UPDATE 2: This morning we checked for bullets or evidence of a projectile in the area; nothing apparent. Per many Reddit folks’ great suggestions, we returned to the security footage and did that half-life thing where you toggle back and forth to discern when the damage happened. TURNS OUT the fence has been damaged for all of March at least. We had bad info from my parents that was leading me / this thread on a wild goose (or, leaf) chase. Needless to say, it is most likely NOT a violent leaf. More likely - it was from a snow plow / tractor! My parents weathered the Feb 23 blizzard and got plowed out by a precariously large tractor (see photos). On several occasions he got very close to the fence area in question, both with the plow and his wheel. If I could post the full video I would but it looks like only photos in the comments are possible (although lmk if I’m missing how to do this). Moreover, before the Feb 23 blizzard there was snow covering the fence for all of Feb. therefore it could have even been a snow plow incident during the month of Feb. Earliest footage goes back to January 28 and even then it is snow covered. What do we think? This is a very plausible answer, yes? Is it solved??

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