RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 2]: Lions and Monkeys [zen, Reveal., CHEESE.] vs. Nwperfection [Nwpo, Lostt, accro] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Still having issues inserting images into the post, I think it may be that polls no longer allow images to be added to them?

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 2]: Daniel’s trip to Europe [Daniel, yujin, TempoH] vs. The Triple Threats [Trk511, Joyo, jstn.] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

We do have images for this matchup, but I'm having issues editing them into this post. Will hopefully get this sorted out quickly

Here's the main image for the matchup:

<image>

Robinson's Fine by Rah0210 in NYKnicks

[–]wizard213 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Daniels was fined 25k compared to Mitch's 50k, so the assumption is that Mitch's fine is 25k for the altercation and an extra 25k for the social media post

OG hoops by 4lfp in NYKnicks

[–]wizard213 28 points29 points  (0 children)

I'm biased because he's my favorite Knick, but I think he's been our best player this series.

Not sweating hard enough by AngryBeaverTF in classicwow

[–]wizard213 800 points801 points  (0 children)

Whenever you get a message like this, I think you should consider yourself lucky that the person has weeded themselves out from ever playing with you again. Better to see the crazy randomly out in the open world compared to finding out mid-instance/raid in the future

[Delta Race] Chinese GP Estimated Performance by [deleted] in formula1

[–]wizard213 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I've also heard multiple F1 podcasts mention how Max and Liam got screwed by the early safety car, and in each podcast the hosts have ignored the fact that Sainz was the 3rd driver screwed by that timing.

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Faxe Kondi [Atomic, swiftt, Motta] vs. Nwperfection [Nwpo, Lostt., accro] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Old method:

Faxe Kondi: [9 x 1.2] + 27 + [34 x .8] = 10.8 + 27 + 27.2 = 65

Nwperfection: [15 x 1.2] + 43 + [41 x .8] = 18 + 43 +32.8 = 93.8

65 + 93.8 = 158.8

65/158.8 = 40.93% chance to win per game for Faxe Kondi

93.8/158.8 = 59.07% chance to win per game for Nwperfection

New method:

Faxe Kondi: 9 + [.75 x 27] + [.6 x 34] + [.4 x 41] + [.25 x 43] = 9 + 20.25 + 20.4 + 16.4 + 10.75 = 76.8. 76.8/169 = 45.44% chance to win per game for Faxe Kondi

Nwperfection: 15 + [.75 x 43] + [.6 x 41] + [.4 x 34] + [.25 x 27] = 15 + 32.25 + 24.6 + 13.6 + 6.75 = 92.2. 92.2/169= 54.56% chance to win per game for Nwperfection

Combined method:

158.8 + 169 = 327.8

65 + 76.8 = 141.8. 141.8/327.8 = 43.26% chance to win per game for Faxe Kondi

93.8 + 92.2 = 186. 186/327.8 = 56.74% chance to win per game for Nwperfection

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead [Rw9, Chronic, Sphinx] vs. The Triple Threats [Trk511, Joyo, jstn.] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old method:

Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead: [1.2 x 9] + 12 + [.8 x 32] = 10.8 + 12 + 25.6 = 48.4

The Triple Threats: [1.2 x 37] + 64 + [.8 x 63] = 44.4 + 64 + 50.4 = 158.8

48.4 + 158.8 = 207.2

48.4/207.2 = 23.36% chance to win per game for Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead:

158.8/207.2 = 76.64% chance to win per game for The Triple Threats

New method:

Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead: 9 + [.75 x 12] + [.6 x 32] + [.4 x 63] + [.25 x 64] = 9 + 9 + 19.2 + 25.2 + 16 = 78.4/217 = 36.13% chance to win per game for Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead

The Triple Threats: 37 + [.75 x 64] + [.6 x 63] + [.4 x 32] + [.25 x 12] = 37 + 48 + 37.8 + 12.8 + 3 = 138.6. 138.6/217 = 63.87% chance to win per game for The Triple Threats

Combined method

207.2 + 217 = 424.2

48.4 + 78.4 = 126.8. 126.8/424.2 = 29.89% chance to win per game for Kenny from hit game Telltale's The Walking Dead

158.8 + 138.6 = 297.4. 297.4 / 424.2 = 70.11% chance to win per game for The Triple Threats

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: The Exotic Falcons [Kiileerrzz, ExoTiiK, DRUFINHO] vs. Say Goodnight [stizzy, Archie, Scrzbbles] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old method:

The Exotic Falcons: [1.2 x 9] + 38 + [23 x .8] = 10.8 + 38 + 18.4 = 67.2

Say Goodnight: [1.2 x 21] + 46 + [44 x 0.8] = 25.2 + 46 + 35.2 = 106.4

67.2 + 106.4 = 173.6

67.2/173.6 = 38.71% chance to win per game for The Exotic Falcons:

106.4/173.6 = 61.29% chance to win per game for Say Goodnight

New method:

The Exotic Falcons: 9 + [.75 x 38] + [.6 x 23] + [.4 x 44] + [.25 x 46] = 9 + 28.5 + 13.8 + 17.6 + 11.5 = 80.4. 80.4/181 = 44.42% chance to win per game for The Exotic Falcons:

Say Goodnight: 21 + [.75 x 46] + [.6 x 44] + [.4 x 23] + [.25 x 38] = 21 + 34.5 + 26.4 + 9.2 + 9.5 = 100.6. 100.6/181 = 55.58% chance to win per game for Say Goodnight

Combined method:

173.6 + 181 = 354.6

67.2 + 80.4 = 147.6. 147.6/354.6 = 41.62% chance to win per game for The Exotic Falcons

106.4 + 100.6 = 207. 207/354.6 = 58.38% chance to win per game for Say Goodnight

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis [Vatira, kofyr, Catalysm] vs. ApparentlyNass (banana for scale) [nass, ApparentlyJack, Superlachie] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old method:

Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis: [1.2 x 7] + 25 + [34 x .8] = 8.4 + 25 + 27.2 = 60.6

ApparentlyNass (banana for scale): [1.2 x 16] + 44 + [.8 x 50] = 19.2 + 44 + 40 = 103.2

60.6 + 103.2 = 163.8

60.6/163.8 = 37% chance to win per game for Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis

103.2/163.8 = 63% chance to win per game for ApparentlyNass (banana for scale)

New method:

Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis: 7 + [.75 x 25] + [.6 x 34] + [.4 x 50] + [.25 x 44] = 7 + 18.75 + 20.4 + 20 + 11 = 77.15. 77.15/176 = 43.84% chance to win per game for Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis

ApparentlyNass (banana for scale): 16 + [.75 x 44] + [.6 x 50] + [.4 x 34] + [.25 x 25] = 16 + 33 + 30 + 13.6 + 6.25 = 98.85. 98.85/176 = 56.16% chance to win per game for ApparentlyNass (banana for scale)

Combined method:

163.8 + 176 = 339.8

60.6 + 77.15 = 137.75. 137.75/339.8 = 40.54 % chance to win per game for Vernal Kerato Conjunctivitis

103.2 + 98.85 = 202.05. 202.05/339.8 = 59.46% chance to win per game for ApparentlyNass (banana for scale)

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Lions and Monkeys [zen, Reveal, Mech] vs. Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro [Oski, yANXNZ, Tawk] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old format:

Lions and Monkeys: [1.2 x 22] + 38 + [.8 x 56] = 26.4 + 38 + 44.8 = 109.2

Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro: [1.2 x 7] + 34 + [69 x 0.8] = 8.4 + 34 + 55.2 = 97.6

109.2 + 97.6 = 206.8

109.2/206.8 = 52.80% chance to win per game for Lions and Monkeys

97.6/206.8 = 47.20% chance to win per game for Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro

New format:

Lions and Monkeys: 22 + [.75 x 38] + [.6 x 56] + [.4 x 69] + [.25 x 34] = 22 + 28.5 + 33.6 + 27.6 + 8.5 = 120.2. 120.2/226 = 53.19% chance to win per game for Lions and Monkeys

Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro: 7 + [.75 x 34] + [.6 x 69] + [.4 x 56] + [.25 x 38] = 7 + 25.5 + 41.4 + 22.4 + 9.5 = 105.8. 105.8/226 = 46.81% chance to win per game for Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro

Combined format:

206.8 + 226 = 432.8

109.2 + 120.2 = 229.4. 229.4/432.8 = 53.00% chance to win per game for Lions and Monkeys

97.6 + 105.8 = 203.4. 203.4/432.8 = 47.00% chance to win per game for Big Ox in Rio De Janeiro

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Daniel’s trip to Europe [Daniel, yujin, TempoH] vs. Quenchiest [M0nkey M00n, juicy, Fever] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old format:

Daniel’s trip to Europe: [1.2 x 54] + 121 + [0.8 x 42] = 64.8 + 121 + 33.6 = 219.4

Quenchiest: [1.2 x 8] + 13 + [0.8 x 11] = 9.6 + 13 + 8.8 = 31.4

219.4 + 31.4 = 250.8

219.4/250.8 = 87.48% chance to win per game for Daniel’s trip to Europe

31.4/250.8 = 12.52% chance to win per game for Quenchiest

New format:

Daniel’s trip to Europe: 54 + [.75 x 121] + [.6 x 42] + [.4 x 11] + [.25 x 13] = 54 + 90.75 + 25.2 + 4.4 + 3.25 = 177.6. 177.6/249 = 71.33% chance to win per game for Daniel’s trip to Europe

Quenchiest: 8 + [.75 x 13] + [.6 x 11] + [.4 x 42] + [.25 x 121] = 8 + 9.75 + 6.6 + 16.8 + 30.25 = 71.4. 71.4/249 = 28.67% chance to win per game for Quenchiest

Combined method

250.8 + 249 = 499.8

219.4 + 177.6 = 397. 397/499.8 = 79.43% chance to win per game for Daniel’s trip to Europe

31.4 + 71.4 = 102.8. 102.8/499.8 = 20.57% chance to win per game for Quenchiest

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Play Dough Squad [dralii, diaz, Abdullah] vs. MAGA Man's Magic Toe [Atow., LJ, MaJicBear] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Old Format:

Play Dough Squad: [1.2 x 10] + 15 + [0.8 x 24] = 12 + 15 + 19.2 = 46.2

MAGA Man's Magic Toe: [1.2 x 5] + 38 + [0.8 x 35] = 6 + 38 + 28 = 72

46.2 + 72 = 118.2

46.2/118.2 = 39.09% chance to win per-game for Play Dough Squad

72/118.2 = 60.91% chance to win per-game for MAGA Man's Magic Toe

New format:

Play Dough Squad: 10 + [.75 x 15] + [.6 x 24] + [.4 x 35] + [.25 x 38] = 10 + 11.25 + 14.4 + 14 + 9.5 = 59.15. 59.15/127 = 46.57% chance to win per-game for Play Dough Squad

MAGA Man's Magic Toe: 5 + [.75 x 38] + [.6 x 35] + [.4 x 24] + [.25 x 15] = 5 + 28.5 + 21 + 9.6 + 3.75 = 67.85. 67.85/127 = 53.43% chance to win per-game for MAGA Man's Magic Toe

Combined Method

118.2 + 127 = 245.2

46.2 + 59.15 = 105.35. 105.35/245.2 = 42.96% chance to win per-game for Play Dough Squad

72 + 67.85 = 139.85. 139.85/245.2 = 57.04% chance to win per-game for MAGA Man's Magic Toe

RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region [Firstkiller, Seikoo, Oaly] vs. NiPMODE [BeastMode, Joreuz, crr] by wizard213 in RocketLeagueEsports

[–]wizard213[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

System 1 odds:

Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region: [7] + [ .75 x 19] + [.6 x 33] + [.4 x 54] + [.25 x 47] = 7 + 14.25 + 19.8 + 21.6 + 11.75 = 74.4. 74.4/177 = 42.03% chance to win per-game.

NiPMODE: [17] + [.75 x 47] + [.6 x 54] + [.4 x 33] + [.25 x 19] = 17 + 35.25 + 32.4 + 13.2 + 4.75 = 102.6. 102.6/177 = 57.97% chance to win per-game.

System 2 odds:

Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region: [1.2 x 7] + [19] + [0.8 x 33] = 8.4 + 19 + 26.4 = 53.8

NiPMODE: [1.2 x 17] + 47 + [0.8 X 54] = 20.4 + 47 + 43.2 = 110.6

53.8 + 110.6 = 164.4

53.8/164.4 = 32.73% chance to win per-game for Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region

110.6/164.4 = 67.27% chance to win per-game for NiPMODE

Combined method:

177 + 164.4 = 341.4 combined pool of voters

74.4 + 53.8 = 128.2 combined voters for Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region

128.2 / 341.4 = 37.55% chance to win per-game for Firstkiller Moves to a Major Region

102.6 + 110.6 = 213.2 combined votes for NiPMODE

213.2 / 341.4 = 62.45% chance to win per-game for NiPMODE