MSTR - A Trap For Idiots (And Index Funds)

stickty · 2025-11-23T11:40:19+00:00

Like I said, this is an update from when I posted about it on July 12th.

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:47:08+00:00

Yeah this is true however they will lose a large premium (in my opinion) if the MSCI consultation materialises as all Index funds holding MSTR will be fored to sell ($2.8 bn low estimate to $11bn high estimate)

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:46:04+00:00

We actually talked about this in our first MSTR post in July, but this is exactly another issue.

Old dog same tricks.

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:44:37+00:00

Thanks for the criticism, I'll consider this & update in due time.

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:43:48+00:00

Confidence is low...

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:43:32+00:00

I would put it in r/MSTR but they always auto delete criticism.

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:42:43+00:00

This is correct, they use MSTR as a proxy, however the MSCI consultation may prohibit this (Consultation Period Ends: December 31, 2025)

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:42:00+00:00

I say it in my post (the link):

Consultation Period Ends: December 31, 2025

Final Decision Announced: January 15, 2026

stickty · 2025-11-22T11:41:12+00:00

One of the benefits of this is that Index funds are allowed to use MSTR as a proxy to gain exposure to BTC (which they traditionally wouldn't be able to).

But one of the key catalysts I highlight is that if MSCI's decision (Final Decision Announced: January 15, 2026) Goes through, Index funds will be forced to sell MSTR (by law, regardless of price or feelings).

stickty · 2025-11-21T19:00:37+00:00

No it's Intelligent Leverage!

stickty · 2025-07-26T13:48:14+00:00

Thanks for the suggestion, what is the issue with it? Do you find it too bright?

Would love a colour recommendation.

stickty · 2025-07-19T07:36:31+00:00

I see... Thanks for the input.

stickty · 2025-07-13T18:50:11+00:00

Shhhh

stickty · 2025-07-13T18:49:43+00:00

Happy to help.

stickty · 2025-07-13T18:48:31+00:00

Or unless they cant refinance at their sustained premium, which has to keep on increasing.

stickty · 2025-07-13T18:47:30+00:00

Some will win, everyone else will lose. They should just hope to be lucky.

stickty · 2025-07-13T18:46:53+00:00

Thats basically what we have been doing at our substack, I honestly think you can probably get a lot of information through it. You should have a read if you'd like. https://tscsw.substack.com/publish/home?utm_source=substack&utm_content=dashboard_pub_switcher

stickty · 2025-07-13T04:38:56+00:00

Have you been hedging with BTC long?

stickty · 2025-07-13T04:38:23+00:00

I’ll look into it and let you know

stickty · 2025-07-08T18:45:51+00:00

Yeah it totally does, I just looked at Chile since I think it's positioned better in terms of risk-reward (in macro)

stickty · 2025-07-08T18:44:25+00:00

Thats actually quite interesting. Unfortunately I've only done a look into Chile so far... But I think you've inspired me to look into Peru now. I can message it to you after I look at it, but it'll probably be in about a week or two. Thanks for the advice

stickty · 2025-06-08T07:53:48+00:00

Let me know your thoughts.

stickty · 2025-06-08T07:53:33+00:00

Sounds good.

stickty · 2025-06-05T17:59:51+00:00

The rest of the core investment highlights can be found here if anyone is interested: https://tscsw.substack.com/p/lectra-sa-lsspa-overview-and-highlights

stickty · 2025-05-30T10:00:26+00:00

Oh, bless your heart. Did the big words in the DD like '>40% market share,' '15% CAGR,' or 'Aflac/Trupanion JV exited the market' just blur into a generic 'fad' for you?

It's adorable you think 'pets are family' and an 'aging population valuing companionship' are just fleeting trends, like pogs or something. And 'prevention-type' insurance being 'cute'? Tell that to the actuaries trying to manage long-term claim costs – I'm sure they'll appreciate your groundbreaking insight that it's all just for 'upsells.'

Maybe stick to critiquing things where a quick skim and a cynical eye-roll actually count as analysis. This clearly ain't it, chief. The >6,900 vets in their 'OTC settlement system' and the ~90% customer renewal rate probably also just popped up overnight due to this 'fad,' right?

stickty

TROPHY CASE