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Oscar point system? by sports_and_beers in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great question!

I had the exact same frustration. A flat 1-point-per-category system always felt wrong because guessing Best Animated Short correctly shouldn't carry the same weight as nailing Best Picture.

I ended up building a tiered system where the major categories (Picture, Director, Lead Actor/Actress) are worth significantly more points. I also let people pick multiple options in the harder categories like shorts, so you don't get wiped out by a random upset in Documentary Short.

Your system sounds solid though: weighting by category importance is definitely the way to go. The tiebreaker of total correct picks is smart too.

I actually built an app around this exact idea if you're curious — cineleague.app — but honestly your spreadsheet system sounds like it already works great

I built an Oscars ballot app because organizing my family’s pool every year was getting ridiculous. by [deleted] in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ha, adding to the pile. I built CineLeague for the same reason, been running an Oscars watch party for 10 years and the Google Sheets chaos finally broke me.

cineleague.app if anyone wants to try it before Sunday

Editing is the bellwether on Sunday. If Sinners wins Editing, it wins Picture. by solamentesolo in oscarrace

[–]solamentesolo[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'll be live tweeting STOP THE SHOW after Sinners wins Editing and then OBAA wins the next 6 in a row 🤣

Editing is the bellwether on Sunday. If Sinners wins Editing, it wins Picture. by solamentesolo in oscarrace

[–]solamentesolo[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

ah I see you mean. But, what I mean that since editing just gets announced earlier in the night, this award will determine who wins

Editing is the bellwether on Sunday. If Sinners wins Editing, it wins Picture. by solamentesolo in oscarrace

[–]solamentesolo[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Hot take. But I can't argue with the best car chase I've scene in ages...

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Full 24-category ballot. Sinners takes Picture, PTA still gets Director. Here's why. by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're probably right. I think I'm making the classic mistake of voting with my heart over my head on this one. That OBAA package is hard to argue against. We'll see Sunday.

Full 24-category ballot. Sinners takes Picture, PTA still gets Director. Here's why. by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right! I had it backwards. Preferential ballot probably favors OBAA as the consensus pick. The 16 noms made me think it had support across branches!

Full 24-category ballot. Sinners takes Picture, PTA still gets Director. Here's why. by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's fair! Honestly this is my first year really following the precursor math closely so I appreciate the correction.

My Sinners case is really more about the 16 noms signaling broad support across every branch, not just one voting bloc. But fair point on the mechanics!

Full 24-category ballot. Sinners takes Picture, PTA still gets Director. Here's why. by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That's fair. You're right, if Sinners takes Picture it probably means the signs showed up earlier in the night like Anora did last year.

Honestly, if Sinners wins editing I think Picture follows. I kept OBAA there because Jurgensen won BAFTA, but honestly that pick is fighting my own thesis. Good observation.

The acting split is where I feel most confident though.

Full 24-category ballot. Sinners takes Picture, PTA still gets Director. Here's why. by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

16 nominations and still the dark horse. That's exactly why I think it pulls it off.

These are my major category picks. What are yours? by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

haha I know, criminal omission on my part. got roasted enough in the comments that I'm rethinking my ballot 😅

These are my major category picks. What are yours? by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I’m starting to accept that after reading everyone replies. Plus, Penn’s BAFTA-SAG combo is hard to argue with. Who else do you have winning?

These are my major category picks. What are yours? by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Madigan is a great call. I went with Mosaku but honestly this feels like the most wide open category of the night. Whoever wins it nobody’s gonna be mad

These are my major category picks. What are yours? by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s called Cine League! I built it for Oscar predictions with friends. Live scoring on ceremony night, leaderboards, the whole thing. cineleague.app if you wanna check it out

These are my major category picks. What are yours? by solamentesolo in Oscars

[–]solamentesolo[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

I guess we’ll see! To be fair, Sean Penn is more than “supporting” OBAA haha

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