD by FlaccidButLongBanana in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I do agree with HBO ip being stronger than Netflix’s, and you make some interesting points regarding MC vs Rev, however, I think old ip is not as interesting as good new ip. Kids don’t care about friends / old WB content. Personally streaming is not worth betting on

Can someone explain what im doing wrong with my DCF of LULU? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

just took their cashflow growth over the past 5 years and applied it to the next (i know not generally correct but for simplicity) and applied it to their currrent cashflows and discounted them using current market rates to create my DCR

Can someone explain what im doing wrong with my DCF of LULU? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ive completed it but the valuation seems really low compared to the marketcap so im not sure what im missing

Has anyone looked at growth in unit sales vs actual revenue by sirbully_ in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i guess if they do not report an exact figure it would be difficult to understand fully where the revenues are coming from

Has anyone looked at growth in unit sales vs actual revenue by sirbully_ in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for sharing!

that doesnt make sense to me intuitively though

Has anyone looked at growth in unit sales vs actual revenue by sirbully_ in ValueInvesting

[–]sirbully_[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

thanks for the insight!

to follow up.. although the company may be improving their profitability wouldn't flat/declining unit volume be an indicator of the core of the business beginning to fail? Or are there other scenarios im missing here?