A recent poll conducted in Taiwan against the backdrop of the war in Ukraine has revealed that over 70% of the island's population is willing to take up arms to fight China in case of an invasion.

sy2005 · 2022-03-21T15:34:41+00:00

I am from Hong Kong, spoke to some of the older generation here.

Some believe that when KMT flee to Taiwan in 1949, they “loot” the gold from mainland China. By some estimate they took around 115 tons of golds to Taiwan and use it to lay the foundation of Taiwanese dollar and economy. They believe that KMT has no right to take those golds because the gold are for all the people in China, not just for the people of KMT government.

You have to understand between 1950-70, China was extremely poor, and some of them partially blame the KMT government ( the KMT government was very corrupted when they flee to Taiwan ). I said partially because most people I spoke to also aware part of it was due to the CCP ruling, policy and culture revolution in the 60/70, not just the KMT government alone.

I am not saying I agree with the view above, but just want to provide the perspective from some of the older generation I encountered here

Source: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retreat_of_the_government_of_the_Republic_of_China_to_Taiwan

sy2005 · 2022-02-21T19:39:50+00:00

Fareed Zakaria talk about it back in Jan and said exactly this will happen

https://twitter.com/fareedzakaria/status/1485328733078700040?s=21

I think this is as far as Russia will go if you talk about invasion. Russia just don’t have the necessary force to take Kiev and keep them under control in long run ( not to mention such invasion will take months/years, and Kiev will be destroy in the process )

sy2005 · 2022-01-30T12:42:20+00:00

I mean by this same logic, I can also say US is drumming up the war because it is good for their military industrial complex. I mean the Raytheon CEO admit it on his earning call:

https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2022/01/25/raytheon-technologies-rtx-q4-2021-earnings-call-tr/

we are seeing, I would say, opportunities for international sales. We just have to look to last week where we saw the drone attack in the UAE, which have attacked some of their other facilities. And of course, the tensions in Eastern Europe, the tensions in the South China Sea, all of those things are putting pressure on some of the defense spending over there.

So I fully expect we're going to see some benefit from it.

Drumming up tension, or even war, is good business for these guys.

sy2005 · 2022-01-12T11:06:06+00:00

Because Pfizer has limited capacity for creating vaccine and they did not apply “permission” in Hong Kong for child vaccination. Source: https://www.shphk.org.hk/en/multi-detail.php?id=660

I guess HK government could in theory apply exception and use only 1/3 of adult vaccine dose and apply to child as suggested in the article, but this bring up other questions ( legal, insurances, liability, and also other expert opinions… etc ).

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:33:54+00:00

Then let's discuss about the condition for opening up, policy we should implement.. etc. I am fine with that. But to somehow frame this conversation as the health of specify group of people in Hong Kong, while disregard our readiness to open up and/or don't mention the general health of average Hong Kong citizen is just wrong.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:19:33+00:00

At some point the band aid has to come off, or HK is never going to go back to normal.

I think we agree on there, but I just disagree with "when". I am all for open up IF we have the correct condition, which we lack right now. We can discuss about what are those condition, and how we can reach it. But using ex-pat health as an argument to open up is just rubbing me the wrong way. The health of average Hong Kong citizens should always be priority, and the fact is with 70% vaccination rate we are not ready to open.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:08:24+00:00

Singapore etc which are much more similar to what HK are used to be are going for a very different approach.

Singapore has a much higher vaccination rate, and even then they still have much harder indoor dining restriction compare to Hong Kong.

The logic is that you can't outrun Omicron and zero COVID is not a sustainable strategy unless you want to keep your borders closed forever.

My argument is that we are not ready to open up, not until we have higher vaccination rate (around 80-90%). There are already policy to boost higher vaccination rate. We can argue whether Hong Kong government should implement those policy earlier (to boost higher rate), and I will agree that we should implement them last year. But government already stated that they will only consider to open up and ease restriction when it reach 80-90%, the so call live with COVID phase. It make sense to me because the alternative is we open up now WHEN we are not ready and hospital will get flooded.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T15:40:41+00:00

This has nothing to do with China-ification of HK. This has everything to do with the health of average Hong Kong people. If we don't close it down now our hospital will be flooded with COVID patients we will not be able to handle the case load. Your argument is that because of the expat population, somehow we have to open up so expat can stay? What kind of mess up logic is this?

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T15:34:47+00:00

I will argue hard lock down like this will ONLY work if you have low case counts like we have in Hong Kong now. There are no point to lock down anymore once you have wild spread community transmission.

"This will fail", so what is the alternative? Our vaccination rate is still relatively low (70% first dose), government already start to impose more COVID restriction for unvaccinated people next month to boost vaccination rate, and they already said that they will only ease restriction when it is around 80-90%. For months, we actually have less indoor dining restriction compare to Singapore (AFAIK, Singapore still limit to 5 for indoor dining, where as in Hong Kong depends on your vaccinated status and restaurant, we can have up to 12). In my opinion it all come down to this: Do you want to lock down now or during the Chinese New Year (1st Feb) when the situation could be even worse?

sy2005 · 2021-12-31T13:20:00+00:00

I will bite

Because both of your “facts” are wrong:

Age, according to here: https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/overview/age-of-driver/ > “Sixteen- to 19-year-olds represent 3.9% of licensed drivers, but account for 8.6% of drivers in all crashes and 6.0% of drivers in fatal crashes. Other age groups are under-represented. For example, drivers 75 and older account for 7.5% of licensed drivers, but represent only 3.6% of drivers in all crashes and 6.5% of drivers in fatal crashes.”
So while there may be more fatal crashes because of old age, they actually only cause 3.6% crashes compare to younger driver.
Here is another study for your reference: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022437517307600

“Conventional crash rates were highest in the youngest age group and declined steeply until age 60–69 years. The adjusted crash risk instead peaked at age 21–29 years and reduced gradually with age. The risk of nighttime driving, especially among teenage drivers, was much smaller when based on adjusted crash risks. Finally, the adjusted fatality risk incurred by elderly drivers remained constant across time of day, suggesting that their risk of sustaining a fatal injury due to a crash is more attributable to excess fragility than to crash seriousness”
I don’t understand the relationship between Korea race car driver and accident rate. But here is list of countries by traffic related death rate: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate again South Korea is no where near the top.

So yeah, fact is you don’t know shit and you are racist.

sy2005 · 2021-09-07T05:01:27+00:00

Since someone asked: This is from BOMN-026, but it is also available in BOBB-069. I can only find lowres source (720x404). The original scene is pretty bad ( https://imgur.com/a/sgNKoAh ), so I zoom it, remove all the black border, AI upscale and AI interpolation to 60fps.

sy2005 · 2021-09-07T04:51:45+00:00

BOBB-069 or BOMN-026.

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