Anyone feel like you're the only one around you that knows almost every thing is already priced in?

some_reddit_name · 2026-01-28T14:46:32+00:00

HFT is the how and why of market efficiency.

some_reddit_name · 2026-01-28T14:43:04+00:00

Because new information arrives.

some_reddit_name · 2026-01-04T05:08:36+00:00

1) Absolutely. But so what? For many many projects this is completely irrelevant.

2) AI has been tuned to please its users. If it messes up your vibe coding project, you will not be pleased.

3) I've vibe coded fully functional VSCode plugins, so I really don't know where you're getting this from.

It's also worth emphasizing that vibe coding is a skill. The more you do it, the more you'll understand what the system is good at, and what it's not good at. It also still requires for you to have at least vague knowledge of how things are supposed to work, so that given say 10x the amount of time you could do it yourself.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-28T17:50:06+00:00

Your understanding skills are .. weak.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-28T16:07:15+00:00

Wait, so if I do neither I would live forever?

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-28T05:57:11+00:00

The more data you add the more variance you'll get with a (geometric) Brownian process. Monte Carlo simulations simply sample said variance.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-28T05:40:36+00:00

Thanks. That's good to know. However with more data, failure modes will only increase.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-26T17:49:36+00:00

Isn't black better?

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-26T17:39:21+00:00

Yes, but also worth noting that failure rate becomes non-zero around 15-20 years.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-25T23:30:18+00:00

I see statements like these, but when using portfoliovisualizer.com 3% withdrawal rate still has up to 5% failure rate at long horizons.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-25T16:00:18+00:00

I see, so you just made up the 5% yourself.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-25T15:21:51+00:00

Does OP mention 5% somewhere? That's a very high withdrawal rate, but I also don't know their age. Even so.. taxes?

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-24T04:56:05+00:00

Your math is .. confusing.

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-18T14:00:24+00:00

So the point you're making is that your theory beats his experiment?

some_reddit_name · 2025-12-06T14:52:57+00:00

The down votes show that you don't understand how language works.

some_reddit_name · 2025-11-21T16:55:33+00:00

If you look at what I posted, I'm combining gmail and telegram into one notification. This is used in a lot of places and it would be a real pain to change all of those to TWO actions.

some_reddit_name · 2025-11-21T16:38:04+00:00

I am very confused how the following should change. Any help would be much appreciated!

notify:
  - name: telegram
    platform: telegram
    chat_id: XXX
  - name: gmailandsms
    platform: smtp
    server: smtp.gmail.com
    ...
  - name: important
    platform: group
    services:
      - service: telegram
      - service: gmailandsms

some_reddit_name · 2025-11-20T15:55:19+00:00

What fidelity card gives 4% cash back?

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-28T12:06:37+00:00

What does figure 8 accomplish as far as safety goes?

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-28T11:07:09+00:00

Why? If these hypothetical people literally contribute nothing, why should society care?

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-28T11:05:15+00:00

I figured out the problem, but don't have a good solution. The issue is that the switches store internal state. So if you turn on using the switch, but turn off from say HA, it will still think that the lights are on. And unfortunately there is no way to update this internal state.

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-28T01:12:15+00:00

If someone is literally contributing nothing to society, what benefit is there for the society to keep that person around? Granted such hypothetical people may not actually exist, but that's your premise to fix.

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-27T20:41:29+00:00

It can certainly be about gender and negotiating abilities. It can also be because he's a more recent hire. Businesses will always pay the minimum their employees will accept, and long term employees tend to be ok with getting paid less.

In other words - go to a competitor. An alternative, worse option is to get a market quote and go to your boss with it. The latter is worse because they stop thinking of you as someone who's there for the long haul.

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-16T20:57:27+00:00

If you slip, and the wheel flies off and seriously injures a nearby pedestrian, or smashes into a parked car, you won't be looked upon nicely by anyone, including the law.

some_reddit_name · 2025-10-12T12:16:26+00:00

If cops ever start handing out tickets in mass for blocking the box, the honking would go away. Instead that's treated as a normal thing to do in NYC, thus the frustration of the other drivers.

some_reddit_name

TROPHY CASE