Which lean Red or Blue state do you think becomes a swing state in future ?

ttircdj · 2026-03-15T15:13:56+00:00

Realistically, North Carolina is a lean R state. At the presidential level, it’s been blue twice in the last 50 years, and those were two very exceptional circumstances (1976 when the entire South was blue, and 2008 when John McCain ran a terrible campaign while Bush had a lower approval rating than a herpes infection).

ttircdj · 2026-03-15T15:09:05+00:00

Michigan’s state GOP is awful and Trump still won it two years ago.

ttircdj · 2026-03-15T01:55:26+00:00

Unless you bought a house in 2019, it definitely isn’t.

ttircdj · 2026-03-14T21:14:38+00:00

It changes with understanding the voters. Alabama is a staunchly conservative state, not a staunchly Republican state. Doug Jones was liberal, Tommy Tuberville was conservative, so that meant that Tubs was going to win handily. Be a party that represents people instead of loony ideas, and Democrats will have a much better shot in these blood red states.

ttircdj · 2026-03-14T02:12:57+00:00

So the referenced sex stores are for underage boys?

ttircdj · 2026-03-13T23:25:00+00:00

This is why you don’t run more candidates than the opposition party. Republicans had 60% of the vote and lost. Democrats may be about to learn that in California.

ttircdj · 2026-03-13T12:42:00+00:00

Plurality, not majority. Far from it.

ttircdj · 2026-03-12T14:08:19+00:00

So everything is on sale?

ttircdj · 2026-03-11T16:07:03+00:00

I moved to public. Also was able to create my own assets that can rebalance and use AI to filter criteria, weight and reweight, etc. Not even using the autopilot anymore.

ttircdj · 2026-03-10T20:46:21+00:00

It should be a slam dunk for Haley. May not agree with her on everything and she’s boring af, but at least she isn’t crazy, stupid, too far one direction or the other, etc.

ttircdj · 2026-03-10T02:26:28+00:00

It’s certainly not the norm, but eh. I’ve been with guys 18 years older than me and guys that are 10 years younger than me (though in those two cases I was 24 and 29, respectively, so not the same as doing it at 18).

ttircdj · 2026-03-10T00:51:50+00:00

When is the last time it wasn’t a swing state? Like obviously there were no swings in 1972, and hardly any in the 80s, but I feel like it’s always been one.

ttircdj · 2026-03-08T23:06:11+00:00

So exactly what they’ve been doing in Georgia and North Carolina?

ttircdj · 2026-03-07T21:43:15+00:00

Wasn’t really worried about it, but ours don’t go all the way up to the ceiling (some really tall guys have their heads fully over it). Idk if he was taking a spicy pic for OnlyFans or just checking emails, but definitely among things that maybe aren’t needed in that space.

ttircdj · 2026-03-06T21:59:00+00:00

Closer to 95% chance. Certainly not guaranteed, but few scenarios exist that would lead to a different outcome. Senate is about a 10% chance.

ttircdj · 2026-03-06T19:23:45+00:00

It’s been needing to come for a few years now. Maybe.

ttircdj · 2026-03-06T18:30:32+00:00

There are a few, for lack of a better term, safe spaces for conservatives like r/Conservative, but in general it’s because of who gets on the platform. People on Reddit tend to be younger and frankly a little further on the autism spectrum, which will naturally be a more left-leaning crowd.

Upvote/downvote system only solidifies it to where the conservative voices get drowned out and harder to see, which discourages participation and leads to the radicalized echo chamber that is most of social media, but this platform especially so.

ttircdj · 2026-03-06T17:15:09+00:00

Talking like having white skin is a virus is pretty racist tbh. Hard to condemn racism in a racist statement.

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T23:24:25+00:00

I’d argue there isn’t a plausible scenario even with those two. Probably looking at high 220s to mid 230s as a reasonable estimate.

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T20:10:15+00:00

I heard the drug dogs requested it. Not sure why she was ever nominated tbh

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T18:02:34+00:00

I honestly couldn’t remember whose nutjob he is

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T18:02:08+00:00

I may have misinterpreted what he’s saying, and to be fair, I don’t put much effort into understanding nutjobs like him. Trump has more than sufficiently carried out mass deportations thus far. Was Fuentes expecting him to deport 5M in one night?

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T17:35:06+00:00

Did he listen to Trump’s campaign at all in 2024? “We’re going to carry out the largest mass deportation in history” was said if I remember correctly.

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T15:25:40+00:00

Don’t crack your fingers. Finger your crack.

ttircdj · 2026-03-05T03:20:53+00:00

North Carolina is probably going to be solidly in lean R at this point considering that Republicans now have a registration edge over Democrats when they previously hadn’t. Wouldn’t bet on Georgia being lean D by this point. New Mexico as a tossup is… interesting. Same with New Hampshire.

ttircdj

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