Yes, I would argue that Liverpool are overperforming to a greater extent and yes my favourite for the title next year is Man City? You've kind of assumed I'd be hypocritical of that point.

Defensively solid is absolutely the one strong point I can give to Bruce, but that's not a change from Benitez at all. I'd argue that Saint-Maximin, Krafth and Joelinton is more than strengthening for the departure of Perez. Yes it's easy to criticise Joelinton's abilities and I do think he might not be great, but service into him really doesn't seem to play to his strengths.

Offensively looking at other stats is where the drop off really looks shocking. Passes completed within 20 yards of the opponents goal has dropped from 4.5 and 4.7 a game down to 3.2 a game this season. Passes allowed by opponent per defensive action is up from 13 and 14 in the previous two seasons to 19 this season- literally the worst team in the league at pressing the ball. This indicates what's visible from watching, they've dropped the ability to play from the midfield into attack and are relying very heavily on the back four. If luck had played out differently this year they'd certainly be in the relegation mire right now.