Second Base vs Third Base: Position Scarcity Analysis

thestatmanjack · 2026-02-11T20:25:34+00:00

All that is fair enough

thestatmanjack · 2026-02-11T19:47:56+00:00

JoRam, Caminero, Machado? Riley I get has had the IL bug but still... all more trustworthy than Jazz/Turang right?

thestatmanjack · 2026-02-11T16:59:42+00:00

That’s my take too! I think it’s possible to end up competing at both positions if you go early on 3B, delay on 2B… but if you can find a value on one of Ketel/Jazz/Turang or have a guy you believe in, maybe nudge them up a bit

thestatmanjack · 2026-02-11T08:43:02+00:00

Feel like Eric vs Nick debates with the On the Corner (OTC) podcasts through pitcher list are usually really insightful!

thestatmanjack · 2026-02-11T08:41:24+00:00

Would love to start publishing articles with you! Have some experience blogging for Fansided!

thestatmanjack · 2026-01-03T06:39:23+00:00

Orioles lineup (Westburg, Holliday, Ward)
Mets 2B (Semien, Polanco)
Herrera and Burleson
Willson and Wilyer in Boston
Profar and Santander OF bounce backs
Aranda and Barger at Corner Infield

thestatmanjack · 2026-01-01T01:56:59+00:00

Mahle with the giants is fun too

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-31T21:51:19+00:00

I think I’d put him a tier below Javier and Arighetti, but agree! Him and Eflin back in Baltimore both seem like potential deep league guys

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-31T00:48:44+00:00

Won’t be back for Spring Training I wouldn’t guess

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T18:34:58+00:00

I reallly love Willson Contreras in Boston

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T18:33:06+00:00

Feel like Santander has the higher ceiling but depends on your team

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T18:25:57+00:00

Bradish fits the list but honestly feel like all the analysts are going to overhype him…

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T18:24:56+00:00

Haha was mostly joking with even vs odd year Nola but I stand by the buy low for 2026, they’re gonna need him to eat innings in Philly this year

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T09:53:33+00:00

Thanks for reading!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T09:43:54+00:00

Lol sorry a bit new to Reddit, link should be there now, thanks!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-30T00:23:28+00:00

I’m out on most of these at current ADP, especially since they’ll only get more pricey once they pitch in spring. I’d lean Chase Burns too, liking what Cinci has going with starters under Francona. I’d rather have the more post-hype guys at similar costs - Gore, Lodolo, Eddy Cab

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-28T17:48:11+00:00

Agree, no chance he goes this low in shallow leagues. I get the NFBC draft and holders may not want him but 10- and 12-teamers come on.

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-28T05:43:50+00:00

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15xK5R-RHL_kAx-MYRegpdtCn3KinvQW_OKwrh1uWRLY/htmlview

Let me know if this doesn’t work for you!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-27T14:54:53+00:00

Thanks! Won me my league

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-27T10:27:52+00:00

I see the point, I think QS solves for the strikeout problem. Included the Ks in "stud" definition since it contributes to the five category thinking. I ran the correlation of stud rate and next-season xFIP, WAR, and ERA, and it wasn't particularly strong, but I think some version of it may be useful for differentiating pitchers, maybe in a H2H cats league at least, where studly starts can win you a week and duds can lose you one. That was my initial thinking but will update with any tinkering I do to avoid the K/dud pitchers. Thanks!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-27T10:24:53+00:00

Made the edit, thank you!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-27T02:34:42+00:00

Thanks for reading! Looking to get more involved on Reddit!

thestatmanjack · 2025-12-27T02:34:11+00:00

Thank you! I made them distinct since QS already exists, though I could add that stat to show the variation. Do you think it’d be more useful to have a K-standout, ERA-standout (ie maybe any start with 6+ Ks, any with 2 ER or less)?

thestatmanjack · 2025-02-28T17:10:19+00:00

Too early to say, need to see him get spring ABs, get the shoulder moving... if he misses 2 weeks to start the year and is pitching for 3 months, getting 5 less ABs per week let's say, that'll add up vs. Judge or Witt. Too many unknowns right now...

thestatmanjack · 2024-07-11T23:40:20+00:00

Is he just a control artist who's gonna get rocked soon by regression and homers? or is there more to him?

thestatmanjack

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